@PickAlphaAI PickAlpha
PickAlpha posts on X about $spy, posts, $xle, dividend the most. They currently have [---] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Engagements: [---] #
- [--] Week [-----] -37%
- [--] Month [------] -38%
- [--] Months [----------] +242%
- [--] Year [----------] -13%
Mentions: [--] #
- [--] Week [---] -14%
- [--] Month [---] -61%
- [--] Months [-----] +20,020%
- [--] Year [-----] +28,643%
Followers: [---] #
- [--] Week [---] +2.90%
- [--] Month [---] +13%
CreatorRank: [---------] #
Social Influence
Social category influence stocks 66.67% finance 53.9% cryptocurrencies 21.99% technology brands 8.51% exchanges 4.26% countries 4.26% financial services 2.13% travel destinations 1.42% automotive brands 1.42% events 0.71%
Social topic influence $spy #1163, posts 9.93%, $xle #57, dividend #1059, $tlt #109, spy #1393, $xlv #25, company 7.8%, ai 7.09%, $qqq #834
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @cryptosrus @unusualwhales @wsbgold @truflation @deitaone @arkkdaily @moneymenpod
Top assets mentioned SPDR S&P [---] ETF Trust (SPY) Cleveland-Cliffs, Inc. (CLF) Spacemesh (SMH) Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) Robonomics Network (XRT) Simon Property Group Inc (SPG) Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) DraftKings Inc. Class A Common Stock (DKNG) Netflix Inc (NFLX) Tenet Healthcare Corporation New (THC) Strategy (MSTR) Bitcoin (BTC) Mario Coin (COIN) Beldex (BDX) Wat (WAT) #MLM (#MLM) YELP INC. (YELP) Ubiquiti, Inc. (UI) Coca-Cola Co (KO) KLA Corp (KLAC) Exxon Mobil (XOM) TC Energy Corporation (TRP) Community Health Systems, Inc. (CYH) Warner Bros Discovery, Inc. (WBD) Born in [--] (19)
Top Social Posts
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"PickAlpha Morning Report 2026-02-07 [--] material moves and analysis SEC approves GP led continuation for direct lending $BIZD $SPY Ubiquiti posts record F2Q26 revenue [--] EPS growth $UI $SPY Yelp closes 270M Hatchify deal adds 30M obligations $YELP $SPY Etc. https://open.substack.com/pub/pickalpha/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-4far=1m2m41&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/pickalpha/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-4far=1m2m41&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-07T16:26Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Evening Insights 2026-02-10 - Market Wrap and Trades For Tomorrow Tickers: $SPY $IWM $XLY $TLT $DXY $KO $SPOT $IEF $Z $HOOD $XLE Stocks drifted; rates steadied after wage and retail prints dominated headlines. After-hours earnings beat and miss cluster included Zillow and Robinhood. Tomorrow Trade Ideas. https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-evening-insights-2026-02-3a0 https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-evening-insights-2026-02-3a0"
X Link 2026-02-11T01:50Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/4: Lithia & Driveway (LAD) posts record [----] revenue heavy buybacks and acquisitions despite Q4 EPS pressure View: Record [----] results aggressive buybacks and acquisitions are offset by a 28% Q4 EPS $LAD $XLY $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-12T13:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/3: Francescas files for Chapter [--] again planning liquidation sales across [---] U.S. stores View: Francescas liquidation creates localized pressure for MAC and SPG and small read-through for XRT $XRT $SPY $MAC $SPG"
X Link 2026-02-12T13:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2026.02.13 News Analysis - 1/5: Applied Materials lifts Q2 guidance on AI chip demand and memory shortage beats Q1 estimates View: Guidance and commentary indicate a stronger longer AI- and DRAM-driven WFE upcycle through FY26 $AMAT $LRCX $KLAC $SMH $SOXX https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022320187924439454 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022320187924439454"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:41Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report 2026-02-13 [--] material moves and analysis U S crude stocks rose [--] 5mn bbl WoW $XLE $XOM Applied Materials lifts Q2 guidance on AI demand $AMAT $LRCX DraftKings posts [--] Q4 revenue growth $DKNG $BETZ Etc. https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-f0d https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-f0d"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Weekend 2026-02-14 [--] material moves and analysis January CPI rises [--] [--] MoM reinforces [----] cuts $SPY $QQQ OPEC signals April output hikes reassessing crude $XLE $USO TC Energy raises [----] EBITDA guidance increases dividend $TRP Etc. https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-weekend-2026-02-14-5-material https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-weekend-2026-02-14-5-material"
X Link 2026-02-14T15:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2026.02.14 News Analysis - 1/2: Air T posts weaker Q3 but closes bargain Rex airline acquisition creating large preliminary purchase gain View: Weaker Q3 profitability and early Rex losses offset the large non-cash bargain purchase gain $AIRT"
X Link 2026-02-14T15:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/2: TC Energy Q4 [----] results: earnings and revenue beat estimates; company lifts [----] outlook and dividend View: Earnings upside stronger [----] EBITDA guidance and a 3.2% dividend increase improve risk-reward $TRP"
X Link 2026-02-14T15:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2025.12.15 News Analysis - 1/2: Cencora to buy majority of OneOncology in $7.4bn enterprise-value deal pausing buybacks and raising long-term guidance $COR $XLV $IHF $XBI"
X Link 2025-12-15T12:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@unusual_whales If rates stay high housing doesnt magically get cheaper because a press release said so. Watch mortgage rates + inventory. $XHB $ITB $TLT"
X Link 2025-12-19T04:08Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2025.12.26 News Analysis - 1/1: Coforge to acquire U.S.-based AI firm Encora in $2.35bn enterprise-value stock-and-cash deal $EPAM $GLOB $ACN $INFY $QQQ $BOTZ"
X Link 2025-12-26T15:23Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"3/6: Yen hits 18month low near [-----] per dollar as markets eye possible intervention View: Yen at an 18month low with rising intervention chatter creates twoway risk for FX $FXY $UUP $EWJ"
X Link 2026-01-14T13:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/5: Mission Produce to acquire Calavo Growers in $430 million cashandstock deal valuing shares at $27.00 View: The agreed cash-and-stock acquisition with a 26% premium and targeted $25 million synergies offers $AVO $CVGW"
X Link 2026-01-15T14:07Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"5/5: Antero Midstream declares $0.225 Q4 [----] dividend and discloses $48 million Q4 share repurchases View: Visible capitalreturn commitmentsa maintained $0.225 Q4 dividend plus $48 million in buybacks and $336 $AM $AR $AMLP"
X Link 2026-01-15T14:08Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2026.01.16 News Analysis - 1/4: Boston Scientific agrees to acquire Penumbra in $14.5bn cash-and-stock deal valued at $374 per share View: Penumbra receives a defined 19.3% premium $BSX $PEN $XLV"
X Link 2026-01-16T13:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2026.01.17 News Analysis - 1/6: SEC sanctions former Spero Therapeutics CEO and CFO over misleading disclosures on lead drug tebipenems FDA risks View: The case resolves some regulatory uncertainty $SPRO $XBI $IBB $SPY"
X Link 2026-01-17T16:28Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2026.01.21 News Analysis - 1/4: Community Health Systems to sell Crestwood Medical Center to Huntsville Hospital Health System for $450 million View: Positive for deleveraging and visibility $CYH $IHF $XLV"
X Link 2026-01-21T12:58Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"2/2: Kinder Morgan posts record Q4 [----] earnings hikes dividend and expands $10bn project backlog View: Record Q4 results a modest dividend increase and a larger $10bn backlog are positive $KMI $AMLP $XLE $UNG $SPY"
X Link 2026-01-22T13:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2026.01.23 News Analysis - 1/3: Paramount Skydance extends $30/share allcash hostile tender for Warner Bros Discovery to Feb [--] escalates proxy fight vs Netflix deal View: Competing bids a hostile tender extension and a proxy fight materially raise outcome dispersion $PSKY $WBD $NFLX $XLC https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014702329816088975 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014702329816088975"
X Link 2026-01-23T14:10Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"4/5: Dallas safety-net hospital White Rock Medical Center files Chapter [--] pursuing REILS-backed plan sale amid $46mn debt View: Monitor hospital operators safety-net exposure and healthcare REIT tenant quality as White Rocks filing $IHF $XLV $UHS $THC $CYH $MPW"
X Link 2026-01-26T13:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4/5: Tractor Supply posts Q4 [----] sales up 3.3% to $3.90bn issues FY [----] guidance for 46% sales growth and EPS $2.13$2.23 View: Guidance implies only mid-single-digit EPS growth amid cost and discretionary demand pressures suggesting waiting $TSCO $XRT $RTH"
X Link 2026-01-29T12:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2026.01.30 News Analysis - 1/5: Dow unveils "Transform to Outperform" program targeting at least $2bn near-term Op. EBITDA uplift [----] job cuts View: The program offers sizeable clearly quantified EBITDA upside $DOW $XLB $SPY"
X Link 2026-01-30T15:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/3: L3Harris wins U.S. Navy contract to develop Red Wolf longrange precisionstrike vehicles for Marine Corps View: The contract reinforces L3Harriss role in long-range fires and Pacific deterrence $LHX $ITA $SPY"
X Link 2026-01-31T13:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Weekend View- Carvanas Amazon of cars pitch is still being financed the old-fashioned way: debt + auto loans. Behind the glossy online brand Carvana is running big weekly wholesale auctions expanding reconditioning megasites and leaning hard into loan origination/sales (with major buyers like Ally Financial) even as subprime stress and short-seller attacks (Gotham City Research) keep the equity one headline away from volatility. Tickers: $CVNA $ALLY $STLA Our view is this is still a credit-cycle trade disguised as e-commerce: CVNA works as long as (1) funding windows stay open for"
X Link 2026-02-02T01:09Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/8: Tenet completes $1.9bn ConiferCommonSpirit transaction receives cash and consolidates revenue-cycle JV View: The accretive ConiferCommonSpirit deal brings $1.9 billion of cash simplifies ownership and supports deleveraging $THC $XLV $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-02T12:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report 2026-02-02 [--] material moves and analysis Lumen sold 11-state fiber business for [--] 75bn $LUMN $T Tenet gained full Conifer ownership for [--] 9bn $THC $XLV Disney Q1 revenue 26bn while operating income [--] 6bn $DIS $NFLX Etc. https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02 https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02"
X Link 2026-02-02T12:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday- Banco Santander unveiled a 5B share buyback alongside its agreement to acquire Webster Financial Corp. for about $12.2B doubling down on U.S. scale. The bank also reported Q4 net income of 3.76B beating consensus as Ana Botn keeps capital return front-and-center even while layering on M&A. Tickers: $SAN $WBS $XLF Our view is this is a capital-allocation stress test: Santander is trying to do buybacks + a big U.S. deal at the same time. If the funding mix keeps capital buffers comfortable and the company can show a clear path to earnings accretion/synergies (not just scale)"
X Link 2026-02-03T19:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday- Texas Instruments is reportedly in advanced talks to acquire Silicon Laboratories for about $7B per the Financial Times (also picked up by Reuters). Terms werent disclosed and the discussions could still fall apart. Tickers: $SLAB $TXN $SOXX Our view is this is a $SLAB deal-option story first and a $TXN capital-discipline story second. If a credible price/structure is confirmed $SLAB can hold a takeout floor; if talks collapse expect a fast give-back. For $TXN the only thing that matters: are they buying a tight IoT adjacency at a sane multipleor buying growth at peak"
X Link 2026-02-03T21:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"2/2: Equinor launches up to $1.5bn [----] share buyback programme with first $375mn tranche including $123.75mn openmarket repurchases View: Announcement of a sizeable cancellative $1.5bn [----] buyback with a $375mn first tranche should $EQNR"
X Link 2026-02-04T12:57Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report 2026-02-04 [--] material moves and analysis Liberty Energy prices 700M [----] convertible notes $LBRT Equinor launches [--] 5B [----] share buyback programme $EQNR Etc. https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-1c7 https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-1c7"
X Link 2026-02-04T12:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"1/5: Alphabet Q4 [----] earnings beat with $113.8bn revenue and record $402.8bn FY sales; [----] capex guided to $175185bn on AI buildout View: Earnings and Cloud trends are strong $GOOGL $GOOG $QQQ $XLK"
X Link 2026-02-05T12:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"2/5: FMC launches strategic review including potential sale while guiding [----] revenue down and EPS 41% below [----] View: Strategic review and potential sale offer upside optionality $FMC $XLB"
X Link 2026-02-05T12:55Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"5/5: Fortitude Gold declares $0.01 February [----] monthly dividend payable Feb. [--] to holders of record Feb. [--] View: Dividend confirmation is modestly supportive $FTCO $GDXJ"
X Link 2026-02-05T12:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday: Strategy (MSTR) posted a $12.4B Q4 net loss with operating loss driven by a $17.4B unrealized hit on digital assets. The company holds [------] BTC at an average cost of $76052 while BTC is now trading around the low-$60KS pushing the core treasury position below cost basis. Tickers: $MSTR $BTC $IBIT Our view is this is now a funding-stress trade not a to-the-moon reflex. If BTC stays below MSTRs cost basis and equity remains weak the accretive capital-raise flywheel breaks and downside can cascade; if BTC reclaims cost-basis and equity premium reopens ( although unlikely in"
X Link 2026-02-05T21:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Evening Insights 2026-02-05 - Market Wrap and Trades For Tomorrow Tickers: $ES=F $ZN=F $DX=F $NG=F $MSTR $BTC-USD $PRLB $CL=F $XLE $NQ=F Stocks and rates traded on fresh labor and energy data while a bitcoin-heavy earnings report dominated after-hours. Strategy disclosed huge bitcoin holdings in Q4 results and FY2025 financing details. Tomorrow Trade Ideas. https://open.substack.com/pub/pickalpha/p/pickalpha-evening-insights-2026-02-d54r=1m2m41&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-06T03:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/6: Simon Property Group authorizes new $2.0bn common stock repurchase program through February [----] View: The refreshed $2.0bn authorization and rolledover $1.7bn capacity enhance downside support and pershare FFO $SPG $XLRE $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-06T12:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"6/6: i3 Verticals approves new $60mn Class A share repurchase program View: The sizable $60mn buyback authorization signals perceived undervaluation and offers EPS support $IIIV $IWM"
X Link 2026-02-06T12:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report 2026-02-06 [--] material moves and analysis U S job openings fell to [--] [--] million $SPY $QQQ i3 Verticals authorized 60mn share repurchase $IIIV $IWM Simon Property Group approved [--] 0bn buyback $SPG $XLRE Etc. https://open.substack.com/pub/pickalpha/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-fcdr=1m2m41&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/pickalpha/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-fcdr=1m2m41&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-06T12:49Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"After Hours Into the evening trading digested the DOJ antitrust scrutiny of the Netflix acquisition keeping deal-impacted names like $NFLX and $WBD under watch and weighing on M&A sentiment; energy and services stocks remained attentive to the higher Baker Hughes rig count with futures and E&P ETFs such as $CL=F and $XLE reflecting tighter supply expectations. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019976000440840406 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019976000440840406"
X Link 2026-02-07T03:26Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@WSBGold Central banks dont chase candles they build regimes. Our model shows official-sector demand is still a structural bid"
X Link 2026-02-07T05:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"2/6: Yelp (YELP) closes $270mn cash acquisition of Hatchify; adds $30mn retention packages View: The acquisition and retention commitments materially increase capital at risk and leverage $YELP $SPY $XLC"
X Link 2026-02-07T16:18Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4/6: Ameren (AEE) hikes quarterly dividend 5.6% to $0.75 13th consecutive annual increase View: The 5.6% dividend increase and reaffirmed 5060% payout range modestly improve income visibility $AEE $XLU $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-07T16:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"6/6: Boise Cascade (BCC) declares $0.22 quarterly dividend payable March [--] [----] View: Dividend confirmation is mildly supportive but not thesis-changing $BCC $WOOD $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-07T16:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Weekend - Look Into Next Week 2026-02-07 1) Weekly Recap 2) Look Into Next WeekWatchlist: $SPY $TLT $DXY $IEF $XLY $XLE $SOXX $CL=F $NG=F $KO $XLP $F $SHOP $CSCO $XLK $COIN $ABNB $AMAT What priced this week and what prices next week. https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-weekend-look-into-next-118 https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-weekend-look-into-next-118"
X Link 2026-02-07T19:47Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday: Hims & Hers (HIMS) said it will stop offering its $49 compounded Wegovy-like pill just two days after launch after the FDA signaled enforcement against non-approved GLP-1 copycats and HHS referred Hims to DOJ. This is a fast reversal from an aggressive pricing push to a regulatory containment event. Tickers: $HIMS $NVO $LLY Our view is this is a hard regulatory reset for HIMS not a temporary headline. If FDA/DOJ pressure broadens HIMS obesity upside de-rates further while branded incumbents regain pricing confidence; if enforcement cools the cash-pay copycat trade can"
X Link 2026-02-08T06:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@truflation A big gas move can make inflation look fixed before it is. Our model shows commodity deflation buys time not regime change; our view is disinflation path intact but fragile"
X Link 2026-02-08T16:13Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday: Sports bettings Super Bowl setup is no longer a pure handle up = stocks up trade. Legal wagering is still projected at a record $1.76B but prediction markets are taking a growing share of incremental activity especially where traditional online sportsbooks remain restricted. At the same time the rulebook is still being written: federal regulators are moving toward an event-contract framework while state-level legal pushback continues. Tickers: $FLUT $DKNG $MGM Our view is this is a multiple-compression until clarity story: incumbents can still grow gross betting activity but"
X Link 2026-02-08T20:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Weekend: UBS is reportedly adding [--] wealth bankers in Hong Kong with hiring skewed toward high-net-worth coverage a clear signal it wants to press its Asia advantage. UBSs 4Q25 disclosures already showed the direction of travel: Global Wealth Management posted $8.5B net new assets in Q4 (with $23B inflows across APAC/EMEA/Switzerland offset by $14B Americas outflows) and $101B net new assets for FY25. Tickers: $UBS $HSBC $JPM Our view is this is a deliberate growth pivot not just headcount expansion: if APAC hiring converts into faster asset gathering while US outflows stabilize"
X Link 2026-02-09T02:27Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/5: Apollo reports record [----] origination and inflows declares Q4 dividend of $0.51 per share View: Record [----] origination inflows and AUM underpin expanding fee and spread earnings $APO $XLF $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-09T14:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/5: SpaceX prioritizes building selfgrowing city on the Moon and folds xAI into $1tn valuation deal View: Event is structurally positive for space and AI demand but highly long-dated and private $ARKX $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-09T14:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/2: U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent signals Fed likely to take up to a year on balance-sheet decisions View: Bessents remarks modestly reduce near-term QT risk and favor duration $UUP $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-09T15:00Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday: Tech is bouncing again but this move still looks data-dependent. Reuters shows the S&P 500/Nasdaq recovering with software names rebounding while markets now pivot to Wednesdays delayed jobs report and Friday CPI for the real macro signal. Gold back above $5000 alongside a weaker dollar says hedging demand is still alive not a full all-clear risk regime. Tickers: $SPY $QQQ $GLD Our view is this is a tactical rebound not a trend confirmation if payroll revisions are soft and core inflation cools upside can extend; if CPI re-accelerates this bounce likely fades quickly."
X Link 2026-02-09T18:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday: US equities extended an AI-led rebound as investors rotated back into beaten-down tech ahead of this weeks macro gauntlet. Focus now shifts to Wednesday payrolls and Friday CPI with consensus looking for 69K jobs and a 4.4% unemployment rate. Alphabets new debt push to fund AI infrastructure reinforces that hyperscaler capex is still in full-build mode. Tickers: $QQQ $GOOGL $TLT Our view is this is a positioning squeeze not a clean all-clear. If jobs/CPI are soft enough to keep rate-cut odds alive and long yields contained tech can keep running; if inflation re-accelerates"
X Link 2026-02-09T20:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday: Bitcoins bounce back toward $70K still looks fragile. Perps funding remains negative and open interest is still far below prior highs while options flow stays tilted to downside protection thats caution not conviction. Tickers: $BTC $COIN $MSTR Our view is this is a positioning bounce not a new trend. If funding flips positive and OI rebuilds while BTC holds above $70K upside can extend; if not a retest of the low-$60Ks remains the cleaner base case. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020976406826778892 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020976406826778892"
X Link 2026-02-09T21:41Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"2/5: onsemi posts Q4 [----] revenue of $1.53bn and non-GAAP EPS $0.64 guides Q1 revenue to $1.44$1.54bn View: Results show resilient margins strong [----] free cash flow and modest upside to expectations $ON $SOXX $SMH $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-10T12:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/5: Amkor beats Q4 EPS expectations by 57% on $1.89bn revenue and outlines aggressive [----] capex for advanced packaging View: Large EPS beat and record advanced packaging traction improve medium-term growth visibility $AMKR $SOXX $SMH $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-10T12:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4/5: Pagaya posts Q4 [----] revenue of $335m and adjusted EBITDA margin of 29% capping year with $1.3bn revenue and $81m GAAP profit View: Strong [----] results with 26% revenue growth $81 million GAAP profit and 29% adjusted $PGY $KRE $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-10T12:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report 2026-02-10 [--] material moves and analysis WTI and RBOB rise [--] [--] supply risk eased $XLE $SPY Becton Dickinson gets 4B from spin merger $BDX $WAT NY Fed inflation expectations fall to [--] [--] $SPY $DX-Y.NYB Etc. https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-011 https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-011"
X Link 2026-02-10T12:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday: S&P Global (SPGI) guided [----] adjusted EPS to $19.40$19.65 (below Street $19.94) with Q4 adjusted EPS at $4.30 vs $4.33 expected. The stock sold off as investors were already in a risk-off mood toward data/software names. This isnt just an SPGI one-off miss its landing in an AI-disruption de-rating wave after Anthropics recent releases pushed markets to reprice workflow-exposed incumbents across software and information services. Tickers: $SPGI $MCO $FDS Our view is this is a classic double-hit: softer guidance + multiple compression from AI fear. If incumbents can prove"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday: US December retail sales came in flat MoM (0.0% vs +0.4% expected) and the control-group gauge slipped -0.1% with prior data revised lower a sign the holiday spending burst faded faster than expected. Weakness showed up across key discretionary buckets (autos/furniture/apparel) while building materials and online sales held up better. This keeps the consumer breadth is narrowing narrative in play into jobs + CPI week. Tickers: $XRT $AMZN $TLT Our view is this is a slowdown-in-breadth print not a collapse. If labor + inflation also cool duration and defensives likely lead; if"
X Link 2026-02-10T16:52Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday Abu Dhabis MGX is reportedly nearing a commitment to Anthropics latest fundraise with the round now expected to top $20B at roughly a $350B valuation. The raise appears to have expanded from an earlier $10B target reinforcing how fast capital is concentrating into frontier-model leaders. Reuters noted parts of the report were not independently verified. Tickers: $AMZN $GOOGL $NVDA Our view is this is a scale signal: AI is becoming a balance-sheet game not a feature race. If this round closes near the headline terms and enterprise adoption keeps compounding infra winners"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday: QVC Group is reportedly in confidential talks with creditors on a voluntary debt restructuring that could be implemented via Chapter [--]. This looks like a balance-sheet event not just a demand wobble: QVC disclosed $6.615B of debt as of Sep. [--] [----] including $2.9B drawn on a facility maturing Oct. [--] [----] and said ongoing operations depend on refinancing/repayment. Tickers: $QVCGA $AMZN $WMT Our view is this is a liability-management story first and an equity story second. If QVC gets runway extension without punitive terms the stock can stabilize; if talks drift toward"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday: Fed speakers just leaned hawkish at the margin: Cleveland Feds Hammack said policy could stay on hold for quite some time and Dallas Feds Logan said further cuts likely require material labor-market weakness. Coming right after a flat December retail-sales print this sets up a high-stakes jobs/CPI week rather than a pre-emptive easing pivot. Tickers: $SPY $TLT $DXY Our view is the Fed put is farther out than bulls want. If payrolls dont crack and core inflation doesnt cool decisively higher-for-longer stays in control tradable bounces can happen but theyre less durable and"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday: Ford (F) posted Q4 adjusted EPS of $0.13 below consensus ($0.18) but guided [----] adjusted EBIT to $8B$10B versus $6.8B in [----]. The setup reads like a rebound year narrative: near-term earnings pressure is real but management is signaling improving profitability into [----] despite tariff and transition noise. Tickers: $F $GM $STLA Our view is this is a margin-rebuild story not a clean demand supercycle. If Ford executes the high-margin truck/SUV mix and policy headwinds stabilize shares can keep grinding higher; if tariff friction and EV drag re-accelerate this quickly"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@CryptosR_Us Median wage might be a more reasonable indicator. Gold is no longer an inflation-hedging tool what can you really expect as a good economy indicator these days :)"
X Link 2026-02-11T01:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/3: Galecto (GLTO) prices $275mn underwritten public equity offering at $19 a discount to prior close View: The deals size versus Galectos prior market cap and the discount to $21.52 suggest $GLTO"
X Link 2026-02-11T12:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4/4: Eddie Bauer operator Catalyst Brands files Chapter 11; [---] U.S. stores to liquidate by April [--] [----] View: Store liquidations and potential April [--] closures signal mounting pressure on discretionary brickandmortar tenants $XRT $XLY $VNQ"
X Link 2026-02-11T13:01Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report 2026-02-11 [--] material moves and analysis Q4 [----] ECI posts [--] [--] y y gain $TLT $SPY Galecto prices 275M equity offering $GLTO EIA lifts Henry Hub [----] price outlook $UNG $BOIL Etc. https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-9d1 https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-9d1"
X Link 2026-02-11T16:44Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday: US January jobs came in stronger than expected: payrolls +130K (vs +65K consensus) unemployment down to 4.3% and average hourly earnings +0.4% m/m. The annual benchmark revision still showed prior payroll levels were marked down by roughly 900K but todays print was strong enough to push June cut odds below 50% and reinforce a Fed wait-and-see stance. Tickers: $SPY $TLT $UUP Our view is the bar for a mid-year cut just moved higher. If CPI stays sticky expect rates-up / duration-down pressure; if CPI cools decisively risk assets get room to squeeze higher."
X Link 2026-02-11T17:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@DeItaone Big money doesnt buy headlines it buys durability. Our model shows META still has earnings power from ad efficiency + AI tools our view is this is a conviction bet on multi-year FCF not a one-quarter trade"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:20Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday: Bloomberg reports the Fed has started reviewing outstanding supervisory warnings (MRAs/MRIAs) and may withdraw items that dont meet a tighter material financial risk threshold with reviews running through March and determinations expected by end-July. That signals a meaningful shift toward less process-driven oversight and a higher bar for formal findings. Tickers: $JPM $BAC $KBE Our view is this is a near-term positive for bank multiples: lower compliance drag cleaner operating focus and a friendlier supervisory backdrop. If banks start showing faster closure of exam"
X Link 2026-02-11T18:34Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday: US January payrolls came in at +130K vs +65K consensus unemployment fell to 4.3% and wages rose +0.4% m/m. But the benchmark revision cut prior-year payrolls by roughly 900K so this reads as labor-market stabilization not a true re-acceleration. Rates repriced hawkishly (2Y near 3.5%) and software rolled over even as the broad tape held in better than expected. Tickers: $SPY $TLT $IGV Our view is good macro is bad multiple right now: stronger jobs keep the Fed patient and long-duration software gets hit first. If CPI runs hot expect another de-rating leg; if disinflation"
X Link 2026-02-11T20:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Evening Insights 2026-02-11 - Market Wrap and Trades For Tomorrow Tickers: $ES=F $ZN=F $ZB=F $DXY $GC=F $CL=F $RB=F $HO=F $MLM $ITB $XHB $TLT $COIN $BTC-USD Stocks modestly mixed yields shifted after payrolls and benchmark revision dominated markets. After hours: Martin Marietta filed results and [----] EBITDA guidance. Tomorrow Trade Ideas. https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-evening-insights-2026-02-560 https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-evening-insights-2026-02-560"
X Link 2026-02-12T01:29Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Midday: House Passes Canada-Tariff Rollback Bill but Near-Term Policy Risk Stays High The Republican-led House passed legislation to end Trumps Canada tariffs by a [------] vote with six Republicans joining Democrats. Its a clear political warning sign on affordability but near-term policy change is still uncertain because Trump has signaled he would veto similar measures. The backdrop is a very thin House majority which raises the political cost of staying hardline on tariffs into the election stretch. Tickers: $F $GM $DHI Heres what matters: Our view is this is a signal trade not a done"
X Link 2026-02-12T01:32Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report 2026-02-12 [--] material moves and analysis House passes bill to end Canada tariffs [---] [---] $SPY $XLI January adds [---] [---] jobs [---] [---] revision $SPY $QQQ Martin Marietta posts record margins but guides down [--] $MLM $SPY Etc. https://open.substack.com/pub/pickalpha/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-675r=1m2m41&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/pickalpha/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-675r=1m2m41&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-12T13:10Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/4: Avantor (AVTR) Q4 and [----] results show revenue declines $530M net loss; company launches Revival program and segment realignment View: Reset [----] results with declining revenue margin compression and a large net loss increase $AVTR $XLV $XLB $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-12T13:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4/4: NNN REIT (NNN) Q4 [----] beats with strong FFO and 11.2% revenue growth; [----] AFFO guidance above consensus View: Beat-and-raise quarter with 98.3% occupancy and above-consensus [----] AFFO improves earnings visibility $NNN $VNQ $XLRE $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-12T13:23Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday AI Capital Markets Anthropic said it raised $30B at a $380B valuation with GIC and Coatue leading and participation from major crossover funds and strategic investors. The company also pointed to a sharply higher revenue run-rate and said it will allow employee secondary sales at the same valuation. The round reinforces that capital access remains a core competitive edge in frontier AI. Tickers: $MSFT $NVDA $GOOGL Heres what matters: Our view is this is a funding-power signal not a near-term profitability signal. If enterprise monetization keeps compounding this valuation can"
X Link 2026-02-12T19:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday- Gold fell as much as 4.1% silver dropped up to 11% and LME copper slid about 2.9% in a fast cross-asset risk-off move before partially rebounding. The broader tape was pressured by renewed AI-spending concerns in tech and part of the metals move looked liquidity-driven as investors raised cash during volatility. Tickers: $GLD $SLV $FCX Our view is this is liquidity stress first fundamentals second. If equity volatility stays elevated metals can stay choppy even with safe-haven narratives; if tech stabilizes and forced deleveraging fades gold/silver should normalize faster"
X Link 2026-02-12T21:47Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday AI scare rotates into logistics US logistics names got hit as AI-disruption fears spread beyond software into broker-heavy transport models. By Thursdays latest quotes $CHRW was down $28.88 $LSTR down $25.43 and $RXO down $3.34 while micro-cap Algorhythm ($RIME) was up $0.248 after highlighting SemiCab deployments that it says can scale freight volumes 300%400% without matching headcount growth. Tickers: $CHRW $LSTR $RXO Our view is this looks like a fast de-risking move not confirmed structural damage yet. If broker share-loss data and margin compression do not show up over"
X Link 2026-02-12T22:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"@ArkkDaily Gold leading BTC is a useful narrative not a law. Our model shows BTC is more sensitive to liquidity and real yields than bullion trend; we suggest to view gold as context in your investment analysis not trigger"
X Link 2026-02-12T22:20Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Evening Insights 2026-02-12 - Market Wrap and Trades For Tomorrow Tickers: $SPY $TLT $DXY $XHB $ITB $NG=F $UNG $IEF $DKNG $AMAT $LRCX $KLAC $GC=F $WEN Stocks steadied as long-end yields rose after the 30-year auction and an upbeat semicap guide. After hours featured Applied Materials guiding above estimates and DraftKings reporting strong results. Tomorrow Trade Ideas. https://open.substack.com/pub/pickalpha/p/pickalpha-evening-insights-2026-02-449r=1m2m41&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-13T02:02Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"2/5: DraftKings posts 43% Q4 revenue growth first fullyear profit raises [----] outlook View: Stronger [----] profitability first full-year profit and constructive [----] guidance are positive for DKNG $DKNG $BETZ"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/5: Exelon beats Q4 estimates boosts fouryear capex plan to $41.3bn and guides [----] EPS above Street View: The EPS beat expanded $41.3 billion capex plan and slightly aboveconsensus [----] guidance improve $EXC $XLU"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:42Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4/5: Churchill Capital Corp X shareholders approve Infleqtion merger; $551.4mn gross proceeds expected NYSE listing planned View: Funding is largely de-risked and the NYSE listing is a clear catalyst $CCCX"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:42Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"3/3: BLS revises key [----] macro data release dates after shutdown including CPI and jobs report View: With key January [----] CPI and jobs data now tightly clustered before the March $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:44Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Midday update: US inflation came in milder than feared to start the year with January CPI at +0.2% m/m (vs +0.3% est) and core CPI at +0.3% m/m (in line). On a yearly basis CPI cooled to 2.4% and core held at 2.5% easing concerns about a bigger January re-acceleration and lifting rate-cut expectations. Tickers: $SPY $TLT $DXY Our view is this is a clear relief print not a full victory lap for the Fed. If the next [--] inflation reports stay this tame markets can sustain pricing for multiple [----] cuts; if tariff pass-through starts to reheat core services that dovish repricing can reverse fast."
X Link 2026-02-13T17:04Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Midday: First Brands Group and key creditors are discussing moving some units from Chapter [--] into Chapter [--] liquidation as cash runs critically low. The company is already winding down North American operations in Brake Parts Cardone and Autolite and has reportedly been relying on week-to-week funding support including customer prepayments to keep essential supply flowing. Distressed pricing reflects the damage: top debt is quoted around [----] cents while lower-priority paper is near zero. Tickers: $DAN $BWA $LEA Heres what matters: Our view is this is no longer a reorg story its becoming an"
X Link 2026-02-13T20:06Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Macro Events: 2026.02.14 Event Analysis - 1/3: U.S. January CPI prints 0.2% MoM 2.4% YoY; core at 0.3% MoM and 2.5% YoY slightly softer than consensus View: The marginal downside surprise in January CPI reinforces [----] rate-cut expectations and supports U.S. $SPY $QQQ $IWM $UUP https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022690799616446954 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022690799616446954"
X Link 2026-02-14T15:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/6: Tradeweb authorizes new $500mn [----] share repurchase program for Class A stock View: The sizable new authorization and active use of the [----] plan increase potential buyback $TW $KBE $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-06T12:45Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2026.01.28 News Analysis - 1/6: BD sets record date and final terms for taxefficient spin-off and Reverse Morris Trust merger with Waters View: Transaction terms tax ruling and approvals reduce deal risk and clarify value transfer $BDX $WAT $XLV $XHE"
X Link 2026-01-28T12:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/5: Borr Drilling closes $360mn acquisition of five Noble jackup rigs expanding fleet to [--] units View: The fleet expansion is strategically positive and could enhance backlog and day-rate leverage $BORR $NE $RIG $OIH"
X Link 2026-01-29T12:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"8/8: Faraday Future signs $10m stock purchase agreement for Class A common shares with AIxC-identified investor View: The $10m equity infusion eases immediate liquidity pressure $FFAI $TSLA $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-02T12:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2026.02.06 News Analysis - 1/6: Phillips [--] shutters Los Angeles refinery cutting [---] jobs and removing 139kb/d of legacy capacity View: The closure and job cuts formalize an already-expected capacity loss $PSX $VLO $XLE"
X Link 2026-02-06T12:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2026.02.07 News Analysis - 1/6: Ubiquiti (UI) posts record F2Q26 revenue and EPS; declares $0.80 dividend payable Feb. [--] [----] View: Record revenue 70% EPS growth margin expansion and a committed $0.80 quarterly dividend strengthen $UI $SPY $SMH https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020169987541868642 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020169987541868642"
X Link 2026-02-07T16:17Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Macro Events: 2026.02.11 Event Analysis - 1/4: U.S. Employment Cost Index shows Q4 [----] compensation up 0.7% q/q and 3.4% y/y easing from [----] View: Moderating ECI lowers near-term Fed hike risk and supports TLT and SPY $TLT $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-11T12:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"@CryptosR_Us Yes exhaustion can be bullish short term. No that doesnt mean fundamentals are fixed"
X Link 2026-02-15T03:11Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"PickAlpha Weekend: Wall Street bank CEO pay just reset to a new high: top U.S. bank chiefs are now all at $40M+ annual compensation above prior cycle peaks. BAC raised Brian Moynihan to $41M (+17%) Citi raised Jane Fraser to $42M (+22%) and Goldman paid David Solomon $47M (+21% highest among peers). This is happening alongside the sectors strongest annual earnings since [----] and bonus pools at major banks rising 10%+ on stronger trading/dealmaking. Tickers: $GS $BAC $C Our view is boards are paying like this cycle still has legs - now delivery has to match. If capital-markets momentum stays"
X Link 2026-02-15T03:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2026.02.16 News Analysis - 1/3: Treasury Wine Estates 1H FY26 profit slumps 46% and interim dividend suspended after U.S. writedown View: Halved underlying profit a large U.S. writedown and suspension of the FY26 interim dividend $TSRYF $EWA"
X Link 2026-02-16T22:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Your edge in [--] minutes a day. PickAlpha is a research team of market veterans augmented by our own AI reasoning engine - built for people who actually trade. Daily Morning/Evening Insights; Weekly Recap and Deep Dive Series Best work is in the thread below 👇 http://research.pickalpha.ai http://research.pickalpha.ai"
X Link 2025-12-11T04:26Z [---] followers, [----] engagements
"4/5: PepsiCo raises quarterly dividend 5% to $1.4225 per share and signals further 4% annualized increase from June [----] View: The staged 5% and subsequent 4% dividend increases modestly improve income visibility and support $PEP $XLP $VIG"
X Link 2026-02-05T12:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Look Into Next Week Macro Look Next week is macro-heavy around inflation growth and supply: UK CPI US PCE PMIs and two UST auctions should mainly reprice rates USD and broader risk. Energy balances via EIA reports could add volatility in $CL=F and $XLE after this weeks 8.5Mbbl crude build. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023102864026202141 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023102864026202141"
X Link 2026-02-15T18:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Weekend: Warner Bros. Discovery is weighing whether to re-engage Paramount after a revised hostile offer that now covers WBDs $2.8B Netflix breakup fee and adds a quarterly ticking fee if closing slips past Dec. [--] [----]. Paramount kept headline price at $30/share but added financing protections while WBDs board is discussing whether the revised structure could be superior or push Netflix to raise. Tickers: $WBD $NFLX $PARA Our view is WBDs leverage just improved. If either bidder sweetens economics deal-value upside opens; if the board quickly recommits to current terms with no bump"
X Link 2026-02-15T20:07Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"PickAlpha Weekend- U.S. options exchanges are pushing the SEC to replace the legacy ORF model (where fees can be assessed even when a trade executes on another venue) with an on-exchange model where each venue only charges ORF on its own prints. Cboe and MIAX filings explicitly say customer-range trades executed on other exchanges would no longer be subject to their ORF under the proposed approach and Nasdaq has already filed related methodology changes and delayed implementation to align with an industry transition timeline. Tickers: $CBOE $NDAQ Our view is this is a clean market-structure"
X Link 2026-02-15T21:48Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/4: Indias January wholesale inflation (WPI) jumps to 1.81% YoY vs 0.83% in December and 1.25% consensus View: The WPI surprise mainly shifts expectations not fundamentals yet $INDA $EPI"
X Link 2026-02-16T22:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2026.02.17 News Analysis - 1/4: Medtronic (MDT) posts strong Q3 FY26 beat reiterates FY26 guidance and highlights major U.S. device approvals View: Strong Q3 beat accelerating Cardiovascular and Diabetes growth reaffirmed FY26 guidance and multiple new $MDT $XLV $SPY https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023742653196595496 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023742653196595496"
X Link 2026-02-17T12:53Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/4: Axsome (AXSM) settles SUNOSI patent case grants Alkem licensed U.S. generic entry from [----] View: The settlement extends expected SUNOSI exclusivity and reduces one litigation overhang $AXSM $XBI"
X Link 2026-02-17T12:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2026.01.29 News Analysis - 1/5: Xsolla SPAC [--] prices $200mn IPO; units to begin trading Jan. [--] on Nasdaq as XSLLU View: IPO creates a new trading vehicle $XSLLU $XSLL $XSLLW $SPIP $SPY"
X Link 2026-01-29T12:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"6/8: Equinox Gold reports significant new discovery near Valentine mill and high-grade gold outside current resources View: Exploration results near Valentine mill increase EQXs upside torque $EQX $GLD $GDX $GDXJ"
X Link 2026-02-02T12:57Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"3/5: Kulicke & Soffa Q1 FY26 revenue rises 20% to $199.6m with nonGAAP EPS up to $0.44 on 49.6% gross margin View: Revenue acceleration 49.6% gross margin and rising non-GAAP EPS suggest an early-cycle recovery $KLIC $SMH"
X Link 2026-02-05T12:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2026.02.09 News Analysis - 1/5: Advent- and FedEx-led consortium to acquire InPost in 7.8bn all-cash take-private at [-----] per share View: Strategic benefits and undemanding 8.2x FY2026 EBITDA entry multiple are offset by longdated closing $FDX $SPY https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020873117862649894 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2020873117862649894"
X Link 2026-02-09T14:51Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4/5: swings to large Q4 profit on $285m tax reversal; Q4 revenue $142m FY2025 revenue $584m View: Large GAAP and non-GAAP profit improvements are heavily influenced by a one-off tax reversal $SOHU $KWEB $FXI http://Sohu.com http://Sohu.com"
X Link 2026-02-09T14:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"5/5: Cleveland-Cliffs posts Q4 [----] loss of $235m on flat $4.3bn revenue; FY2025 revenue $18.6bn with $1.4bn net loss View: The print confirms significant [----] losses $CLF $X $SLX $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-09T14:58Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2026.02.10 News Analysis - 1/5: Becton Dickinson completes spin-off and merger of Biosciences & Diagnostics unit with Waters receives $4bn cash for buybacks and debt paydown View: The transaction is closed and capital allocation plans are defined $BDX $WAT $XLV $SPY https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021206357454594424 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021206357454594424"
X Link 2026-02-10T12:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2026.02.11 News Analysis - 1/3: Lone Star completes $32/share allcash acquisition of Hillenbrand (HI) valuing deal at $3.8bn EV View: Deal closure and delisting fix HIs value at $32 per share leaving no further $HI $XLI"
X Link 2026-02-11T12:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Macro Events: 2026.02.13 Event Analysis - 1/3: U.S. crude inventories jump 8.5mn bbl WoW; total petroleum stocks down as products draw View: Conflicting signals from a large crude build tighter distillates and resilient demand make nearterm $XLE $XOM https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022320800716484817 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022320800716484817"
X Link 2026-02-13T14:43Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Macro Events: 2026.02.17 Event Analysis - 1/2: U.S. 30-year refi mortgage rate ticks down to 6.47% easing marginally from prior day View: Tiny 1bp refi-rate decline to 6.47% offers limited incremental support for homebuilders and mortgage $MBB $XHB $ITB"
X Link 2026-02-17T12:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/2: Spot silver in Delhi drops 22% month-to-date hitting February low and signaling sharp correction View: A fresh 20% intra-month drawdown and repeated large daily declines suggest fragile sentiment $SLV"
X Link 2026-02-17T12:55Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/4: SEC approves NYSE Arca listing and trading of Sprott Physical Copper Trust units creating new exchange-traded copper vehicle View: Monitor early trading and AUM in the Sprott Physical Copper Trust to gauge whether $CPER $GCC $DBC"
X Link 2026-02-03T12:56Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday: Baidu (BIDU) authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $5B through Dec. [--] [----] and adopted its first-ever dividend policy with the board expecting to declare its first dividend in [----]. Tickers: $BIDU $BABA $KWEB Our view is this is a real capital-return floor signal but it only works if it hits the tape. If buybacks show up as consistent quarterly reduction and the [----] dividend gets a clear framework BIDU can re-rate; if cash gets soaked by AI/robotaxi spend without monetization this reads as optics. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019240984291279137"
X Link 2026-02-05T02:45Z [---] followers, [---] engagements
"3/6: NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) renews and upsizes $3bn unsecured revolving credit facility to [----] View: The enlarged long-dated revolver modestly improves NXPIs liquidity and reduces refinancing risk a credit-positive $NXPI $SOXX $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-07T16:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report 2026-02-09 [--] material moves and analysis Japanese equities rally lifts ETFs to records $EWJ $DXJ FedEx and Advent agree [--] 8B InPost takeover $FDX $SPY Apollo posts 938B AUM and [--] [--] dividend $APO $XLF Etc. https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-923 https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-923"
X Link 2026-02-09T15:03Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Company News: 2026.02.12 News Analysis - 1/4: Martin Marietta (MLM) Q4 and full-year [----] results; [----] revenue guidance below Street expectations View: Sub-consensus [----] guidance and Q4 margin compression introduce near-term estimate and sentiment risk $MLM $SPY $XLB https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021938003975848420 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021938003975848420"
X Link 2026-02-12T13:22Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Weekend- China equities are losing momentum as earnings and macro both softened into Lunar New Year. Q4 pre-announcements from over [----] A-shares showed negative alerts outnumbered positives by 14.8% (vs. -4.8% in Q2) while growth cooled to 4.5% YoY January PPI stayed in deflation at -1.4% YoY and recent PMIs pointed to weaker underlying demand. With JanuaryFebruary data bundled and major policy signals likely delayed until the March NPC investors are questioning whether holiday spending can deliver the usual earnings lift. Tickers: $MCHI $FXI $BYDDY Our view is this is an"
X Link 2026-02-15T01:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Weekend - Look Into Next Week 2026-02-14 1) Weekly Recap 2) Look Into Next WeekWatchlist: $SPY $DXY $IEF $SOXX $XLE $QQQ $XLY $CL=F $TLT $FXI $NG=F $UNG $TIP $EZU $PANW $CDNS $ADI $BKNG What priced this week and what prices next week. https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-weekend-look-into-next-c7f https://research.pickalpha.ai/p/pickalpha-weekend-look-into-next-c7f"
X Link 2026-02-15T18:30Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"Company Look Next week is sectordispersion rather than broad indexbeta driven: earnings from software/semis consumer industrials and energy should steer style and sector rotation more than the headline indices. Earnings from $PANW $CDNS $ADI $BKNG $OXY $DE $WMT $ETSY numeric anchor: N/A; results/guidance steer growth margins and capex expectations sector leadership and index breadth in $QQQ $XLY $XLE $XLI $SPY https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023102932405625069 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2023102932405625069"
X Link 2026-02-15T18:31Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Macro Events: 2026.02.16 Event Analysis - 1/4: RBIs Commercial Banks Credit Facilities Amendment Directions [----] tighten collateral and ban bank funding of proprietary trading View: The RBI framework is structurally negative for Indian brokers and exchanges $INDA $EPI"
X Link 2026-02-16T22:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/4: Japan Q4 [----] GDP grows only 0.2% annualised vs 1.6% forecast narrowly avoiding technical recession View: The GDP miss weakens the growth narrative $EWJ $DXJ"
X Link 2026-02-16T22:12Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/3: New Zealands a2 Milk raises FY26 revenue growth guidance after 1H profit beat; China demand strong View: Earnings beat and upgraded FY26 revenue guidance support fundamentals $ACOPF"
X Link 2026-02-16T22:14Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/3: Australias BlueScope Steel beats 1H earnings guides 2H EBIT to A$620700mn amid stronger U.S. spreads View: Strong 1H beat and higher 2H guidance are offset by a skeptical market reaction $BLSFY $EWA"
X Link 2026-02-16T22:15Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/4: Hytera still owes Motorola over $200m in trade-secret case criminal sentencing expected March [--] View: Event confirms sizeable receivable and potential competitive tailwind $MSI $HIO $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-17T12:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4/4: Our Bond (OBAI) issues $526k 10% promissory note with tight covenants to Ascent Partners Fund View: The expensive tightly covenanted note raises financing costs and constrains future capital raises likely $OBAI"
X Link 2026-02-17T12:54Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report 2026-02-17 [--] material moves and analysis U S 30-year refinance rate eases 1bp to [--] $MBB $XHB Medtronic posts Q3 beat and reiterates FY26 guidance $MDT $XLV Axsome settles SUNOSI patent deal limits U S generics $AXSM $XBI Etc. https://open.substack.com/pub/pickalpha/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-b73r=1m2m41&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true https://open.substack.com/pub/pickalpha/p/pickalpha-morning-report-2026-02-b73r=1m2m41&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true"
X Link 2026-02-17T12:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"2/4: U.S. import prices up 0.1% m/m and export prices up 0.3% m/m in December 2025; export prices +3.1% y/y View: The December importexport price data signal favorable terms of trade with benign import inflation $UUP $SPY $EEM"
X Link 2026-02-11T12:59Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Morning Report - Macro Events: 2026.02.12 Event Analysis - 1/3: U.S. January [----] Employment Situation: payrolls +130K unemployment 4.3% large downward benchmark revision View: Conflicting signals between stronger January payrolls and a large downward [----] revision create a $SPY $QQQ $IWM $TLT $XLF $XLV"
X Link 2026-02-12T13:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"3/3: U.S. House votes [------] to end tariffs on Canada; Trump expected to veto but trade policy shift gains momentum View: With a Trump veto still base case and Fed cut timing in flux near-term $SPY $XLI $XLB $XLE $FXC"
X Link 2026-02-12T13:25Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"4/4: Oil steady as markets weigh USIran nuclear talks and potential OPEC+ output increase from April View: With Brent and WTI flat $USO $XLE"
X Link 2026-02-16T22:13Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday: Canadas January CPI cooled to 2.3% y/y (from 2.4%) and seasonally adjusted CPI was +0.1% m/m a softer print than feared on the headline trend. With the BoC still holding policy at 2.25% and flagging trade-policy uncertainty this reads as disinflation continues but no rush to ease. Tickers: $FXC $EWC Our view is this is mildly CAD-dovish not a full dovish pivot. If next print keeps core drifting lower cut-pricing can build and CAD can soften; if tariff pass-through re-accelerates core the BoC hold lasts longer and that easing trade gets squeezed."
X Link 2026-02-17T13:38Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"5/5: Cleveland-Cliffs reports Q4 [----] loss of $243m but narrower EPS loss than expected on $4.31bn revenue View: Earnings beat on adjusted EPS contrasts with revenue weakness and a large full-year loss $CLF $X $SLX $SPY"
X Link 2026-02-10T12:56Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
"PickAlpha Midday: Bitcoin stayed in risk-off mode trading around $67.3K (intraday low near $66.7K) while broad macro caution and weaker equity futures pressured high-beta assets. Bloomberg also notes BTC has recently traded like a high-beta tech proxy rather than a standalone macro hedge. Positioning still looks fragile: Bloomberg flagged a Fear & Greed reading of 10/100 (extreme fear) and U.S. spot ETF tape remains a headwind (Farside daily prints for Feb [---] imply roughly -$0.37B net for the week by summing reported flows). Tickers: $BTC $COIN $MSTR Our view is this is still a flow-driven"
X Link 2026-02-17T16:19Z [---] followers, [--] engagements
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