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@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos Nick Timiraos

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell faced criticism from President Trump and others over the Fed's interest rate policy, with Trump expressing frustration over the Fed's "total and complete moron" and implying he may accelerate the announcement of a new Fed chair. Powell testified before Congress, emphasizing that the Fed is not yet ready to look through tariff-driven price increases and that inflation risks remain. Economists and Fed officials are debating the potential for interest rate cuts, with some arguing that recent improvements in inflation data could warrant a cut, while others see risks from tariffs and a strong labor market.

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Social Influence #

Social category influence finance #1011 countries

Social topic influence fed #34, inflation #35, bessent #19, rates #36, tariffs, federal reserve #41, jerome #44, jerome powell #35, treasury secretary, fed chair #51

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @sidprabhu @rev_cap @spencerhakimian @biancoresearch @darioperkins @mayankseksaria @conorsen @warrenpies @dampedspring @tdgraff @stevehou0 @joperec @blacklioncta @schwartzbwsj @jimdelisle @jasonfurman @dannydayan5 @seniorstrategen @anthpb @jacksonleeburn1

Top Social Posts #

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"Join us here for a conversation on the economy and markets:"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-15 18:00:00 UTC 424.4K followers, 51.4K engagements

"Waller arrives at this out-of-consensus position (relative to his colleagues) because he thinks the Fed should look through tariffs and move rates closer to neutral. We should not wait until the labor market deteriorates before we cut the policy rate"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-17 22:40:40 UTC 424.4K followers, 63.7K engagements

"There could be a choose-your-own narrative quality to today's CPI report. Core prices rose XXXX% which just happens to be the median MoM rise in core prices over the previous XX months (meaning six months were above and six months were below). This is ever so slightly on the soft side of what was expected by some forecasters but the bottom line is that most of those forecasters expect more meaningful tariff effects in July and August . and goods prices were firmer in June. If you think the worst of the tariff-driven price hikes is still ahead then this report doesn't change your underlying"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-15 13:11:28 UTC 424.4K followers, 224.1K engagements

"Removing Powell as Fed chair could lead to a messy drawn-out standoff. The Fed owns its buildings and controls its security. If Trump attempts removal Powell could try to stay until the courts uphold it or the Senate confirms a replacement"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-17 01:27:33 UTC 424.4K followers, 93.7K engagements

"Senate Majority Leader John Thune said markets want an independent Federal Reserve that isn't subject to political whims and suggested firing Powell could be damaging to financial markets. From a Wednesday interview on Fox: BAIER: President Trump asked House Republicans on Tuesday during a meeting in the Oval whether he should fire the Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell. They expressed approval. So as the head of the Senate Republicans do you think the President should fire the Fed chair What do you think that would do THUNE: Well I think that ultimately the president probably will make that"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-17 11:18:27 UTC 424.4K followers, 52.2K engagements

"If people really want to crawl down the rabbit hole of what the Federal Reserve is allowed to do with its finances for the purposes of its buildings (how else does one spend a weekend in Washington these days) they'll find some fairly complete answers in the Federal Reserve Act including as it was amended in December 2000 when Congress explicitly provided for the Fed to expand. (emphasis is mine) "The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System shall have power to levy semiannually upon the Federal reserve banks in proportion to their capital stock and surplus an assessment sufficient to"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-13 17:02:25 UTC 424.4K followers, 57.5K engagements

"Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent in recent days privately laid out his case to President Trump for why he believed Trump shouldnt try to oust Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell people familiar with the matter said. @schwartzbWSJ"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-19 19:45:14 UTC 424.4K followers, 262.5K engagements

"Yellen: I don't talk to Secretary Bessent. He has undone everything I worked on at Treasury. Bessent: "I couldn't even tell you what Secretary Yellen's China policy was aside from consuming beer and mushrooms." via @bobdavis187"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-18 18:17:35 UTC 424.4K followers, 301.4K engagements

"Piper Sandler's Andy Laperriere: "It's hard to know when this will matter to financial markets but the politicization of the Fed we are witnessing is a monumental development." "While we would not argue the Fed has been pure as the driven snow for the past XX years (and certainly made plenty of mistakes) the turn we are witnessing is a consequential break.""
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-17 11:56:09 UTC 424.4K followers, 66.8K engagements

"Kevin Warsh to Larry Kudlow on FBN: -"You can have materially lower interest rates" if the Fed would shrink a couple trillion dollars off the balance sheet. -"We're in a housing recession right now." -Financial market conditions are loose. -"Tariffs are not inflationary.""
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-08 00:44:02 UTC 424.2K followers, 116.9K engagements

"The Fed minutes tell us something we already knew: Officials are divided into three groups 1) Cut this year but not July (the largest group) 2) No cuts this year 3) Cut as soon as the next meeting (which the minutes suggest is only a "couple" ie Waller and Bowman)"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-09 18:08:41 UTC 424.4K followers, 268.9K engagements

"PSA: Join me at X p.m. ET on Tuesday for this webinar on the economy and markets with Lael Brainard and Joe Amato at @GUFinPolicy Register here:"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-14 20:00:00 UTC 424.2K followers, 88.9K engagements

"CPI is close to consensus. Not as mild as May. Core prices rose XXXX% in June. 12-month inflation was XXX% Headline prices rose 0.29%. 12-month inflation was 2.6%"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-15 12:37:06 UTC 424.4K followers, 319.6K engagements

"@TXMCtrades He angled to get the vice chair post under Powell. Trump ultimately gave it to Clarida who reported up to El-Erian at Pimco after Powell backed Clarida for the job. Powell wanted someone who could help on monetary policy and who he could trust"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-22 14:35:21 UTC 424.4K followers, 3559 engagements

"Bessent on the Fed: "Based on the way they cut rates last fall they should be cutting rates now.""
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-22 17:00:49 UTC 424.4K followers, 69.4K engagements

"Why shouldnt it be held to the same standard (I wasnt the one making the connection between oversight and capitaljust responding to the connection asserted here: a review of the decision to undertake such a project by an institution reporting operating losses of more than $XXX billion per year should be conducted.)"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-22 03:24:01 UTC 424.4K followers, 1339 engagements

"@klahti @karimbasta We covered this project a couple years ago:"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-22 03:28:05 UTC 424.4K followers, 1334 engagements

"President Trump denied that he was planning to attempt to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell after polling GOP lawmakers during a closed-door meeting about whether he should oust him. I dont rule out anything but I think its highly unlikely.""
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-16 16:26:39 UTC 424.4K followers, 68.6K engagements

"Dallas Fed's Lorie Logan: "My base case is that we'll need to keep interest rates modestly restrictive for some time" But "it's also possible that some combination of softer inflation and a weakening labor market will call for lower rates fairly soon.""
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-15 23:50:00 UTC 424.4K followers, 96K engagements

"Trump: "These tariffs may be modified upward or downward depending on our relationship with your country.""
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-07 16:32:02 UTC 424.4K followers, 457.5K engagements

"At a meeting with investors last month Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent lamented Fed Chair Jay Powells caution on rates after having misjudged inflation as transitory in 2021. Attendees said Bessent compared the Fed chair to an old man who having hurt himself after a bad fall was now more likely to fall again because he is always looking down at his feet when he takes a step"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-09 15:05:04 UTC 424.3K followers, 148.4K engagements

"Penns Peter Conti-Brown: We are in a high-stakes moment in the history of the Federal Reserve. It seems clear to me that the Trump administration using various mechanisms has now cooked up a post-hoc explanation for Powells removal"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-13 12:01:25 UTC 424.4K followers, 233.2K engagements

"Trump declines to say if Powell should resign but says he wants the Fed to cut interest rates to X% in order to reduce mortgage rates. Reporter: Do you think that Fed Chair Jerome Powell should resign Trump: I think he's doing a bad job but he's going to be out pretty soon anyway. In eight months he'll be out. But he's I call him 'Too late.' He's too late all the time. He should have lowered interest rates. Many times Europe lowered their rate XX times; we lowered ours none. And it's causing a problem for people that want to buy a home. Look our economy is so strong now. We're blowing through"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-22 17:00:29 UTC 424.4K followers, 89.5K engagements

"Waller removes any doubt: He'll vote for a July cut. The opening line of the speech gets to the point: My purpose this evening is to explain why I believe that the FOMC should reduce our policy rate by XX basis points at our next meeting"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-17 22:30:45 UTC 424.4K followers, 443.8K engagements

"Seasonally adjusted core goods inflation was +0.20% in June the firmest reading since February. Shelter was a mild +0.18% the softest since early 2021. Core services ex housing was +0.21%"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-15 20:40:38 UTC 424.4K followers, 49.2K engagements

"To your point whatever one thinks of the decision to spend money to renovate Eccles and the vacant one acquired next door the fact that the decision was made in 2017 (when the cost was a rounding error on the large interest-income surpluses the Fed was running) seems relevant. Hard to imagine they'd have made the same decision to go ahead in 2022 when staring at large interest-expense deficits that reflect (in part) measures undertaken to stabilize the Treasury market in 2020"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-22 00:53:30 UTC 424.4K followers, 2022 engagements

"Hassett to ABC News on whether Trump uses the Fed building expenses as a pretext to get what he wants which is a new Fed chair. HASSETT: "I think that whether the president decides to push down that road or not is going to depend a lot on the answers that we get to the questions that Russ Vought sent to the Fed." "The bottom line is that there's a key statutory problem. In 1913 when we founded the Fed the U.S. was under a gold standard. So it was never envisioned never envisioned by the people that voted for the construction of the Fed that we currently see that the Fed could print money and"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-13 16:56:20 UTC 424.4K followers, 354.7K engagements

"When people ask me about various internet rumormongering my first instinct is to ignore it in the same way the TV cameras don't show the streaker running on the field at Yankee Stadium. But for people who really do wonder about whether the Fed chair would do the opposite of what he keeps saying he will do (which is to serve out his term as chair now just XX months to go) I reflect on how Powell answered the question about getting in the life raft six years ago. I included that answer in my book because it doesn't get any more absolute: I will never ever ever leave this job voluntarily until"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-12 00:39:25 UTC 424.4K followers, 410.1K engagements

"Goldman: "Market participants seem to agree that the risk to Fed independence is rising as 5-year 5-year forward inflation swaps have recently decoupled higher from their prior close relationship with the 2-year note yield.""
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-22 00:59:01 UTC 424.4K followers, 177.8K engagements

"June CPI is expected to show core prices rose XXXX% which would bring the 12-month increase to XXX% (from XXX% in May). Headline prices are expected to have risen XXXX% which would lift the 12-month measure to XXX% from XXX% in May"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-14 19:34:05 UTC 424.4K followers, 286.1K engagements

"Hassett: Theres absolutely no excuse other than partisanship for the Fed not to cut rates"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-06-25 19:10:23 UTC 424.3K followers, 40K engagements

"Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent who last year floated the idea of naming a "shadow" Fed chair to undercut Jay Powell said the idea of Powell remaining on the Fed board after his term as governor would be "very confusing for the market.""
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-15 13:25:54 UTC 424.4K followers, 109.9K engagements

"It's a Captain Obvious point but: this is setting up to be the most unusual Fed chair succession in over a generation. The first since Volcker succeeded Bill Miller in which the incoming chair promises to take the Fed in a very different direction from his or her predecessor"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-17 14:36:21 UTC 424.4K followers, 67.5K engagements

"Trump's latest Fed attack is playing out in the court of public opinionnot a court of law. An institution that depends on credibility is defending spending choices on buildings issues with greater salience than the arcane details of rate policy"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-17 09:30:01 UTC 424.4K followers, 43K engagements

"Bartiromo: Bill Pulte at FHFA wants Jay Powell to resign immediately. Do you agree that he should step down Bessent: Look I know Chair Powell. There's nothing that tells me that he should step down right now. He's been a good public servant. His term ends in May. If he wants to see that through I think he should. If he wants to leave early I think he should"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-22 14:15:12 UTC 424.4K followers, 67.9K engagements

"On making Bessent his Fed chair Trump says the Treasury secretary "is an option" but he's not the top option "because I like the job he's doing." "I do like the job he's done. So in that sense probably it's not that much of an option.""
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-16 01:34:37 UTC 424.4K followers, 93.7K engagements

"(Full quote: "If you just look at the basic data and don't look at the forecast you would say that we would've continued cutting. The difference of course is at this time all forecasters are expecting pretty soon that some significant inflation will show up from tariffs. And we can't just ignore that.")"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-06-24 14:57:39 UTC 424.4K followers, 67.4K engagements

"No pickup in seasonally adjusted initial claims for unemployment benefits last week. Continuing claims continue to point to a slightly less tight labor market compared to a year ago"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-17 12:34:39 UTC 424.4K followers, 40.3K engagements

"Kevin Warsh is asked by @BeckyQuick if the next Fed chair is going to be indepedent. Warsh: "In a word yes. Ive strongly believed for XX years and history tells us that the independent operations in the conduct of monetary policy is essential.""
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-17 12:11:24 UTC 424.4K followers, 61.2K engagements

"The manufacturing ISM printed at XXXX% in January. U.S. manufacturing activity expanded in January after XX consecutive months of contraction"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-02-03 15:05:32 UTC 424.2K followers, 74.1K engagements

"(Breakeven job growth refers to the number of monthly payroll gains needed on average to hold the unemployment rate steady. If these estimates are right the economy could add very few jobs for the rest of the year without a meaningful rise in the unemployment rate). This would be in some ways the inverse of 2023-24 where the unemployment rate edged up during a period of above-expectations job growth"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-02 14:19:26 UTC 424.3K followers, 31.8K engagements

"The next few months of inflation data will offer a key test of competing theories about whether tariffs will prove inflationary and animate potential Fed divisions over how to manage any costs if forecasts are wrongin either direction"
@NickTimiraos Avatar @NickTimiraos on X 2025-07-10 01:32:17 UTC 424.3K followers, 94.9K engagements