@RayDalio Ray DalioRay Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, has been sharing his insights on the economy, debt, and investing. He warns that the US debt situation is at a "very dangerous inflection point" with spending exceeding revenue by 40%, and this accumulation of debt service payments is squeezing away buying power. Dalio also emphasizes the importance of being open-minded, radical transparency, and diversification in investing to navigate different economic environments.
Social category influence finance #6624 countries 10.62% automotive brands #1664 social networks 4.42% technology brands 4.42% celebrities 0.88% exchanges 0.88% cryptocurrencies 0.88% currencies 0.88%
Social topic influence money #3263, in the #4, cycle #463, debt #423, the big #966, history #3138, ray #71, if you #5025, the world #3, countries #2087
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @grok @robbiehendricks @rns7789 @ozerkhalid @parsec14g @jrdnmcfarland @b1a1f1 @johnny_cakes22 @veryayskiy @casefornotbtc @nztester @aklibertyman @aguyandhisgirl1 @altcap @elonmusk @vwapmag @simondixontwitt @alimamakx @ackthisshit @aastack
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"That's normal and that is what is happening. The important thing is that you understand it. #principleoftheday"
X Link 2026-01-23T21:33Z 2M followers, 78.2K engagements
"If you're like most people the idea of facing the unvarnished truth makes you anxious. To get over that you need to understand intellectually why untruths are scarier than truths and then through practice get accustomed to living with them. If you're sick it's natural to fear your doctor's diagnosis--what if it's cancer or some other deadly disease As scary as the truth may turn out to be you will be better off knowing it in the long run because it will allow you to seek the most appropriate treatment. The same holds for learning painful truths about your own strengths and weaknesses."
X Link 2026-02-02T14:26Z 2M followers, 77.6K engagements
"In addition to your ego barrier you (and everyone else) also have blind spotsareas where your way of thinking prevents you from seeing things accurately. Just as we all have different ranges for hearing pitch and seeing colors we have different ranges for seeing and understanding things. We each see things in our own way. For example some people naturally see big pictures and miss small details while others naturally see details and miss big pictures; some people are linear thinkers while others think laterally and so on. #principleoftheday https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021353484499681642"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:40Z 2M followers, 69.3K engagements
"Whats Coming: The Changing Domestic and World Orders Under the Trump Administration Now that the nightmare scenario of a close Trump loss and ensuing fight over the election has been taken off the http://x.com/i/article/1861133905715208193 http://x.com/i/article/1861133905715208193"
X Link 2024-11-25T20:22Z 2M followers, 5.1M engagements
"Thanks for the correction @elonmusk. Its great that we can have a good exchange about such economic things. When I said Chinese manufacturing production is greater than that of the US Europe and Japan I meant to say that it is greater than the US Germany and Japan combined. (I was talking too fast and was a bit sloppy.) But the numbers in Grok are right and still striking so the point remains the same which is that China is the dominant player in global manufacturing. Your numbers and my numbers both show that China manufactures 30% the US manufactures 15% Germany manufactures 5% and Japan"
X Link 2025-02-26T15:42Z 2M followers, 17M engagements
"In order to understand the full picture of how the world order is changing I would urge you to watch this five-minute clip or the complete 40-minute animated video called "Principles for Dealing with Changing World Order." And if you want an even more complete explanation you can check out my book of the same title. #principles #politics #economics"
X Link 2025-04-05T13:47Z 2M followers, 1.3M engagements
"This is a great time for all involved to reconsider their approaches There are better and worse ways of handling our problems with unsustainable debt and imbalances and President Trump's decision to step back from a worse way and negotiate how to deal with these imbalances is a much better way. I hope and expect that he will do the same with the Chinese which I believe includes negotiating a deal that appreciates the RMB against the dollar achieved by the Chinese selling dollar assets while also easing their fiscal and monetary policies to stimulate their demand. This would be a win-win. The"
X Link 2025-04-10T03:02Z 2M followers, 812.9K engagements
"The quickly executed first phase of the U.S.-China deal was done in a very reasonable manner (yielding justified optimism about the negotiations going forward) Donald Trump and team are now in Saudi http://x.com/i/article/1922337264706711552 http://x.com/i/article/1922337264706711552"
X Link 2025-05-13T17:07Z 2M followers, 586K engagements
"If conflicts with internal or external opponents become severe laws and punishments targeting the opposition will be imposed. For a picture of where we are headed and what we should do you can pre-order my new book How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle here: #howcountriesgobroke #principles https://amzn.to/4kkZJV4 https://amzn.to/4kkZJV4"
X Link 2025-05-22T14:59Z 2M followers, 2.2M engagements
"Watching what is now happening is like watching a movie that I have seen many times before. My perspective comes from my over [--] years of being a global macro investor and my study of the last [---] http://x.com/i/article/1932082607354769408 http://x.com/i/article/1932082607354769408"
X Link 2025-06-09T14:31Z 2M followers, 1.9M engagements
"It is: When countries have too much debt lowering interest rates and devaluing the currency that the debt is denominated in is the preferred path government policy makers are most likely to take so http://x.com/i/article/1940069392022224896 http://x.com/i/article/1940069392022224896"
X Link 2025-07-01T15:29Z 2M followers, 677.8K engagements
"History shows us that having too much debt during an economic downturn leads to a classic self-reinforcing cycle where: 1) The empire can no longer borrow the money to repay its debts 2) It prints a lot of new money which devalues the currency and raises inflation 3) Living standards decline leading to the rise of political extremism 4) Turbulent economic conditions undermine productivity and there is conflict about how to divide the shrinking resources 5) Populist leaders emerge pledging to take control and bring about order #principles #raydalio #history #debt"
X Link 2025-07-11T15:18Z 2M followers, 663.1K engagements
"The argument between Donald Trump and Jay Powell is about the value of money. As previously explained when there is too much debt and borrowing the classic way of dealing with it is to push real http://x.com/i/article/1947696889387749376 http://x.com/i/article/1947696889387749376"
X Link 2025-07-22T16:36Z 2M followers, 542.2K engagements
"I did an interview with the FT in which for accuracy I had them submit their questions in writing and I replied in writing. They then did not publish the exchange and instead published http://x.com/i/article/1963026459985092608 http://x.com/i/article/1963026459985092608"
X Link 2025-09-02T23:55Z 2M followers, 1.1M engagements
"I'm at a stage in life that has led me to want to share my insights and experiences rather than keep them to myself. Ive always found exchanges with my readers rewarding and I wish I could do so more often. Over the last [--] years I've written down nearly all my principles and criteria for making decisions. Now thanks to rapid AI technologyand frankly because its so coolmy AI team and I have developed Digital Ray. This tool allows me to speak with everyone who wishes to for as long as they want at any time. The first version of what Im temporarily calling Digital Ray has been in beta testing"
X Link 2025-10-07T14:41Z 2M followers, 377.2K engagements
"Recently a lot of people asked me a lot of questions about gold so I invited anyone who cared to ask me questions about gold to do so and I answered most of them. Then I put them into both an FAQs http://x.com/i/article/1983956656854581248 http://x.com/i/article/1983956656854581248"
X Link 2025-10-30T17:59Z 2M followers, 511.6K engagements
"It's now happening. The existing fiat monetary order the domestic political order and the international geopolitical order are all breaking down so we are at the brink of wars. It all is happening because of the Big Cycle that is driven by the five big forces I've described repeatedly and laid out in detail in my book and Youtube video titled Principles for Dealing with The Changing World Order. You can find the video linked in the comments below. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015789230950170655 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2015789230950170655"
X Link 2026-01-26T14:09Z 2M followers, 747.2K engagements
"You can watch the full conversation here: https://youtu.be/0YKTsHr5bDEsi=M4gcRXIWpVdgmtFj https://youtu.be/0YKTsHr5bDEsi=M4gcRXIWpVdgmtFj"
X Link 2026-02-03T16:50Z 2M followers, 63.8K engagements
"That is how the United States beat the Soviet Union in the Cold War. Spend enough money in the right ways and you dont have to have a shooting war. Long-term success depends on sustaining both the guns and the butter without producing the excesses that lead to their declines. In other words a country must be strong enough financially to give its people both a good living standard and protection from outside enemies. The really successful countries have been able to do that for [---] to [---] years. None has been able to do it forever. #principleoftheday"
X Link 2026-02-04T20:27Z 2M followers, 72.8K engagements
"Ive always tried to systemize everything I did. I wrote down my criteria and decision rules to help me see the bigger picture and make better decisions. Thats why Ive used AI to create a digital twin to help me reach people looking for coaching or mentorship. Its currently in beta testing sign up in the comments if you want to have a conversation see what its like. @StevenBartlett https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019444284588499014 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019444284588499014"
X Link 2026-02-05T16:13Z 2M followers, 61.6K engagements
"#principleoftheday"
X Link 2026-02-05T20:32Z 2M followers, 68.1K engagements
"You can watch the full animated video Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order to learn more here: https://youtu.be/xguam0TKMw8si=IwVUo8M86Vqha-pO https://youtu.be/xguam0TKMw8si=IwVUo8M86Vqha-pO"
X Link 2026-02-05T21:40Z 2M followers, 67.4K engagements
"You can watch the full conversation here: https://youtu.be/0YKTsHr5bDEsi=ZfVQ3jalNbAbOLid https://youtu.be/0YKTsHr5bDEsi=ZfVQ3jalNbAbOLid"
X Link 2026-02-09T16:08Z 2M followers, 60.9K engagements
"People lie more than most people imagine. I learned that by being in the position of being responsible for everyone in the company. While we have an exceptionally ethical group of people in all organizations there are dishonest people who have to be dealt with in practical ways. For example don't believe most people who are caught being dishonest when they say that they've seen the light and will never do it again because chances are they will. Dishonest people are dangerous so keeping them around isn't smart. #principleoftheday https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021682488930672919"
X Link 2026-02-11T20:27Z 2M followers, 109.3K engagements
"We need to talk about money what it is how it works and what its value is. When it comes to gold some people view it as a commodity to speculate on. But its so much more than that. Its the second largest reserve currency in the world. And its an important hedge against risks to fiat currencies. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014749612112777311 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014749612112777311"
X Link 2026-01-23T17:18Z 2M followers, 206.8K engagements
"Many people seem shocked by whats happening most recently in the Minneapolis and Greenland conflicts though also in many other ways over the last year. In my opinion thats because they dont understand whats going on with the breakdown of the post-World War II monetary domestic political and international political orders. This is happening in classic Big Cycle ways that have repeated throughout history and were laid out in detail in my book Principles for Dealing With the Changing World Order which I wrote about five years ago. In that book I described how the Big Cycle unfolds in stages with"
X Link 2026-01-26T17:05Z 2M followers, 667.2K engagements
"The income and wealth gap in the US are the highest theyve been in almost [---] years. Its something that need to be addressed before it creates even more extreme internal conflicts. However I worry about the practical impacts of wealth taxes on the economic system. And thats because theres a difference between wealth and money. Its all about the mechanics. Bubbles burst when theres a need for money to generate cash flow. Wealth taxes would create a situation where people who are wealthy on paper need to sell assets to cover their liabilities. And that can quickly create a dynamic that leads to"
X Link 2026-01-28T14:09Z 2M followers, 166.7K engagements
"Having power is good because power will win out over agreements rules and laws all the time. When push comes to shove those who have the power to either enforce their interpretation of the rules and laws or to overturn them will get what they want. It is important to respect power because its not smart to fight a war that one is going to lose; it is preferable to negotiate the best settlement possible (that is unless one wants to be a martyr which is usually for stupid ego reasons rather than for sensible strategic reasons). It is also important to use power wisely. Using power wisely doesnt"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:50Z 2M followers, 68.6K engagements
"At the Munich Security Conference the post-1945 world order was pronounced dead by most leaders and the picture behind it was laid out in the Security Report [----] entitled Under Destruction which http://x.com/i/article/2022788012598341633 http://x.com/i/article/2022788012598341633"
X Link 2026-02-14T21:43Z 2M followers, 75.2M engagements
"I personally appreciate the Trump administrations launch of the Trump accounts appreciate the Dells for piling on with their support and appreciate both of them for allowing Dalio Philanthropies and others to join in. This emerging bipartisan effort exemplifies the sort of movement that I hoped for when I wrote Why and How Capitalism Needs to be Reformed six years ago. These Trump Accounts are great not just because they put money into stocks for these young people but also because they draw their attention toward how finance stocks companies and capitalism work to improve society and can"
X Link 2025-12-17T15:53Z 2M followers, 1.4M engagements
"If you can't explain the past well you can't understand the present or anticipate the future. #principleoftheday"
X Link 2026-01-25T13:19Z 2M followers, 94.2K engagements
"In my opinion Indians Prime Minister Modi is one of the best if not the best leaders in the world. I had an opportunity to explore with him how he thinks as well as what he thinks. If youre interested in listening to it here it is: https://www.youtube.com/watchv=hFk7CeuNgQU https://www.youtube.com/watchv=hFk7CeuNgQU"
X Link 2019-11-07T16:38Z 1.9M followers, 20.9K engagements
"I am writing this to clarify what I think of https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/what-i-really-think-bitcoin-ray-dalio https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/what-i-really-think-bitcoin-ray-dalio"
X Link 2021-01-29T12:59Z 1.9M followers, 12.9K engagements
"In [----] when I was a young clerk on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange the United States ran out of money and defaulted on its debts. That's right the US ran out of money. (1/6)"
X Link 2022-06-16T16:10Z 1.9M followers, 12.2K engagements
"I am pleased to be able to help PM Modi as he is a man whose time has come when Indias time has also come. He and India are in an analogous position to Deng Xiaoping and China in the early 1980s--i.e. at the brink of the fastest growth rates and biggest transformations in the world. Additionally the challenges both between and within China and the US are putting PM Modi in a unique position to influence the complexion of the world order via influencing the non-aligned world 's dealings with these two leading world powers. I believe that Modi has what it takes to have the greatest impact on"
X Link 2023-06-22T14:03Z 1.9M followers, 1.8M engagements
"As you know I view major developments like last weekends shocking and horrible events in Israel as part of an unfolding story that reflects how the world order is changing in ways that are remarkably similar to the ways it has changed many times before. That is because the most important cause-effect relationships between events remain the same. In the posts I share on social media I put major new developments in the context of the perspective that I gained by studying history in that way and by getting as much input as I can from many smart informed people. In this latest post I do that for"
X Link 2023-10-12T22:59Z 2M followers, 1.2M engagements
"Starting today in addition to sending out Principles of the Day for life and work on some days I will mix in Principles of the Day for monitoring and dealing with the changing world order. I am doing this because the progression of the Big Cycle is reaching the point where watching it more closely is warranted. As you know my approach for dealing with reality as it is unfolding is to study how it works and identify good principles for dealing with it. I build my understanding by studying many past cases documenting how they worked and then developing principles for dealing with them. Then I"
X Link 2023-10-18T21:21Z 1.9M followers, 611.7K engagements
"@taylorswift13 for President I just saw her at her concert in Singapore and realized that she can bring together Americans and people in most countries much better than either of the candidates and that bringing people together is the most important thing. Watching this concert with people from all over the world made me and them feel good and connected and reminded me how powerful that universal culture is. Wouldnt it be great if we had two candidates who could lead that culture and make smart leadership decisions too https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1765753476288479331"
X Link 2024-03-07T14:56Z 1.9M followers, 3.5M engagements
"I urge you to understand how and why the world order is changing so you can navigate it well. If you are watching what is happening you are now seeing more fighting within countries more fighting between countries and more debt excesses than at any time since the 1930-45 period. The U.S. France Japan Germany the U.K. Korea Japan China Russia the Middle East and many more are plagued by these problems and they are spreading. To understand why and where we are likely headed I urge you to watch this 40-minute video at the link in my bio or read my book Principles for Dealing with the Changing"
X Link 2024-12-09T19:27Z 1.9M followers, 279.7K engagements
"Great managers orchestrate rather than do. Like the conductor of an orchestra they do not play an instrument but direct their people so that they play beautifully together. Micromanaging in contrast is telling the people who work for you exactly what tasks to do or doing their tasks for them. Not managing is having them do their jobs without your oversight and involvement. To be successful you need to understand these differences and manage at the right level. #principleoftheday"
X Link 2025-02-03T13:47Z 1.9M followers, 63.4K engagements
"Tariffs are taxes that: 1) raise revenue for the country imposing them that both the foreign producers and the domestic consumers pay (how much paid by each depends on their relative elasticities) http://x.com/i/article/1907489565583052802 http://x.com/i/article/1907489565583052802"
X Link 2025-04-02T17:46Z 2M followers, 6.3M engagements
"At the moment a huge amount of attention is rightly being paid to the newly announced tariffs and their significant impacts on markets and economies. But very little attention is being paid to the circumstances that caused themand to the even bigger disruptions likely still ahead. Dont get me wrong: these tariff announcements are important developments. But most people are overlooking the much larger forces that are driving just about everything including the tariffs. In my latest article I discuss what I believe is far more important to keep in mind: were witnessing a classic breakdown of"
X Link 2025-04-07T17:24Z 1.9M followers, 1.4M engagements
"Almost every group that agrees on the big things ends up fighting about less important things and becoming enemies even though they should be bound by the big things. This phenomenon is called the narcissism of small differences. Take the Protestants and Catholics. Though both are followers of Christ some of them have been fighting for hundreds of years even though many of them are unable to articulate the differences that divide them and most of those who can articulate the differences realize that they are insignificant relative to the big important things that should bind them together. I"
X Link 2025-04-08T16:44Z 1.9M followers, 241.2K engagements
"Do you get that the monetary order the domestic order and the world order are breaking down Do you understand why and what that is likely to lead to If not I suggest that you read my last book or watch my video both titled "Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order or at least watch the 4-minute summary clip from the video here. I also cover how these orders are changing in my new book How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle." Im not asking you to believe anything: I am suggesting that you consider the reasoning that I laid out in these and decide for yourself whats true and what you"
X Link 2025-04-13T04:14Z 1.9M followers, 708.9K engagements
"I was pleased and not surprised that the US and China will be having tariff negotiations which will be negotiations on much more than trade. In my dreams I can imagine the US and China working out http://x.com/i/article/1915412799901085697 http://x.com/i/article/1915412799901085697"
X Link 2025-04-24T14:32Z 2M followers, 1.7M engagements
"The bond market is the backbone of all markets. Paying attention to certain market actions can tell you a lot about the supply-demand picture and whether its at risk of breaking down. You learn more about what this means for all of us in my new book How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle available for pre-order here: #principles #raydalio #howcountriesgobroke #bondmarket https://amzn.to/4kkZJV4 https://amzn.to/4kkZJV4"
X Link 2025-05-21T20:55Z 1.9M followers, 321.4K engagements
"We are in a period of great conflicts and disruptive changes that are important to understand well. Look at the news and the changes happening in front of your eyes. It should be clear that the monetary order the domestic political order and the international geopolitical order are all breaking down and that we are on the brink of big disruptive changes. I urge you to understand what to expect by understanding how these things happen. If you haven't seen my free 30-minute animation Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order (or this shorter 4-minute version) I recommend that you"
X Link 2025-06-13T13:46Z 1.9M followers, 402.1K engagements
""I promise to not raise your taxes" and "I promise to not cut your benefits" are the two popular political promises that are inconsistent with the much more needed promise "I promise to cut the budget deficit to about [--] percent of GDP" that is required to prevent a big debt/dollar crisis. There is no way that the deficit/debt bomb problem can be sustainably dealt with unless there is a mix of tax revenue increases and spending decreases that are determined in a bipartisan way. Our representatives in Washington DC both Republicans and Democrats know this is true. They understand the need to"
X Link 2025-06-30T23:58Z 1.9M followers, 3M engagements
"After spending time in Washington DC discussing the budget deficit with senior people on both sides of the aisle its clear to me that we are unlikely to change the debt trajectory were on and avoid the painful consequences. While virtually everyone agrees on the need to address our debt problem in a balanced way that includes tax increases and cuts to benefits they also agree that they cannot speak up because politics have become absolutist. We must find a solution around absolutist pledges like I will not raise taxes or I will not reduce benefits when they are desperately needed"
X Link 2025-07-02T20:24Z 1.9M followers, 2.4M engagements
"History tells us the preferred path for government policymakers trying to deal with too much debt is lowering interest rates and devaluing the currency the debt is denominated in. Doing this is a very hidden way of reducing wealth because as your currency goes down it makes it look like other things are going up. But despite the downsides this wealth shrinkage and reduction in buying power is favored by policy makers precisely because its impacts are less obvious than the alternatives. At such times you should expect interest rates and the currencys value to fall"
X Link 2025-07-03T13:21Z 1.9M followers, 385.5K engagements
"Now that the budget bill has passed Congress we can see what the projections look like for deficits government debt and debt service expenses. In brief the bill is expected to lead to spending of about $7 trillion a year with inflows of about $5 trillion a year so the debt which is now about 6x of the money taken in [---] percent of GDP and about $230000 per American family will rise over ten years to about 7.5x the money taken in [---] percent of GDP and $425000 per family. That will increase interest and principal payments on the debt from about $10 trillion ($1 trillion in interest $9 trillion"
X Link 2025-07-03T18:37Z 1.9M followers, 3.9M engagements
"When an empire runs out of its own money it is able to increase the supply of money. However printing more money causes borrowing to increase creating a financial bubble. I urge you to watch The Changing World Order on my YouTube channel to understand how and what it means for all of us. #principles #raydalio"
X Link 2025-08-06T15:28Z 1.9M followers, 950.8K engagements
"My view is that buying and holding real estate is not an effective investment strategy in our current economic environment for a few reasons. 1) Real estate is more interest rate sensitive than it is inflation sensitive so given our current circumstances it is likely to go down in real terms 2) It is a fixed asset that is easy to tax which limits its impacts on your ability to diversify 3) Real estate is nailed down so investing in it makes it more difficult to move money from one place to another Thats my view in a nutshell. Im curious to hear if you agree. #GovernmentDebt #debt #principles"
X Link 2025-08-11T15:40Z 1.9M followers, 1M engagements
"While I have been explaining for some timemy thinking about gold (I like it) and debt assets (I don't like them) as storeholds of wealth in the context of how the world order is changing now that gold is hotter than AI stocks (and the meme is now changing to recognize that it can be an even better storehold of wealth than tech stocks) I'm getting lots of questions about it. If you have questions for me please ask them in the comments and I'll do my best to answer them here. I'm using the questions I get and my answers to them to educate my AI clone so it's helpful to know what questions"
X Link 2025-10-15T14:25Z 1.9M followers, 621.2K engagements
"History and logic have made clear that sanctions reduce the demand for fiat currencies and debts denominated in them and support gold. Throughout history before and during shooting wars there have been financial and economic wars that we now call sanctions (which means cutting opponents off from money and needed goods). When there is a debtor-creditor relationship between opponents the debtor choosing to not pay the debt service owed to the opponent creditor country has the beneficial effects of hurting the opponent financially and reducing its own debt service burdens. But it also has the"
X Link 2025-10-23T23:59Z 2M followers, 600.7K engagements
"History shows us that having too much debt during an economic downturn leads to a classic self-reinforcing cycle where: 1) The empire can no longer borrow the money to repay its debts 2) It prints a lot of new money which devalues the currency and raises inflation 3) Living standards decline leading to the rise of political extremism 4) Turbulent economic conditions undermine productivity and there is conflict about how to divide the shrinking resources 5) Populist leaders emerge pledging to take control and bring about order"
X Link 2025-11-10T21:44Z 1.9M followers, 758.6K engagements
"I think its safe to say that [----] was a very interesting year. And I think I see it very differently than most. You probably saw a lot of headlines about AI and tech stocks. While that was a big story I dont think it was the most important thing. The big story in the investment world was the depreciation of the value of fiat money and how that impacted the price of gold. Thats how [----] looked through my eyes at least. Im curious to hear if you see things the same way. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012240138315686172 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012240138315686172"
X Link 2026-01-16T19:06Z 1.9M followers, 150.3K engagements
"It all is happening because of the Big Cycle that is driven by the five big forces I've described repeatedly and laid out in detail in my book and the linked video below titledPrinciples for Dealing with The Changing World Order: https://www.youtube.com/watchv=xguam0TKMw8 https://www.youtube.com/watchv=xguam0TKMw8"
X Link 2026-01-24T19:14Z 1.9M followers, 96.3K engagements
"Ive learned that culture isnt something you write downits something that emerges from how people actually behave. The incentives you create the feedback you allow and the principles you enforce will determine whether an organization learns and evolves or repeats the same mistakes. If you want better outcomes start by designing a culture thats aligned with reality. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016906437268496759 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016906437268496759"
X Link 2026-01-29T16:09Z 1.9M followers, 91.5K engagements
"It is a classic financial move. Throughout history rulers have run up debts that wont come due until long after their own reigns are over leaving it to their successors to pay the bill. #principleoftheday"
X Link 2026-01-29T19:31Z 1.9M followers, 90.2K engagements
"#principleoftheday"
X Link 2026-01-30T15:59Z 1.9M followers, 70.1K engagements
"You need to work with others to accomplish big things but that isn't always easy so I wanted to share some of the principles that have helped me deal with conflict throughout my career. #principleoftheday"
X Link 2026-02-13T17:20Z 1.9M followers, [----] engagements
"I cant say exactly how effective Bitcoin is as a money but its being perceived by many as an alternative money and so is worth paying attention to. Money needs to be both a medium of exchange and a storehold of wealth and the latter is more important. I doubt that any central bank will take it on as a reserve currency. Thats because all of the transactions are public so theres no privacy to it and theres a risk that in the future the code could be broken to make it less effective through government controls. My personal approach is that I do have some Bitcoin in my portfolio but not much"
X Link 2025-10-02T15:08Z 2M followers, 354.1K engagements
"My wife Barbara and I believe strongly in the importance of equal opportunity. I have been fortunate to live the American Dream. At an early age I was exposed to the stock market and it changed my life. Over the last two decades Barbara has devoted herself to helping at-risk and disconnected youth in Connecticut supporting youth-serving organizations teachers and public schools while working in a bipartisan way with our state and with local municipalities. Barbara has seen firsthand the spirit of our youth and many have a lot stacked against them. We believe these young people deserve a"
X Link 2025-12-17T15:28Z 2M followers, 1.1M engagements
"Merry Christmas (even if youre not Christian) Yesterday was Christmas Day. As I savored the day with my three-generation family the following reflections came to me. They are about: Why http://x.com/i/article/2004584752100102144 http://x.com/i/article/2004584752100102144"
X Link 2025-12-26T16:10Z 2M followers, 1.4M engagements
"The purpose of this note is to tell you: 1) why Im excited about my AI clone 2) how AI clones are significantly different from AI agents and LLMs 3) what it takes to make AI clones so that they are http://x.com/i/article/1980328265068752896 http://x.com/i/article/1980328265068752896"
X Link 2025-10-20T17:42Z 2M followers, 218.9K engagements
"In [----] the US ran out of money and defaulted on its debts. Now they didnt say it that way. But by moving away from the gold standard money as we understood it ended. I expected the stock market to plunge but it went on to rise nearly 25%. That surprised me. But when I looked into it I discovered the exact same thing happened in [----] and it had the exact same effect. Heres why. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1988337065063575763 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1988337065063575763"
X Link 2025-11-11T20:04Z 2M followers, 991K engagements
"It's now happening. The existing fiat monetary order the domestic political order and the international geopolitical order are all breaking down so we are at the brink of wars. It all is happening because of the Big Cycle that is driven by the five big forces I've described repeatedly and laid out in detail in my book and the linked video titled Principles for Dealing with The Changing World Order. Do you understand the Big Cycle and do you know how to deal with it I'd like to help you. I will continue to share with you my understanding of how the mechanics work and how I see things"
X Link 2026-01-19T16:38Z 2M followers, 2.8M engagements
"When I say that the monetary order is breaking down I mean that fiat currencies and debt as a storehold of wealth are not being held by central banks in the same way they were in the recent past. That reality is largely being driven by the same forces that drive The Big Cycle. Today we know that both the holders of US dollar denominated debt (other countries) and those who need it (the US) are worried about each other for geopolitical reasons. That becomes a big problem when youre producing a lot of debt which the US continues to do. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014134437001241004"
X Link 2026-01-22T00:34Z 2M followers, 262.7K engagements
"Almost everyone is surprised by what's happening because they don't understand how the Big Cycle driven by the 5-Big Forces have worked through history and are working now. The important thing is that you understand this"
X Link 2026-01-24T19:14Z 2M followers, 146.2K engagements
"For me watching what is now happening is like watching a movie that I have seen many times in history. I am a global macro investor whose approach to betting on what is going to happen is to http://x.com/i/article/2015803682621628416 http://x.com/i/article/2015803682621628416"
X Link 2026-01-26T16:22Z 2M followers, 4.9M engagements
"Central banks want to stretch the money and credit cycle to make it last for as long as it can because that is so much better than the alternative. So when the system of hard money and claims on hard money becomes too painfully constrictive governments typically abandon it in favor of what is called fiat money. No hard money is involved in fiat systems; there is just paper money that the central bank can print without restriction. As a result there is no risk that the central bank will have its stash of hard money drawn down and have to default on its promises to deliver it. Rather the risk"
X Link 2026-01-27T20:07Z 2M followers, 324K engagements
"That is because printing a lot of currency and devaluing debt is the most expedient way of reducing or wiping out debt burdens. When debt burdens are sufficiently reduced or eliminated the credit/ debt expansion cycles can begin again. #principleoftheday"
X Link 2026-01-28T21:03Z 2M followers, 213.9K engagements
"To elaborate its critical to 1) educate your children well so that that can be productive and civil 2) have a society in which people can be productive and civil with each other ideally with good legals and capital market systems and 3) stay out of wars domestic and international. Successful countries are the ones that do these things well and get the fundamentals right such as earning more than they spend and having more assets than liabilities. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018086251627229269 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018086251627229269"
X Link 2026-02-01T22:17Z 2M followers, 99.1K engagements
"What can the former Dutch Empire teach us about the importance of capitalism in driving long-term success #principles #raydalio #History"
X Link 2026-02-02T17:03Z 2M followers, 120.4K engagements
"It's now happening. The existing fiat monetary order the domestic political order and the international geopolitical order are all breaking down so we are at the brink of wars. It all is happening because of the Big Cycle that is driven by the five big forces I've described repeatedly and laid out in detail in my book and Youtube video titled Principles for Dealing with The Changing World Order. You can find the full video here: https://www.youtube.com/watchv=xguam0TKMw8 https://www.youtube.com/watchv=xguam0TKMw8"
X Link 2026-02-02T17:03Z 2M followers, 98.1K engagements
"How do people make decisions It works pretty much the same way for all of us. Your brain takes in information and puts it through a set of criteria that determine action. Those criteria are the cause-effect relationships that exist all around us. Understanding how they work is critical because causes lead to effects. And if you understand the causes you can bet on the effects. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018724429300154584 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018724429300154584"
X Link 2026-02-03T16:33Z 2M followers, 66.6K engagements
"It takes money to buy guns (military power) and it takes money to buy butter (domestic social spending needs). When a country fails to provide adequate amounts of either it becomes vulnerable to domestic and foreign opposition.#principleoftheday"
X Link 2026-02-03T19:50Z 2M followers, 55.7K engagements
"Is it harder to start today 📉 The truth is the environment has changed. You need more resources for compliance and regulation than I did when I started. But the core principle remains: Money follows talent. If you have the ideas and can demonstrate the logic behind them the capital will find you. Thats how I went from playing the markets as a kid to managing an account for the World Bank. Are you focused on the money or are you focused on the talent Let me know in the comments. 👇 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019066886974001268 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019066886974001268"
X Link 2026-02-04T15:13Z 2M followers, 89K engagements
"Ive laid out these timeless and universal principles in my book Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. You can also watch the full animated video at the link in the comments. #principleoftheday"
X Link 2026-02-07T17:13Z 2M followers, 57.1K engagements
"Today on Valentines Day Id like to take the time to reflect on principles for lifelong meaningful relationships"
X Link 2026-02-14T13:06Z 2M followers, 159.1K engagements
"Discuss your issues until you are in sync with each other or until you understand each other's positions and can determine what should be done. As someone I worked with once explained "It's simple--just don't filter." #principleoftheday"
X Link 2026-02-15T16:02Z 2M followers, 255.4K engagements
"How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle As you probably know by now I'm in a stage of life that has led me to want to pass along previously undisclosed principles that helped me rather than to keep them to myself. Over my more than [--] years of operating as a global macro investor and through my research I discovered some timeless and universal cause/effect relationships that helped me successfully navigate what was likely to happen. These principles are not widely understood and have proven to be invaluable so I think they can help a lot of people. I previously wrote two books Principles for"
X Link 2025-03-24T19:52Z 2M followers, 732.7K engagements
"At this moment a huge amount of attention is being justifiably paid to the announced tariffs and their very big impacts on markets and economies while very little attention is being paid to the http://x.com/i/article/1909295899274039296 http://x.com/i/article/1909295899274039296"
X Link 2025-04-07T17:24Z 2M followers, 15.1M engagements
"Today my latest book How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle is being released. This note is to share what it says in a nutshell. To me what matters most is conveying understanding at this http://x.com/i/article/1929967175571226624 http://x.com/i/article/1929967175571226624"
X Link 2025-06-03T18:25Z 2M followers, 269.7K engagements
"I'm looking forward to the AMA Ill be doing on Reddit (r/IAmA) on September 4th from 1-3PM ET. For over [--] years Ive been in the business of studying the cause/effect relationships that drive how reality works and developing principles for dealing with reality well. I then programmed these principles into computers as decision rules to bet on them working. Because the causes come before the effects this principles-based approach worked amazingly well for me. Since Im [--] Im now at a stage in my life that I want to pass along whats of value. So far Ive passed along my perspectives and"
X Link 2025-08-27T15:10Z 2M followers, 183.7K engagements
"Stimulating Into a Bubble Did you see that the Fed's announcement that it will stop QT and begin QE While it is described as a technical maneuver any way you cut it its an easing move that is one of my indicators to pay http://x.com/i/article/1986166385798750209 http://x.com/i/article/1986166385798750209"
X Link 2025-11-05T20:22Z 2M followers, 1.4M engagements
"Naturally as a systematic global macro investor leaving [----] I reflected on the mechanics of what happened particularly in the markets. That's what todays reflection is about. Though the facts and http://x.com/i/article/2008190641059106816 http://x.com/i/article/2008190641059106816"
X Link 2026-01-05T14:57Z 2M followers, 2.7M engagements
"It's now happening. The existing fiat monetary order the domestic political order and the international geopolitical order are all breaking down so we are at the brink of wars. It all is happening because of the Big Cycle that is driven by the five big forces I've described repeatedly and laid out in detail in my book and Youtube video titled Principles for Dealing with The Changing World Order. You can find the video linked in the comments below. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014050059210371544 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014050059210371544"
X Link 2026-01-21T18:58Z 2M followers, 413.5K engagements
"All assets are valued in the same way: Their appreciation in price and their yield. Thinking about assets like this allows you to compare them. Thats important because when youre looking at the markets you dont want to just think about the absolute return. You want to be short on the assets that will have lower returns relative to those that will have higher returns. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020873217410314699 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020873217410314699"
X Link 2026-02-09T14:51Z 2M followers, 137.4K engagements
"The changes in the US over the last decade rising inequality massive deficits and a shifting global outlook are not isolated events. They are all interconnected and part of a dynamic that has occurred many times before for largely the same reasons. Understanding the mechanics at play matters far more than reacting to any short-term noise. Studying these patterns can help you understand why populism of the right and the left is rising around the world and why so many find it difficult to resolve their seemingly irreconcilable differences. At least thats how I see it. Im curious to hear if you"
X Link 2026-02-11T15:43Z 2M followers, 86.1K engagements
"You can watch the full conversation here: https://youtu.be/0YKTsHr5bDEsi=i-nwyC8eh7n10CIo https://youtu.be/0YKTsHr5bDEsi=i-nwyC8eh7n10CIo"
X Link 2026-02-12T20:21Z 2M followers, 101K engagements
"If you know that you are blind you can figure out a way to see whereas if you dont know that youre blind you will continue to bump into your problems. In other words if you can recognize that you have blind spots and open-mindedly consider the possibility that others might see something better than youand that the threats and opportunities they are trying to point out really existyou are more likely to make good decisions. #principleoftheday https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022059889057563097 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022059889057563097"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:27Z 2M followers, 119K engagements
"In my [--] years as a global macro investor I have seen traded through and studied many big debt crises (48 are covered in my book Principles for Navigating Big Debt Crises.) It is that perspective that leads me to believe that China is at a fork in the road and can either: deal with its debt by beautiful engineering or deal with its debt crisis in a way that drags on. To me this one in China looks like another one of those that can and should be treated in big classic ways but more is required. I go over this in my latest article. As always I welcome your comments and suggestions."
X Link 2024-10-02T22:04Z 2M followers, 508.3K engagements
"This post was originally published January [--] [----]. Since that time the content has been updated both in the free PDF available at economicprinciples.org and for the print book How Countries Go http://x.com/i/article/1878839642734419968 http://x.com/i/article/1878839642734419968"
X Link 2025-01-13T16:22Z 2M followers, 979.7K engagements
"Some people believe that the tariff disruptions will settle down as more negotiations happen and greater thought is given to how to structure them to work in a sensible way. However I am now hearing http://x.com/i/article/1916967338014085120 http://x.com/i/article/1916967338014085120"
X Link 2025-04-28T21:28Z 2M followers, 5.8M engagements
"The seeds of every great empires inevitable decline are embedded within the fruits of its successes. A predictable cycle of borrowing and spending occurs that boosts a great powers spending power over the short-term and makes it appear very strong. But its finances are in fact being weakened. #principles #RayDalio #History #empire"
X Link 2025-05-29T17:27Z 2M followers, 215K engagements
"History shows us that having too much debt during an economic downturn leads to a classic self-reinforcing cycle where: 1) The empire can no longer borrow the money to repay its debts 2) It prints a lot of new money which devalues the currency and raises inflation 3) Living standards decline leading to the rise of political extremism 4) Turbulent economic conditions undermine productivity and there is conflict about how to divide the shrinking resources 5) Populist leaders emerge pledging to take control and bring about order"
X Link 2025-11-06T23:07Z 2M followers, 1.2M engagements
"While I am still an active investor hooked on the investing game at this stage in my life I am also a teacher trying to pass along what Ive learned about how reality works and the principles that helped me deal with it well. Since I have been a global macro investor for over [--] years and learned a lot of lessons from history naturally a lot of what I pass along is about that. This note is about: The important difference between wealth and money and how that drives bubbles and busts and how that dynamic accompanied by big wealth gaps could prick the bubble and lead to a bust that is socially"
X Link 2025-11-20T13:35Z 2M followers, 839K engagements
"If you want to understand everything youre hearing about budget deficits and tariffs you need to understand the big debt cycle. But if youd like more context on how all of these pieces come together I recommend you watch my [--] minute-explainer Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order on YouTube (linked in the comments). #principles https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016202133427859940 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016202133427859940"
X Link 2026-01-27T17:30Z 2M followers, 82.3K engagements
"I hear your concern and get why the 1960s feel like a more violent and dangerous time. I lived through them and I use indicators to compare these times. The civil rights clashes Vietnam War protests and political assassinations certainly stamped the era with turmoil. Yet when I map those years onto the archetypical Big Cycle the 1960s line up with Stage 3what I call mid-prosperity. Its the sweet spot between peace and disorder: creativity productivity and optimism are abundant while the excesses that trigger later stages are still contained. Iconic projects like the moon shot and Kennedys"
X Link 2026-01-28T21:19Z 2M followers, 49.7K engagements
"Of course they also struggle over other things most importantly ideology and religion. #principleoftheday"
X Link 2026-01-31T13:15Z 2M followers, 59.7K engagements
"Many people seem shocked by whats happening most recently in the Minneapolis and Greenland conflicts though also in many other ways over the last year. In my opinion thats because they dont understand whats going on with the breakdown of the post-World War II monetary domestic political and international political orders. This is happening in classic Big Cycle ways that have repeated throughout history and were laid out in detail in my book Principles for Dealing With the Changing World Order which I wrote about five years ago. In that book I described how the Big Cycle unfolds in stages with"
X Link 2026-01-31T16:25Z 2M followers, 220.6K engagements
"You can read my latest article Money Civil & International War Minneapolis and Beyondin Perspective to learn more: https://x.com/RayDalio/status/2015822544083759340s=20 https://t.co/Q2g2Rr30N9 https://x.com/RayDalio/status/2015822544083759340s=20 https://t.co/Q2g2Rr30N9"
X Link 2026-01-31T16:34Z 2M followers, 171.4K engagements
"Kevin Warsh was a great choice We who have been engaged with policy makers and markets for a long time know him and respect him for his capabilities and his judgement. He is knowledgeable and a reasonable man who understands the risks of having a Fed policy that is too easy as well as too tight and how to judge what's too easy and what's too tight. Presumably he also knows how to deal with the president and the Treasury well. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017687126926602643 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2017687126926602643"
X Link 2026-01-31T19:51Z 2M followers, 718.7K engagements
"Sign up for the beta of Digital Ray here: https://bit.ly/44VE0NV https://bit.ly/44VE0NV"
X Link 2026-02-05T16:13Z 2M followers, 38.8K engagements
"Ive explored these dynamics in depth in my book Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order. Check the full animated summary here: https://youtu.be/xguam0TKMw8si=uAobh3U3FG-BIQDr https://youtu.be/xguam0TKMw8si=uAobh3U3FG-BIQDr"
X Link 2026-02-06T21:53Z 2M followers, 53.5K engagements
"You can watch the full animated video here: https://youtu.be/xguam0TKMw8si=rrw2OKuXsVpLjUUB https://youtu.be/xguam0TKMw8si=rrw2OKuXsVpLjUUB"
X Link 2026-02-07T17:14Z 2M followers, 77.7K engagements
"Skilled collaborations to produce win-win relationships that both increase and divide up wealth and power well are much more rewarding and much less painful than wars that lead to one side subjugating the other. Seeing things through your adversarys eyes and clearly identifying and communicating your red lines to them (i.e. what cannot be compromised) are the keys to doing this well. #principleoftheday https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020489038550168008 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020489038550168008"
X Link 2026-02-08T13:25Z 2M followers, 74.3K engagements
"All empires since the Dutch have used capitalism to create a virtuous cycle that leads to an empires demise.What happens when an empire can no longer borrow the money necessary to repay its debts History shows us that having too much debt during an economic downturn leads to a classic self-reinforcing cycle where: 1) The empire can no longer borrow the money to repay its debts 2) It prints a lot of new money which devalues the currency and raises inflation 3) Living standards decline leading to the rise of political extremism 4) Turbulent economic conditions undermine productivity and there"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:30Z 2M followers, 205.2K engagements
"You can watch the full animated video here: https://youtu.be/xguam0TKMw8si=_n3rmhAhqUqlSy5u https://youtu.be/xguam0TKMw8si=_n3rmhAhqUqlSy5u"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:32Z 2M followers, 72K engagements
"Wealth isnt worth anything unless it can be converted into money to spend. And when theres a lot of wealth relative to the amount of hard money available like were seeing today bubbles are created. @nikhilkamathcio"
X Link 2026-02-12T15:27Z 2M followers, 165.3K engagements
"For Presidents' Day this year Im resharing these principles from President Lincoln that I believe continue to be very relevant today"
X Link 2026-02-16T15:30Z 2M followers, 85.9K engagements
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