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@JustinWolfers Avatar @JustinWolfers Justin Wolfers

Justin Wolfers, an economist, has been commenting on current events, particularly focusing on the actions of the US President and their impact on the economy. The most important thing happening lately is the concern over the President's undermining of institutions, such as the Federal Reserve and the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which could lead to a loss of credibility and potentially harm the economy. Wolfers has also been highlighting the negative consequences of populist policies and the politicization of economic statistics.

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Social Influence

Social category influence finance XXXXX% countries XXXX% ncaa football XXXX% ncaa basketball XXXX%

Social topic influence fed #69, inflation #185, tariffs #291, the presidents #118, white house 4.41%, trade war #103, prediction markets #303, canada 2.94%, china 2.94%, health XXXX%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @ebiggunz @firenationfin @grok @wajahatali @capitalism1 @kalshi @potus @kylealexstewart @bartdepalma @podiatryphysio @jpopelish @william_r2rclub @dnajack @iamaniku @vansk24 @johnpawelski @crowleymjp @dbatdad @gopimaliwal @realdougfryer

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"The Fed just cut rates by a quarter of a percentage point. The revised statement is remarkably buttoned down probably due to the shutdown-inflicted data blackout. And we are now up to three dissents - one for lower rates and two for no change. But the committee is more deeply divided than that"
X Link 2025-12-10T19:04Z 280.9K followers, 20.3K engagements

"Q: "What do you make of the president labeling affordability as a Democratic hoax Is that claim backed up by data" Me: "No it's a lie. It's patronizing and it's disgusting. This isn't how we should have economic discussions.""
X Link 2025-12-12T13:51Z 280.9K followers, 23.9K engagements

"Is Trump right that the problems confronting soybean farmers are all due to Biden There's an old Australian expression: Yeah nah"
X Link 2025-12-10T12:52Z 280.9K followers, 23.4K engagements

""When the president says prices are falling he's lying. When he says he's going to get prices down he really shouldn't because the only way to get prices down is to crush the economy." Thats the trade-off hes not mentioning"
X Link 2025-12-11T22:56Z 280.9K followers, 29.2K engagements

"Notice the pattern: help a narrow group loudly hurt everyone else quietly. Tariffs help a few steel workers but raise prices for every firm using steel. Tax cuts favor the rich while squeezing social programs. Politically noisy wins economically costly losses"
X Link 2025-12-12T12:52Z 280.9K followers, 80.6K engagements

"When people say the Fed is goosing the economy after this week's cut thats backwards. After years of slamming the brakes to fight inflation theyre now just lifting their foot. Less restrictive is not the same as pedal-to-the-metal stimulus"
X Link 2025-12-12T17:46Z 280.9K followers, 26.2K engagements

"Trump told the WSJ that he is leaning toward Warsh as the next Fed chair. Prediction markets have responded but don't fully believe it. Call it a tossup"
X Link 2025-12-12T21:01Z 280.9K followers, 18.2K engagements

"As per usual when Trump speaks on the economy there's no shortage of crazy pants quotes"
X Link 2025-12-12T21:05Z 280.9K followers, 21.6K engagements

"Trump Administration Lifts Some Food Tariffs in Effort to Ease Prices That Were Definitely Not Higher Because It Imposed Some Food Tariffs"
X Link 2025-11-15T03:01Z 280.9K followers, 23.3K engagements

"Word of the Day: Stagflation. So "stag-" is stagnation. That's when the economy slows sometimes when it goes backward. there's roughly a X in X chance of a recession over the next year. "-flation" is inflation. and inflation currently has remained stubbornly high""
X Link 2025-11-25T16:01Z 280.8K followers, 26K engagements

"When the strongest argument for your policy is a list of lies (I count 7) and exaggerations (another 5) you reveal more than a wonky list of truths ever would"
X Link 2025-11-27T13:33Z 280.8K followers, 163.4K engagements

"I was born in Papua New Guinea and hope to be judged for who I am rather than who signed my birth certificate"
X Link 2025-11-28T21:04Z 280.9K followers, 273.1K engagements

""No one's going to build a factory based on a tariff that's on on Monday off on. Tuesday the president's changed his mind by Wednesday he gets hormonal by Thursday and someone says something nasty in the middle school cafeteria on Friday and they're back on again.""
X Link 2025-11-29T12:52Z 280.9K followers, 267.9K engagements

"Demolishing the East Wing of the White House before finalizing plans for what will be built above its ruins is a near-perfect metaphor for Trump's approach to economic policy. The only difference is the wrecking crew doesnt claim the rubble is evidence of unprecedented growth"
X Link 2025-11-29T15:46Z 280.8K followers, 192.4K engagements

"When PM Carney sets specific goals for Canada to "diversify away" from the USmaking headlines in Canada but barely mentioned elsewherehear that for what it is: Close partners looking elsewhere for better friends. This is the silent way the U.S. loses its pointless trade war"
X Link 2025-11-30T12:52Z 280.9K followers, 189.3K engagements

"When Canada deepens ties with China it's not romance it's risk management. If the U.S. keeps slapping tariffs and rewriting rules partners diversify. Reliability is an economic asset; squander it and trade flows and influence quietly move elsewhere"
X Link 2025-11-30T17:46Z 280.8K followers, 102K engagements

""Does this feel like or look like a well-run competent administration It took them XX months to discover that the United States doesn't grow bananas and that therefore if we tariff bananas that that's not going to bring banana factories on shore.""
X Link 2025-12-04T12:52Z 280.9K followers, 185.2K engagements

"I've been doing a lot of TV lately but easily my favorite thing is "The Professor Is In" a segment in which we step back from the news cycle and teach economics. That's my true love. With news that Trump might be about to appoint a new Fed chair we explain: What does the Fed Chair do"
X Link 2025-12-06T13:51Z 280.9K followers, 37.2K engagements

"Honestly the President has a point. It's a game where big boofy blokes sometimes play catch and other times cuddle the ball and run at each other. Who thought: Let's name this after an extremity that's barely involved"
X Link 2025-12-06T14:51Z 280.8K followers, 30K engagements

"The President has said that he has already picked his new Fed Chair. In this segment of #TheProfessorIsIn we answer the question: What are the stakes How will this decision affect YOUR life"
X Link 2025-12-06T17:46Z 280.9K followers, 14.5K engagements

"The President promised prices would go back down. In a healthy economy they almost never do. The normal pattern is: prices jump then over time your paycheck catches up. The pain comes when wages don't followthen it's not inflation so much as an affordability crisis"
X Link 2025-12-07T14:32Z 280.9K followers, 77.4K engagements

"Trump says Lisa Cook is unfit to be a Fed governor because she claimed two different properties as her primary residence on her mortgage applications. (Cook denies this.) Trump also listed two separate properties as his primary residence on mortgage applications submitted a mere X weeks apart"
X Link 2025-12-08T14:07Z 280.9K followers, 51.3K engagements

"Monetary policy is a screwdriver; tariffs immigration rules and trust in government are nails pipes and wiring. If the problem is bad trade policy or lost confidence in the White House turning the interestrate screwdriver harder wont fix it"
X Link 2025-12-08T22:56Z 280.9K followers, 19.1K engagements

"They need to be independent. They need to be courageous will to do what's best for the economy even when it feels difficult. They need to serve the American people rather than the White House. They need to have good judgment. And they need to show intellectual leadership"
X Link 2025-12-09T14:01Z 280.9K followers, 12.5K engagements

"The chance of the NBER declaring a recession in any given* year* is about 1-in-7. Prediction markets reckon there's roughly a 1-in-7 chance a recession began this quarter with a similar chance one begins next quarter. (No odds yet for later quarters.)"
X Link 2025-12-09T18:25Z 280.9K followers, 12.8K engagements

"A measure of the market's confidence in Trump's decisions: - XX% of market economists expect Trump to tap Kevin Hassett to lead the Fed. - Only XX% think that's a good idea (and that's only relative to Trump's existing shortlist)"
X Link 2025-12-10T15:13Z 280.9K followers, 10.5K engagements

"Decisive and visionary"
X Link 2025-12-10T17:37Z 280.9K followers, 97.3K engagements

"Q: "I do want to look at President Trump set to start his economic sales pitch in Pennsylvania in the coming hours -- going to coal country with a message that affordability is a hoax and his economy is doing well. How's that message likely to land" Me: "Good luck mate.""
X Link 2025-12-10T17:46Z 280.9K followers, 49.1K engagements

"Fun thing about the December FOMC meeting is that forecasts for 2025 effectively reveal where each participant wants the fund rate to be. This says X wanted a bigger cut XX wanted a quarter point cut and X wanted no change. For the Fed that's what passes as a starkly divided board"
X Link 2025-12-10T19:10Z 280.9K followers, 5192 engagements

"A revealing set of Fed projections: X. Inflation is expected to be above target for years. X. Unemployment is above long-term rate and will be for a while. X. Surprisingly large uptick in expected growth for 2026. X. We may get one or two more interest rate cuts but don't hold your breath"
X Link 2025-12-10T19:13Z 280.9K followers, 6047 engagements

"Powell's post Fed-meeting presser is live here: The official statement was quite uninformative. If last month is anything to go by this might be where the real news is"
X Link 2025-12-10T19:32Z 280.9K followers, 11.9K engagements

"Powell signals that the Fed believes the October household survey (which I think he means the unemployment) could well be highly distorted by the shutdown. He also said that there may be similar distortions in the CPI. ("Technical factors.") So new data isn't going to be persuasive for a bit"
X Link 2025-12-10T19:49Z 280.9K followers, 7800 engagements

""And so what we heard Powell say today was actually two sources of worry. He looks deeply worried. Either something's going wrong with the economy or something's going wrong with his Botox." Let's dig into what today's Fed decision really means:"
X Link 2025-12-10T22:17Z 280.9K followers, 25.2K engagements

"Tariffs are like throwing rocks in the economic engine then asking the Fed to fix the noise by adjusting the radio volume. Interest rates can tune demand but they cant magically make a trade war painless"
X Link 2025-12-10T22:56Z 280.9K followers, 26.5K engagements

"The entire U.S. population is in the low hundreds of millions (340m) meaning that according to NoemMath nearly all of us were on track for a cocaine-related death. We are all so grateful to have been saved"
X Link 2025-12-04T03:22Z 280.9K followers, 140.5K engagements

"Just finished teaching Econ XXX and I'm feeling big feelings. It was an extraordinary group who engaged tenaciously. There really is nothing like an intro class in terms of how far we travelled together. Love these guysall XXX of them. The future is bright #GoBlue #Teachecon"
X Link 2025-12-05T02:04Z 280.9K followers, 32.1K engagements

"Affordability concerns are real because: - Tariffs raise import costs - Deportations make it harder to harvest crops - Attacking Obamacare hikes premiums - Budget deficits raise mortgage payments - Undermining the Fed risks inflation. It's not a hoax; it's a policy choice"
X Link 2025-12-07T17:46Z 280.9K followers, 51K engagements

"A Republican president once picked Ben Bernankea future Nobel laureatebecause expertise mattered more than spin. That norm picking Fed chairs for brains not loyalty does more to protect your paycheck than any campaign slogan"
X Link 2025-12-07T22:56Z 280.9K followers, 94.9K engagements

""I think the most important way for thinking about the health of an economy is what's happening with the unemployment rate. Can people find jobs and do they have stable and steady work That's actually been drifting up. So that says our economy's been underperforming.""
X Link 2025-12-09T16:59Z 280.9K followers, 49.3K engagements

"Join me for a chat about economic uncertainty institutional change and -- perhaps most interestingly recent moves to Trump-proof the Fed"
X Link 2025-12-13T17:46Z 280.9K followers, 13.5K engagements

"One of my students asked me for book recommendations. They're looking for popular econ books -- the kind that are both fun to read and which give you some new insight into the world. So I'm compiling a list of recommended popular econ books. Lemme ask: What books would YOU suggest I include"
X Link 2024-12-02T22:53Z 280.9K followers, 329.5K engagements

"Farmers get a bail out in the face of the costs they've born from Trump's trade war. Quite an admission that his policies have hurt Americans. Now riddle me this: Why not bail out consumers who are paying more for imported goods"
X Link 2025-12-08T17:37Z 280.9K followers, 70K engagements

"The latest script: Prices are high Must be big business. Need a Trump-y twist Make it foreign businesses. Its like political Mad Libs: just fill in the villain and skip the economics. Add the President's solution a task force() and you'll understand my pessimism"
X Link 2025-12-09T12:52Z 280.9K followers, 32.8K engagements

"The President's Affordability Tour begins with a tightly scripted message: Cheer up. You can easily do without and enjoy it. And it teaches your entitled kids a lesson they need to learn. Also steel. That's a real need"
X Link 2025-12-10T03:48Z 280.9K followers, 78.3K engagements

""A lot of people very very concerned about the state of their personal economies right now people who are worried that the unemployment rate has been rising over the past year that manufacturing employment continues to fall that inflation continues to be higher than the Fed's target.""
X Link 2025-12-11T12:52Z 280.9K followers, 19.5K engagements

""All that tariff money's gone into a big pot. And what Trump has done is he's taken a bunch of mates and he said to them I like you. You're a farmer. I like the cut of your jib. You get bailed out but the rest of us don't.""
X Link 2025-12-11T17:46Z 280.9K followers, 64.9K engagements

"A quarter-point Fed cut sounds big but for most people it's modest. On a car loan or mortgage your monthly payment nudges down not collapses. Markets care more because it hints at the Fed's pathtodays move says gentle easing not emergency rescue"
X Link 2025-12-12T01:10Z 280.9K followers, 27.4K engagements

"My favorite part is that the President has said a threshold for being appointed Fed Chair is a willingness to cut rates and now suddenly everyone he talks to says the Fed should cut rates. He interprets this as confirming the wisdom of his policy judgments"
X Link 2025-12-12T21:11Z 280.9K followers, 8084 engagements

"In economics transitory can mean a few years. In Washington transitory is anything that lasts longer than a news cycle. And it's worth bearing that distinction in mind as we approach the next round of "transitory" (tariff-driven) inflation"
X Link 2025-12-12T22:56Z 280.9K followers, 16.6K engagements

"Powell looks deeply worried. And so I conclude that "either something's going wrong with the economy or something's going wrong with his Botox.""
X Link 2025-12-13T13:51Z 280.9K followers, 55.3K engagements