@MikeTFox5 Avatar @MikeTFox5 Mike Thomas

Mike Thomas posts on X about euro, sunday, dc, in the the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

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Social Influence

Social category influence countries 10% currencies #4054 finance 3.08% technology brands 2.31% social networks 1.54% nhl 1.54% stocks 0.77% travel destinations 0.77% ncaa football 0.77%

Social topic influence euro #443, sunday #2898, dc #943, in the 3.08%, bermuda 3.08%, the new 2.31%, frame #522, storm #705, winter 2.31%, matter 1.54%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @ronnie721131565 @tjsb21101 @bick92305 @jackruddenwx @sami733777 @morgan_cody_1 @hurricanemac93 @ccacewx @kilby370 @coreype27918455 @marinamarraco @notmeteormike @mrackzoo @dvweather @capitals @_mikeva @jhatem @jen0828 @kilby_370 @kksisson4

Top assets mentioned Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) April (APRIL)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"http://x.com/i/article/2019957106896449536 http://x.com/i/article/2019957106896449536"
X Link 2026-02-07T02:41Z 21.1K followers, 30.5K engagements

"Showing the new 12z European here.but even on the AIFS (or any model showing the Sunday time frame for that matter) I think your biggest issue locally will be something we haven't had to deal with too much in the last couple of weeks.a lack of cold air. When models were suggesting more Valentine's Day.they head a fresh batch of cold air coming in with a trough swinging through the Northeast in the Thursday time frame to work with. If the storm energy doesn't swing across the country until more Sunday-Monday.a lot of that cold has weakened and is starting to move away. You can see it pretty"
X Link 2026-02-08T21:38Z 21.1K followers, [----] engagements

"@tjsb21101 Chilly. expect some rain out there Sunday into Monday AM"
X Link 2026-02-09T23:19Z 21.1K followers, [--] engagements

"BY THE NUMBERS 🥶❄ DC just had their coldest half-month period (16 days) in THIRTY-TWO years Accounting for missing data.since the day before our snow/sleet event (January 24th) though yesterday (February 8th) the average temperature at DCA was 23.1F. This passes the Christmas-New Years cold outbreak of 2017-18 and moves us just behind [----] in recent history. An unusual and incredible stretch of cold 🥶❄ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021002360525348972 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021002360525348972"
X Link 2026-02-09T23:24Z 21.1K followers, 41.7K engagements

"@Ronnie721131565 You're more talking about a storm threat there which comes along more of a "cold bubble" but what I'm talking about here is another chance for a more sustained cold pattern before we're done with the winter"
X Link 2026-02-14T03:29Z 21.1K followers, [---] engagements

"@Ronnie721131565 Some of the best snows come during warmer patterns Just need things to connect atmospherically and brief cold at the right time"
X Link 2026-02-14T03:32Z 21.1K followers, [---] engagements

"@bick92305 @hurricanemac93 @ccace_wx Here I'll throw in some more New Jersey towns for you since it's Friday and I've got my weekend energy going 😁"
X Link 2026-02-14T04:30Z 21.1K followers, [---] engagements

"@kilby_370 Did you use AI to answer this 😁 It didnt even list the date it was talking about I just wanted to check out the step and such with it"
X Link 2026-02-14T05:21Z 21.1K followers, [---] engagements

"We are [--] days away from the first 6pm sunset of the year (Feb 28th) in Washington DC ☀ We have already gained over an hour of daylight since the winter solstice and.gaining 2+ minutes of daylight a day right now.we need just over [--] more weeks to add another hour of daylight 🌄 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021419846626426989 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021419846626426989"
X Link 2026-02-11T03:03Z 21.1K followers, [----] engagements

"And here is the new 18z European. Still scraping our northern zones with some sleet and wet snow. ❄ Cold air damming high is there.question is how far north can moisture come which depends heavily on it's northern stream interaction.which depends on energy in the stream out in the west. Fun little domino effect Monitoring. The dance of the weekend storm continues. EURO of all models one of the more aggressive with winter weather risks locally showing wet snow & mix just north of DC on Sunday PM. Here I breakdown WHY it's showing this. How far north precip goes is still in question. Tricky"
X Link 2026-02-12T23:33Z 21.1K followers, [----] engagements

"0z European not quite as amped as the GFS solution but is far enough south with the northern branch it sneaks some lighter snows into eastern PA NJ and the NYC/Long Island area as it exits. Still nothing showing GRAF level widespread snows other than the GRAF though the GFS was closest Alright weather twitter.which new 0z model are we rooting for tonight. 🍿😎 https://t.co/4cl6GiGiAF Alright weather twitter.which new 0z model are we rooting for tonight. 🍿😎 https://t.co/4cl6GiGiAF"
X Link 2026-02-14T05:57Z 21.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Lots of nice weather coming up for the DC region this week including a few days of 60F+ weather as our big thaw continues. We do have a bit of a "chilly" cooldown that comes our way by the weekend though. There should be a RAIN system that pushes through in the Friday-Saturday time frame it will be the catalyst that users in the chillier air. Models mixed on whether or not a secondary storm follows on it's heels around the Sunday-Monday time frame. If a storm does develop this would be the next winter threat in the region. Whether or not it's for the Mid-Atlantic or farther north will depend"
X Link 2026-02-16T14:00Z 21.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Well this afternoon's operational guidance suggest that yesterday's AI model suite suggestion of a lack of northern stream amplification leading to a system mostly passing to the south seems to have merit. Both the 12z European (Image 1) and 12z GFS (image 2) pass to the south while the new 12z AIFS suggests it may go farther south still (image 3). Your main issue is with the northern stream. Image [--] shows the 500mb with the northern and southern stream energy. Southern stream is leading the northern stream just fine so it has "room" to turn to the north. But it needs a catalyst. The northern"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:41Z 21.1K followers, [----] engagements

"❄SNOW MILESTONE❄ Today marks the 17th straight day that DCA has reported 2" or more of snow on the ground. This is the longest we've kept this much snow on the ground in DC in [--] YEARS ☃ Since December of [----]. We just beat out the back-to-back blizzards of February [----] (aka Snowmageddon) as of today Really speaks to just how impressive this cold was. February [----] has two blizzards. December [----] had two 4" snowfalls. We have managed to hold on to 2" of snow from a peak snow depth of 6".from a storm that happened [--] days ago. THAT is so impressive. ❄"
X Link 2026-02-10T22:43Z 21.1K followers, 40.2K engagements

"No changes to weekend thoughts. Showing 12z EURO here with 500mb heights overlaid. Just a flat northern branch. Without any northern energy dipping down you have nothing to get the southern shortwave to "swing" negative. So it stays positive and "pushes" the storm off the coast"
X Link 2026-02-11T22:54Z 21.1K followers, 27K engagements

"The fact that outside of the mountains most of this fell from a single storm [--] days ago is really just an incredible thing for this region. ❄"
X Link 2026-02-12T03:54Z 21.1K followers, 17.2K engagements

"The dance of the weekend storm continues. EURO of all models one of the more aggressive with winter weather risks locally showing wet snow & mix just north of DC on Sunday PM. Here I breakdown WHY it's showing this. How far north precip goes is still in question. Tricky call"
X Link 2026-02-12T22:57Z 21.1K followers, 44K engagements

"New 0z GFS similar solution. Little mixing/snow on the northern edge but just chilly rain in DC. Not typically a NAM guy but think it's handling the temperature profiles decently in this case. Shows a bit of snow/mix over the mountains and a little in far northeastern Maryland.but primarily a chilly rain. At the moment especially given the European's recent cold bias https://t.co/o8Wo673AAP Not typically a NAM guy but think it's handling the temperature profiles decently in this case. Shows a bit of snow/mix over the mountains and a little in far northeastern Maryland.but primarily a chilly"
X Link 2026-02-13T04:24Z 21.1K followers, [----] engagements

"By request.sure. But only with the note that I personally don't believe it. I can't tell you how rare a rain-to-snow event here is in DC. You need either strong dynamic cooling or rapid cold air advection (which the mountains often prevent) for it to occur. I can't tell you how many times I've seen it fail. But data is data. You want it you got it Whether you believe it is up to you @MikeTFox5 Can you post full graf run🥹🙏 please @MikeTFox5 Can you post full graf run🥹🙏 please"
X Link 2026-02-14T04:15Z 21.1K followers, 94.1K engagements

"Been monitoring guidance all day and while yes I saw the excitement with the 12z NAM my general thoughts on the matter have not changed locally. Still looks like a cold rain for most of our region. Those north of I-70 will have the best shot at seeing some sleet or mix but even there I don't think it's overly impactful. There is just not a whole lot of "room" locally for the atmosphere to cool enough to change things over this far south. NWS noted this in their afternoon write up and I do agree with their thinking (image 4). Showing the latest 18z 3kmNAM HRRR RRFS which all show similar"
X Link 2026-02-14T23:42Z 21.1K followers, [----] engagements

"If this week is a "mini" thaw.next week could be the big thaw 🫠 Following the possible rain/mix system this weekend.just about every model out there showing a nice warm up by the middle of next week. 🙌 Potential for DC to see 60s by next Wednesday/Thursday time frame ☀ https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021380613362618724 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021380613362618724"
X Link 2026-02-11T00:27Z 21.1K followers, [----] engagements

""Is winter done" is a question I'm getting a lot. I personally do not believe we've seen our last accumulating snow of the year yet in DC. However at the moment that's generally a gut feeling more than anything. MJO is going to roll through some neutral-to-warmer phases over the next few weeks. Forecast pattern while it does so the occasional "cold push" is not showing any real sustained cold over the next two weeks in our region. Now if long range guidance is in play at all it does try to get the MJO back over to the colder phases as we get well into March.but we will be fighting higher sun"
X Link 2026-02-12T03:07Z 21.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Something definitely of note with these European runs and the winter weather it is showing.ever since our snowfall in DC the European has had a HEAVY cold bias in the Mid-Atlantic. Recall it was the European that had single digit low temperatures for five straight nights the week after the storm. DC never fell below 10F the entire outbreak. I suspect it's likely due to the model overcompensating for the snow on the ground and it's feedback. With the snowpack still present I wonder if it's too aggressive with the cold air present and the southern extent of mixing on Sunday night even if the"
X Link 2026-02-13T00:04Z 21.1K followers, 10.9K engagements

"Not typically a NAM guy but think it's handling the temperature profiles decently in this case. Shows a bit of snow/mix over the mountains and a little in far northeastern Maryland.but primarily a chilly rain. At the moment especially given the European's recent cold bias this is more the solution I'm leaning towards. The dance of the weekend storm continues. EURO of all models one of the more aggressive with winter weather risks locally showing wet snow & mix just north of DC on Sunday PM. Here I breakdown WHY it's showing this. How far north precip goes is still in question. Tricky call"
X Link 2026-02-13T03:29Z 21.1K followers, 11.2K engagements

"48 hours out and there's still a pretty good spread in the models. Euro and GFS seem to be in relative agreement mostly rain with a low impact little mix/snow on the northern edge of the system. GRAF is.well.what's the nicest way I can say way too aggressive It's got what snow lovers want to see but I don't believe it. Likely way too convective. It's on its own. NAM is pretty far south. HRRR and NBM solutions have been leaning in that direction this afternoon as well. My thoughts haven't changed so much. Temperature profiles support chilly rain around DC. Northern zones may see a bit of mix"
X Link 2026-02-13T23:13Z 21.1K followers, 23K engagements

"Warm bubble shifting east for a little taste of early spring weather in our region by the middle of next week"
X Link 2026-02-14T01:03Z 21.1K followers, 17.9K engagements

"While we're certainly getting an extended break still not so convinced winter is done with us just yet here in the East. Polar Vortex still getting the stretch treatment into the end of the month. If it cycles eastward into March we could be in for more winter cold before we turn the calendar over to springtime officially. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022512537854419383 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022512537854419383"
X Link 2026-02-14T03:25Z 21.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Alright weather twitter.which new 0z model are we rooting for tonight. 🍿😎"
X Link 2026-02-14T03:57Z 21.1K followers, 18.4K engagements

"While we have a nice warm up this week (though it's not a pretty one.lots of fog & clouds this week.) winter will try to fight back a bit this weekend. Nice test of the Artificial Intelligence models for the upcoming weekend as they lead the charge for a wintery mix-snow system in the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast this weekend. Showing latest 18z runs of the Google WeatherNEXT (Image 1) AI-GFS (image 2) AI European (AIFS-image 3) and AIFS-ENS (image 4). Some of the operational physics based models (like the "king" European operational.aka the EURO model) do not like the storm threat and suggest more"
X Link 2026-02-17T03:58Z 21.1K followers, [----] engagements

"For the late crowd of the 0z operational (non-AI) modelsthe European (Image 1) is now showing a stormthough well off the coastline so its not impactful. However the UKMET (image 2) GFS (American-image 3) and CMC (Canadian-Image 4) are all showing this storm risk. So is it a legit threat Sure Is it a guarantee Absolutely not. Still in the monitor it range and watch the pattern. Dont get suckered in by snowfall maps. Its way too early for any QPF or even precipitation type discussions. Not going to be until much later this week for those. Cheers While we have a nice warm up this week (though"
X Link 2026-02-17T05:54Z 21.1K followers, [----] engagements

"Winter Storm Warnings up for areas northwest of DC. DC & Baltimore are under winter weather advisories ahead of Sundays snowfall. Latest NWS has 2-3 for DC 6+ for northern Maryland. ❄"
X Link 2025-01-18T20:33Z 18.6K followers, 15K engagements

"Welp definitely don't like the look to the radar this morning. Breaking my old rule of "systems where you're waiting on cold air always underperform in DC" While it is snowing north & west high resolution guidance this morning doesn't bring the snow line down to get DC over to snow until the 2-4pm window. When we still get about a 2-4 hour snowfall. Short window. HRRR still has about 2" in DC. NWS still 2-3". My thoughts are it's probably going to be lower.but we'll see"
X Link 2025-01-19T17:45Z 18.6K followers, 32.5K engagements

"Update: Better late than never ❄ Changed over to all snow at last in Columbia MD. Roads quickly becoming snow covered due to the layer of sleet earlier. Travelers beware"
X Link 2025-01-19T20:30Z 18.6K followers, 11.7K engagements

"If you told me the Commanders would make it farther than the Ravens in the playoffs this year I would have laughed right at you. Crazy Shame that ends my dream of a Baltimore vs DC Super Bowl though 😂"
X Link 2025-01-20T02:40Z 18.6K followers, [----] engagements

"How strong is this arctic air mass coming in Cities under Winter Storm Warnings right now: Houston TX Austin TX San Antonio TX New Orleans LA Cities under Extreme Cold Warnings right now: Pensacola FL Mobile AL Atlanta GA Cities under Cold Weather Advisories right now: Savanna GA Jacksonville FL Tampa FL The cold air means business when it makes it all the way to the Gulf Coast 🥶🧊"
X Link 2025-01-20T03:32Z 18.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Told you last week I've seen it happen for the cold Montgomery Fairfax counties two of the counties in our region that have two hour delays due to the COLD tomorrow morning. Loudoun County is closed. Full list: http://fox5dc.com/closings http://fox5dc.com/closings"
X Link 2025-01-20T22:51Z 18.6K followers, [----] engagements

"@CoreyPe27918455 @MarinaMarraco Marina makes Lucys anger seem like a calm wind. 💨"
X Link 2025-01-22T19:15Z 18.6K followers, [---] engagements

"The Blizzard of 2016.the last storm to prompt blizzard warnings for DC.turns [--] years old today. ❄☃ The storm hit from January 22nd-23rd [----] and dropped 17.8" of snow on DC. It remains the last time DC got over a foot of snow from a single snowfall event. (1/2)"
X Link 2025-01-22T21:14Z 18.6K followers, 48.9K engagements

"Locations that have gotten more snow than DC (8.4") New York City (5.8") and Philadelphia (4.9") so far this winter.☃🌨 Breton AL - 8.5" ❄ Gulf Shores AL - 8.8"❄ Pensacola FL - 8.9"❄ Kill Devil Hills NC - 9.0"❄ Lafayette LA - 9.2"❄ Spanish Fort AL - 9.5"❄ Jay FL - 10.0"❄ Can you imagine if this winter ends and Florida got more snow than DC Philly and NYC 🤣"
X Link 2025-01-23T00:08Z 18.6K followers, 22.6K engagements

"Same storm system that shattered snowfall records in the Deep South on Tuesday now bringing hurricane like conditions to parts of the United Kingdom and Ireland. Named Storm Eowyn wind gusts could top 100mph in some places. Dangerous storm"
X Link 2025-01-24T05:05Z 18.6K followers, 12.8K engagements

"Absolutely terrifying to see this flight track on FlightAware. Terrible incident at DCA. Rescue crews were on scene quickly. Praying there are survivors"
X Link 2025-01-30T02:29Z 18.6K followers, 24.5K engagements

"Taking a look at today's charts. * DC could be near record high temperatures on Monday (65F - 1927) and perhaps close Thursday (74F - 2008) as the "big thaw" continues. *Towards the middle of February European now hinting at return of some polar blocking patterns (-AO/-NAO) which could aid in bringing cold eastward later in the month. This is timely with the PV split noted yesterday. (GIF 1) *The one thing that is not cooperating on the models at the moment is the Pacific Jet is pretty far back so it's not shifting the -PNA pattern. This mean the cold continues to "dump" into the Western US."
X Link 2025-01-31T22:54Z 18.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Welcome to February Groundhog says [--] more weeks of winter and we just might get it. Euro-Ensemble starting to hint at MJO phase [--] after the 15th of February. Coupled with a stratospheric warming reemerging polar blocking and a Polar Vortex split.signs are starting to point towards a colder end to the month in the East. Will snow risks follow Still far too early to tell"
X Link 2025-02-02T20:15Z 18.6K followers, 12.4K engagements

"The Climate Prediction Center (NWS CPC) does have parts of the Mid-Atlantic & most of the Northeast outlooked for a "slight risk of heavy snow" early to middle of next week from a WAA driven snow event. Unusually active pattern for a La Nia February"
X Link 2025-02-05T01:11Z 18.8K followers, 32.5K engagements

"With an "overrunning" snow threat scenario next week the key to watch is not the moisture but the surface ridge of high pressure ahead of it. Does it stay strong enough to keep cold air entrenched across the Mid-Atlantic If it's weaker than modeled.snow can shift north"
X Link 2025-02-05T02:44Z 18.6K followers, 25.2K engagements

"I think from a resolution standpoint its too early to tell right now. I could very much see a scenario where we all start as snow perhaps even get a few inches then bit by bit transition to sleet and rain. But I think its too early to pinpoint exactly if or how that happens yet"
X Link 2025-02-06T04:50Z 18.7K followers, [---] engagements

"🌨☃ Friday Thread Update On Upcoming Ice & Snow Threats 🌨☃ Really focused on two events in the next [--] days in the Mid-Atlantic Northeast for travel disruptions and regional impacts. Let's begin.(1/11)"
X Link 2025-02-07T23:15Z 19K followers, 123.8K engagements

"No real surprise that it has the heavier amounts when it comes to snowfall. There was a notable jump southward with some of the heavy totals with the cold air that is dug in. I am skeptical of this solution but want to be transparent and show that it is a potential solution should the cold air be strong enough and the KEY.hold on long enough in the region to keep it a primarily snow event.(7/11)"
X Link 2025-02-07T23:15Z 18.8K followers, [----] engagements

"The European as it often does offers a less "snow-filled" scenario. Same general thing as yesterday weaker compared to the GFS with the cold air and how long it keeps it in place. Note it does start as a period of moderate to heavy snowfall where high rates may indeed accumulate to several inches of wet snowfall. But note that as the high slips eastward winds would shift out of the southeast and eventually south. This would cause mixing issues (sleet and freezing rain) followed by plain old cold rain for parts of the region.(8/11)"
X Link 2025-02-07T23:15Z 18.8K followers, [----] engagements

"Something to watch for the Tuesday event is remember its an overrunning event. Thats warm moist air going up and over cold dry air. The stronger the southwest flow the more youre attacking the surface cold with southern moisture the more intense the event can be. Look in the box here. Trend map. Last [--] runs of the GFS (Euro showing it too but much more pronounced on the GFS). Notice how the lines are shifting from more Southwest - Northeast to more West-East in the latest run. Its a flatter wave. This is why the latest GFS doesnt get snow NYC New England. Just a lot less overrunning because"
X Link 2025-02-08T02:02Z 18.8K followers, 12.2K engagements

"Euro didnt show much change at 500mb. Still has several inches of snow Tuesday but keeps the heaviest to the south where there are some mixing issues. (1/2)"
X Link 2025-02-08T18:06Z 18.8K followers, [----] engagements

"Quick Sunday Snow Thread (More to come later) As of Sunday afternoon models continue to show that a disruptive snow event is likely for the Mid-Atlantic on Tuesday with impacts likely lingering into Wednesday as well. The National Weather Service is liking the idea of a widespread 3-6"+ snow event for the region. They are now at a 50-80% risk of a "winter storm warning" level snow. I would expect that winter storm watches will likely be issued for much of the region soon.(1/x)"
X Link 2025-02-09T20:07Z 18.9K followers, 23.7K engagements

"@NotMeteorMike @mrackzoo Timing. Dont think most schools will send kids in when snow starts between 7-11am most likely. Snow rates could pick up fast after onset too. They dont want busses trapped on the roads is my thinking"
X Link 2025-02-09T22:18Z 18.8K followers, [---] engagements

"Here's how the 18z HRRR sees the event. It's starting snow in DC around 3pm (sooner SW later NE) wraps up during the early overnight hours of Wednesday. Be careful with raw totals shown in central and eastern VA. You do get snow here.but you're also getting a lot of mix here that the model output is showing as snow on the ground. Notice the lightness of the snow to the north and I do like that it shows some topographic gapping that brings totals down in the WV/MD panhandle.which I believe is a legitimate threat in these zones. A system coming from the southwest like this often deals with"
X Link 2025-02-10T19:48Z 18.9K followers, 14.2K engagements

"On the other end you have the new 0z run of the 3kmNAM.which has been one of the most aggressive models this whole event. With the Kuchera trying to account for mixing and melting it's throwing down 5-6" in DC proper but is a lot more widespread with the stronger amounts in the north"
X Link 2025-02-11T02:52Z 18.9K followers, 18.7K engagements

"Updated Thread on Next Week's Snow Event❄☃ This will be a longer one. To begin the National Weather Service continues to highlight the middle of next week 19-20th of February time frame for the risk of heavy snowfall in the Mid-Atlantic & Northeast"
X Link 2025-02-15T01:11Z 19.6K followers, 230.9K engagements

"Models remain consistent with bringing a strong line of storms through here around lunchtime (1-3pm) tomorrow. By far the primary concern in a setup like this here is damaging winds.but can't rule out isolated rotation along the line putting down a brief tornado either"
X Link 2025-03-04T22:28Z 19.6K followers, 22.2K engagements

"As far as storminess goes we are entering into a quieter pattern for our region for the better part of a week. Next system NWS really has their eye on is not until late next week. That is the next decent shot at rain here in DC but system could end up being a big wind maker as well"
X Link 2025-03-07T03:02Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"We are under the influence of a "damming high" across the DC region tomorrow. This brings in North Atlantic cooled air on the back of northeasterly winds leading to a morning marine layer (cloud cover) before sun should filter in during the afternoon. It will be a cooler day"
X Link 2025-03-12T22:00Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Multiple tornado warned storms.including one with a confirmed tornado on the ground just west of the city. pushing through the St. Louis area. Just the start of what could be a VERY busy severe weather weekend"
X Link 2025-03-15T02:24Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"TWO confirmed tornadoes on the ground in the St. Louis metro area at this moment. VERY dangerous situation"
X Link 2025-03-15T02:39Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"That is one hell of a TOR signature approaching Grenada Mississippi. Lot of debris in that cloud. 🌪"
X Link 2025-03-15T05:19Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Back at it after some time away on a little vaycay :) We're rolling with the early summer feel here in middle spring. Pretty quiet week ahead until perhaps some showers this weekend. Could our first 90F day of the year be lurking next week I think we'll have a shot"
X Link 2025-04-22T20:53Z 19.5K followers, [----] engagements

"@JackRuddenWX If they were timed right sure. But RAP seems to suggest that DCAPE will fall off pretty fast in the hours ahead. Will depend on how correct that is. Not sure we'll be able to tap into it this far east. Layer a bit more stable than out to the west"
X Link 2025-04-30T02:05Z 19.5K followers, [--] engagements

"@DVweather Ooph it's at least an hour to [---] hour delay at this point. They might call and wait until tomorrow. 40-60 odds against IMO"
X Link 2025-05-05T23:40Z 19.5K followers, [--] engagements

"High-res GRAF (3km) suggests 8-11pm the most likely window for a heavier concentration of storms around DC particularly just northwest of town (Fairfax Loudoun Montgomery). Not expecting much severe weather tonight but very heavy downpours could lead to flash flooding"
X Link 2025-05-14T21:59Z 19.5K followers, [----] engagements

"We made it through with a dry weekend.but the rain train is about to start again. Soggy mid-week pattern with shower and storm chances then lingering into next weekend"
X Link 2025-05-27T01:37Z 19.5K followers, [----] engagements

"New 19z HRRR remains consistent with storms blossoming over the next hour or two. They get closer to the DC metro in the 7-8pm hours"
X Link 2025-05-30T20:11Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Whew what a night. Tornado watches have DROPPED though for everyone west of the Bay. Does not mean we're done with rain and perhaps a rumble of thunder as the back edge of this storm still rolls through overnight but not expecting anymore severe weather tonight near DC"
X Link 2025-05-31T02:23Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"While severe weather is not expected tonight.winds on the back side of this storm system have been gusty as it's come through West Virginia & western PA bringing down some trees. National Weather Service has put up a wind advisory overnight warning winds could gust 40-50mph"
X Link 2025-05-31T02:41Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"We are seeing Kp levels of 7-8 according to NOAA Space Weather Center. For DC we want to see Kp [--] levels at least to be able to see the lights looking off to the north. Wed need higher Kp index values like Kp [--] or higher tonight if we want them overhead. May [----] was a Kp [--] event. ✨ Will be monitoring"
X Link 2025-06-01T15:56Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Kp value up to five but this is still a little low to be visible around the Washington DC area. Staying up for a while hoping for another spike. Little bummed out. 😞"
X Link 2025-06-02T03:45Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"An active and unsettled weekend around the DC region. We are dodging storms Saturday while Sunday is trending cooler cloudy with still some showers & storms. Not expecting much severe weather with low wind shear but heavy downpours and flash flooding are definite risk"
X Link 2025-06-13T22:59Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"What a way to start summer 🔥 A 597+ decameter upper high centered right over the Mid-Atlantic early next week will get summer off to a scorching hot start. 🌡 Location right under the ridge should mean a ample sunshine for much of it. 95-100+ afternoon's are likely. We'll flirt with or break records during the peak of it☀ Watch out for big storms when the ridge starts to fade late next week. ⛈"
X Link 2025-06-17T20:49Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Severe Thunderstorms Watch expected to be issued shortly for most of our region. As earlier noted SPC is most concerned about the damaging wind potential. ⛈"
X Link 2025-06-19T17:27Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Here they come⛈"
X Link 2025-06-19T19:02Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"In case I have not stressed it enough it will NOT feel very good next week"
X Link 2025-06-20T20:47Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Forget fall this is the season I'm missing today ☃❄"
X Link 2025-06-23T21:48Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Bolt from the blue ⚡ On convective days like today lightning blots can sometimes occur miles from any storm. Thats why its always best to seek shelter when you hear thunder even if its not raining where you are"
X Link 2025-06-26T23:15Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"A LOT of lightning in this now severe warned cell over southern Fairfax and north-central Prince William County/Manassas area. Slow mover as well. Dumping a lot of rain"
X Link 2025-06-27T00:59Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Severe thunderstorm warning up for Prince William Fairfax DC Montgomery Arlington counties until 3:30pm. Heavy rain gusty winds lightning expected. Seek shelter until it has passed"
X Link 2025-07-01T18:42Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"May have been a VERY brief couplet low level rotation (circled in red) with this cell in Anne Arundel county as two cells merged together near the Bay. NWS put out a "tornado possible" designation on the severe thunderstorm warning but no tornado warning at this time"
X Link 2025-07-01T20:17Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"A deepening Bermuda high along with the tropical remnants of Chantal have brought in plenty of mid-summer humidity back into the DC region. Expect heat index values above 100F tomorrow afternoon. Dews will be highest east so heat advisories up there. PM storms are expected"
X Link 2025-07-08T01:39Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Deja Vu day ⛈ Sunshine is expected to give way to rain and thunderstorms later this afternoon and early evening. Just like yesterday slight risk of severe weather issued as well as a flood watch. PWATs of 1.5-2 overhead so very heavy downpours and flash flooding a threat"
X Link 2025-07-09T14:39Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"For the second day in a row a severe thunderstorm watch will be issued for the DC region shortly. ⛈ WPC has also increased our flash flooding risk to moderate this afternoon. Storms could be VERY heavy. Be on guard tonight. Were on Fox Local App with more tonight"
X Link 2025-07-09T17:12Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"DC joins Charles & Prince Georges counties now under a severe thunderstorm warning until 7pm tonight. Flash flood warning remains up for DC as well. Seek shelter until these storms have passed"
X Link 2025-07-09T22:35Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Sunset to rainbow spectacular ☀ 🌈"
X Link 2025-07-10T00:33Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Generally speaking more run of the mill stuff. Most days should start dry sunny beach weather then storms fire on the sea breeze but theyd be hit & miss. Seems like at some point between Friday & Sunday a cold front will want to sweep the region and give a more widespread shot at storms but hard to say exactly what day thats most likely this far out Even that day wouldnt be a washout though. Nothing I see would stop me from going"
X Link 2025-07-12T05:34Z 19.6K followers, [--] engagements

"Flood watch is up through midnight with scattered heavy slow moving thunderstorms crossing the DC region leading to localized flash flooding. SPC has us at a 40% risk of a severe thunderstorm watch as well but main risks tonight look to be more on the flooding side"
X Link 2025-07-14T20:34Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Sorry about the humid pattern but we really seem to be stuck in it. Just very little jetstream extension southward to bring down some dry air and a stagnant Bermuda high. This is a two week loop off the Euro suggesting we're stuck in our humid unsettled pattern for the foreseeable future"
X Link 2025-07-14T21:45Z 19.6K followers, 34.9K engagements

"Numerous Flash Flood warnings are now up between & including both DC & Baltimore. Already had a few reports of water rescues. Rainfall rates in the more intense cells are being picked up at 3-5"/hour. Please be safe out there on the roads Wait for the storms to pass if you can"
X Link 2025-07-14T22:26Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"While we wait for the MLB All-Star game to wrap here.looking at the tropics. Invest 93-L crossed over Florida today bringing some heavy tropical thunderstorms. It will continue to pester the Gulf Coast for much of this week though it will likely struggle to intensify too much"
X Link 2025-07-16T03:46Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Scattered activity so far northwest of DC. Heavy cell approaching Hagerstown MD has eclipsed [-----] feet and has a considerable amount of lightning with it. Futurecast suggest the 6:30-8:30pm window is the best shot at storms in & around DC. It's crazy humid out there today"
X Link 2025-07-16T21:37Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Severe thunderstorm warnings have all expired around DC but heavy thunderstorms continue across Northern Virginia with multiple Flash Flood warnings issued. Heaviest cells are in southern Fauquier and Prince William counties"
X Link 2025-07-17T01:22Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"I think "much cooler" is a bit aggressive for the entire stretch (but assuming ESP is right it does look "cool" in the Aug 2-5 window that you highted) as in the summer when you get these heat ridges that shift westward they do tend to "elongate" eartward as the forecast period rolls on the prevailing westerlies. So it's likely a shorter lived "cool" burst HOWEVER I will say with the PNA and prevailing northwesterlies it would DEFINITELY be much much less humid for an extended period of time which is honestly what I care about most this time of year"
X Link 2025-07-22T23:59Z 19.6K followers, [--] engagements

"THEY'RE BACK 😩🔥 Heat advisories issued ahead of FRIDAY which looks like it will be DC's hottest day since June 24th (99F). Heat index ("feels like") temps around or above 105F are possible during the afternoon. Be safe stay cool 🌡"
X Link 2025-07-24T21:33Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"One of Canada's colors might be red.but I sure do love it when they send us the blue this time of year Late week looking GREAT"
X Link 2025-07-28T21:04Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"HEAT ADVISORY now up for most of the DC region for WEDNESDAY afternoon. This just means heat index values will have the chance at exceeding 105F tomorrow. Hang in there Still expecting a nice cooldown at the end of the week"
X Link 2025-07-29T21:09Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Flood watches from New England to Virginia tomorrow ahead of a strong cold front that could bring some VERY heavy thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon. Latest HRRR suggests storms could fire as early as lunchtime though the most active hours look like 4-8pm. We're monitoring"
X Link 2025-07-30T22:28Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Perfect example of colliding outflows leading to rapid storm development along/north of the I-70 corridor. Like two waves colliding on a pond to make a bigger angrier wave. ⛈"
X Link 2025-07-31T20:17Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Tropical Storm Erin has formed in the far eastern tropical Atlantic. The fifth named storm of the season Erin is forecast to become not just the first hurricane but the first MAJOR hurricane of the [----] season. Storm could be a big one. Lets all hope for a "recurve" track"
X Link 2025-08-11T16:36Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Storms whose centers pass within [---] nautical miles of where #Erin is now very often "recurve" back out to sea like the vast majority of models suggest that Erin will do. There are a couple of notable exceptions though Irma in [----] and Florence in [----]. (1/2)"
X Link 2025-08-11T22:55Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Given that I'll certainly say the model consensus and the statistical analysis as of today certainly suggests that Erin will recurve out and not impact the United States. The key though is to make sure the Azores high does not trend stronger/farther west in future model runs. If it does it could lead to a later "curving" of Erin. Not something I would say is likely to happen but more of a "well what can go wrong" scenario"
X Link 2025-08-11T22:55Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Also nice to see blue on the outlook maps in August It doesn't look like."cold" but at least more pleasant and less humid air looks more likely a little later this month"
X Link 2025-08-15T02:34Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Erin has rapidly intensified into a CATEGORY [--] hurricane as Air Force reconnaissance has found winds near 160mph. Its the Atlantics strongest hurricane since Milton in October 2024"
X Link 2025-08-16T16:07Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"The forecast track of Hurricane Erin has continued to inch closer to the East Coast.though still don't have any threatening landfall. But it does get close enough that tropical storm force winds are possible for some. Tropical Storm Watches are now up for the Outer Banks of NC"
X Link 2025-08-18T21:27Z 19.6K followers, 48.4K engagements

"Behind Erin there is another tropical wave that is likely to develop into the next named system of the season (Fernand). GFS.to the surprise of no one.has been the "scariest" this this system. With runs hitting either Florida or the East Coast around/near the Labor Day weekend at some point. Euro & AIFS have suggested this storm will likely follow in the path of Erin and trail her out to sea. Will a big cooling upper trough pushing into the East early next week I think the Euro solution is more likely.but Mother Nature can sometimes surprise. Always worth a watch"
X Link 2025-08-19T01:06Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Tropical Storm Watches extended to include the Maryland beaches tonight. Satellite simulation shows just how close Hurricane Erin comes to the East Coast before you can see a saving cold front push in from the west with southwest winds ahead of it turning the storm northeast"
X Link 2025-08-20T01:53Z 19.6K followers, 55.2K engagements

"Cool wave after cool wave coming our way courtesy of a consistently positive PNA (ridge-red colors-out in western Canada) which should end meteorological summer on quite the cool note. August is through this point running as the coolest since [----]. It will be interesting to where we end up in the end. I could see perhaps a bit of heat kick up beyond Labor Day as the +PNA breaks down.but you're fighting less daylight and falling highs at that point. What a lovely August"
X Link 2025-08-20T19:33Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Tropical Storm Warnings courtesy of Hurricane Erin now extend from central North Carolina through central New Jersey. Wind gusts of 50-60mph along with high surf expected to peak for our local beaches tomorrow afternoon before improving conditions into the weekend"
X Link 2025-08-20T21:28Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"There will be wind high surf and some surge.but one thing Hurricane Erin will not be bringing anywhere is very heavy rains. Those will all remain off the coast. Plenty of clouds and some showers.but no widespread flooding rains"
X Link 2025-08-20T22:37Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Hurricane Erin still a powerful category [--] storm looms off the Mid-Atlantic Coast at this hour. Beaches from New England to Virginia are feeling the impacts.though the worst is thankfully at sea. The storm has already started accelerating northeast and will move out to sea"
X Link 2025-08-21T20:34Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Maybe a sneaky little system next week for our region All run's of today's AIFS (AI Enhanced Euro - 12z cycle shown below) show a nice push of rainfall into our region Tuesday night into Wednesday. AIFS almost makes it seem weakly tropical in nature but it may be just a frontal zone cyclonic wave with some topical moisture getting dragged in. (1/4)"
X Link 2025-09-13T20:46Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Tropical Storm Humberto formed today in the Atlantic. While most guidance does spin Humberto away from the states (watching in Bermuda) it is the neighbor to the west (possible future Imelda) that models are ALL over the place with what may happen with it. Watching closely"
X Link 2025-09-24T22:28Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"While Humberto is still likely to curve back to the eastthis other wave of low pressure (likely the future Imelda) is the one to watch for the Southeast. Ensembles are all over the place with it but a lot of the operational and storm guidance want to bring it ashore early next week"
X Link 2025-09-25T13:58Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Fox Model simulations similar to recent HWRF runs.taking what would be Imelda into the Carolinas early next workweek. System picks up speed once it leaves the Bahamas on Sunday. Most models continue to hold Humberto away from the East Coast"
X Link 2025-09-25T21:38Z 19.6K followers, 23K engagements

"That's really going to depend on how far west Humberto gets and whether or not it triggers the fujiwhara effect to pull it away in time or not. Those member that loop-de-loop and then go out are triggered by that effect. I wouldn't guarantee OTS at this time. Nor a landfall. Very tricky forecast. @MikeTFox5 Going ots Mike. @MikeTFox5 Going ots Mike"
X Link 2025-09-25T22:23Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Hurricane's so far this season are [--] for [--] with obtaining "major" status as Humberto becomes a major hurricane as of the 5pm update. Invest 94-L has become Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine so the NHC officially has a track out for it. Their track looks ominous but as shown there are still a number of models leave the "escape track" a possibility. There's a lot of factors on what track it will take so it's a low confidence forecast that we just need to monitor and watch as more guidance comes in. Stay tuned"
X Link 2025-09-26T21:29Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Big time fall feel is on the way as we start October.including our coolest nights in four months in our region by the end of the workweek"
X Link 2025-09-30T02:32Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Dry air makes a big difference"
X Link 2025-10-02T02:15Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Island of Bermuda getting slammed by Category [--] Hurricane Imelda this evening packing winds of 100mph and gusts to 120mph. Whether or not it's an official landfall will depend on if the central low passed over the island or not. It might stay JUST south"
X Link 2025-10-02T03:31Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Chilliest night since the middle of April in the forecast for DC tonight.frost advisories getting closer to DC 🥶"
X Link 2025-10-16T21:56Z 19.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Happy Friday Sid turned three months today so decided to wake him up with a little surprise.🐶. http://t.co/TN5WHX21nL"
X Link 2015-07-24T14:42Z 16K followers, [--] engagements

"5pm NHC track matches PM models for #Irma well. Hurricane watches up for all of the Bahamas. Florida next up to get them. #HurricaneIrma2017"
X Link 2017-09-06T22:18Z 16K followers, [--] engagements

"Me and every other Penn State fan watching right now.😰 #PSUvOSU #PennState #OhioState"
X Link 2017-10-28T23:03Z 16K followers, [--] engagements

"A strong stratospheric warming event this week doing its best to kick up a strong Greenland block (pushes storm track south) at the end of the month which we've been missing the past couple winters. Won't mean a thing though unless cold air returns. Time running out on winter"
X Link 2018-02-13T13:21Z 16K followers, [--] engagements

"Well here we go with April snow.the National Weather Service has gone ahead and issued this forecast for overnight Sunday into Monday morning. I think its a little early to be putting numbers on it just yet. Cold air supply is a little fickle & accumulation in April is tough"
X Link 2018-03-30T20:19Z 15.9K followers, [--] engagements

"New EURO model showing some AM showers & evening snowflakes Saturday but NOTHING for accumulation. The app that said 8-12 just [--] days ago now is only calling for cloudy skies where I live. Even my spotty trace-1 now too aggressive. The event doesnt even deserve a snow map"
X Link 2018-04-06T18:40Z 15.9K followers, [--] engagements

"Winner winner penguins for dinner 🐧 First puck finder at the DuPont Circle location at last They are well hidden here. There are still [--] more hidden pucks to be found. Come on down #ALLCAPS 🏒 #CapsPens"
X Link 2018-04-26T12:28Z 16K followers, [--] engagements

"Down to just [--] pucks left at DuPont Circle Act fast If you missed them.next location where there will be [--] more pucks will be revealed on @Capitals around 9am #ALLCAPS 🏒"
X Link 2018-04-26T12:47Z 16K followers, [--] engagements

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