@JackSayeghA Jack Sayegh Assa

Jack Sayegh Assa posts on X about business, $msft, market, longterm the most. They currently have [-------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [---] engagements in the last [--] hours.

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[--] Month [-------] +639%

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[--] Week [--] +3.50%
[--] Month [--] +7.10%

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Social Influence

Social category influence stocks technology brands finance countries cryptocurrencies fashion brands exchanges luxury brands automotive brands

Social topic influence business, $msft, market, longterm, $ma, $spgi, strong, $amzn, compound, asml

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @capexandchill @fiscorainvest @ashton1nvests @tacticzh @bramvgenechten @dividendology @dividendtalks @dividenddynasty @bourboncap @qualitycapital1 @imsilviu @theraymyers @bethkindig @0xpenalretard @bdinvestingg @joecarlsonshow @manuinvests @mindset4moneyx @dividendgrowth

Top assets mentioned Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) Mastercard, Inc. (MA) S&P Global Inc (SPGI) Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Metadium (META) Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL) Netflix Inc (NFLX) Moody's Corporation (MCO) American Express Company (AXP) MercadoLibre Inc (MELI) NuCypher (NU) Costco Hot Dog (COST) Intercontinental Exchange Inc (ICE) Decentral Games ICE (ICE) Ferrari N.V. (RACE)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"@BramVGenechten The crazy part is that High-NA EUV takes this moat even further Its not just about copying specs. Its about replicating decades of precision engineering. Thats the real barrier 🏰"
X Link 2025-12-06T17:23Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"$MA: Quick Valuation Based on Free Cash Flow Mastercard generates $17.92 in FCF per share (LTM) and has traded around 32x FCF on average over the past decade. Today the multiple is closer to 28x below its long-term mean. If MA compounds FCF per share at 15% annually over the next five years it would reach roughly $36$38 by [----]. Applying its historical 32x multiple implies a fair value of around $995 per share. Thats an implied return of 16% CAGR from current levels. For a global network with strong switching costs and exceptional unit economics the setup looks compelling. How do you approach"
X Link 2025-12-10T16:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@CapexAndChill $MELI. The combination of marketplace + fintech gives it a more diversified revenue base and a stronger long-term growth runway. Hard for $NU to replicate that ecosystem advantage"
X Link 2025-12-10T17:30Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Pro Medicus has one of the strongest imaging-software moats globally highly specialized and very scalable. But I agree with you: the real question is whether growth and TAM can scale fast enough to justify the current valuation. PME looks powerful but definitely priced for perfection"
X Link 2025-12-10T19:53Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@dividendology I think so. $SPGI moat is incredibly hard to replicate: ratings indices and data all reinforce each other. Once issuance rebounds operating leverage shows up quickly. A high-quality business trading at a rare discount. Not every day you see it below 28x normalized earnings"
X Link 2025-12-11T00:50Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"People overestimate crypto as a threat to Visa and underestimate the real enemy: cash. $V and $MA have been integrating crypto rails for years but their biggest tailwind is still the global shift from cash to electronic payments. Every percentage point that cash loses becomes revenue for these networks"
X Link 2025-12-11T18:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@imsilviu @dividendology Valuation looks expensive only if you compare $MA to regular businesses. Its an asset-light network with durable growth stable margins and huge operating leverage. High quality rarely trades cheap"
X Link 2025-12-11T21:43Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Let me give you an example to explain my point. Take $MCO. Over the last decade it delivered 1718% CAGR plus dividends with revenue EPS and FCF growing 10% annually while trading around 28x earnings and FCF most of the time. Its not just about growth. Stability high ROIC and durable economics allow certain businesses to sustain higher valuations for long periods. In the end it comes down to whether you believe that business model will still be compounding ten years from now. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1999382197061533796 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1999382197061533796"
X Link 2025-12-12T07:33Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"This is a good example of multiple compression masking improving fundamentals. Revenues are still growing 7% operating margins are expanding and yet $SPGI is trading around 25x earnings well below its historical range. Hard to argue the business quality or moat has deteriorated"
X Link 2025-12-12T16:03Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@DividendTalks I dont follow $NTDOY closely from a growth or valuation perspective but its hard to ignore the strength of the IP. The brand loyalty and cross-generational appeal create optionality that goes far beyond a typical console cycle"
X Link 2025-12-12T16:17Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Diversification protects you from ignorance. But beyond a point it also dilutes your best ideas. Owning [----] businesses you truly understand is very different from owning [--] you barely follow"
X Link 2025-12-17T16:17Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@DividendDynasty Yes. $MA is one of those businesses where the real value comes from the network pricing power and consistency of cash flows over time. Its the kind of company that doesnt need to surprise you to compound"
X Link 2025-12-17T16:38Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"$ASML already faces competition in DUV. Where it still holds a true monopoly is EUV. Even if China manages to make EUV functional by [----] ASML wont be standing still. The company continuously improves its systems and has privileged access to suppliers and markets China is blocked from. By then High-NA EUV will already be commercial. The real question isnt if others eventually catch up. Its whether ASML keeps extending the technological frontier which it has done for decades"
X Link 2025-12-17T23:05Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@DividendTalks No doubt $COST has one of the hardest business models to replicate with real pricing power and customer loyalty. The debate isnt whether its a great company but how much premium youre willing to pay for that consistency"
X Link 2025-12-18T16:42Z [--] followers, [----] engagements

"@fiscorainvest The market still frames $NFLX as a growth story. I think its increasingly an operating leverage story: pricing power ads and improving content ROI are making incremental revenue far more valuable at scale"
X Link 2025-12-19T21:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"One of the reasons I like Intercontinental Exchange $ICE is how quietly powerful its business model is. Every time someone checks prices trades a stock or routes an order through the NYSE ICE monetizes the activity. Not by taking balance sheet risk but by selling critical data and charging transaction fees on essential market infrastructure. This is just one part of the business but it captures the core economics: a toll booth on global capital markets with high margins recurring revenue and strong operating leverage. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2002134087868272683"
X Link 2025-12-19T21:48Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Many people think you can only make money investing in AI or tech. Meanwhile businesses with strong moats keep compounding quietly without headlines or hype. $AXP is a good reminder of that"
X Link 2025-12-20T18:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"I analyze businesses not tickers. Long-term investing. Economic moats. Cash flows. Capital allocation. I focus on high-quality companies that can compound for years not hype-driven trades. If you want to understand why great businesses win over time youre in the right place"
X Link 2025-12-22T02:58Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@TheRayMyers The question isnt whether others try to catch up. Its whether ASML keeps extending the technological frontier. So far history suggests it does"
X Link 2025-12-23T03:11Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"The margin expansion is real but what makes it durable is where its coming from. Robotics and fulfillment efficiency improve the retail core but AWS + Ads are doing the heavy lifting on consolidated margins. As long as $AMZN keeps reinvesting with discipline operating leverage should remain a multi-year tailwind not a one-off. Thats why I focus more on long-term cash flow power than any single year margin peak"
X Link 2025-12-23T23:02Z [--] followers, [----] engagements

"@BourbonCap Whats interesting is that each new frontier reinforces the core. Retail AWS and Ads arent separate bets. They compound on top of each other"
X Link 2025-12-25T17:40Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@dividendology Most investors say theyre long-term but they still size positions as if every mistake is fatal. True diversification isnt about owning more stocks. Its about sizing conviction correctly"
X Link 2025-12-26T16:55Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Diversification reduces risk. But over-diversification often just hides a lack of conviction. At some point the real risk isnt owning too little. Its not knowing your businesses well enough"
X Link 2025-12-26T17:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"One thing I like about $MSFT is how boring its growth looks on the surface. Most of the compounding doesnt come from flashy launches. It comes from pricing power embedded products and steady reinvestment across the ecosystem. Thats usually where the most durable returns are built. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2004975997909958887 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2004975997909958887"
X Link 2025-12-27T18:01Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@Beth_Kindig Accelerating 3nm reinforces both $TSM and $ASML moats. TSM wins on execution and scale at the frontier. ASML wins by controlling the bottleneck that makes that frontier possible. As complexity rises those advantages compound together"
X Link 2025-12-27T23:59Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"$RACE doesnt sell cars. It sells dreams status and scarcity at the highest level. Personalization works because its layered on top of extreme scarcity. Thats what turns customization into pricing power not just an option list. As Enzo Ferrari said: Ask a child to draw a car and they will draw a red one. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2005107307043025381 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2005107307043025381"
X Link 2025-12-28T02:43Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"You can see this checklist reflected in real portfolios. Names like $V $MSFT or $SPGI dont dominate because theyre exciting but because they compound through pricing power embedded distribution and scale over decades. Thats usually what durable moats look like in practice. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2005164789178196437 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2005164789178196437"
X Link 2025-12-28T06:31Z [--] followers, [----] engagements

"Three years ago I stopped investing in indexes and decided to build my own portfolio. Not to be different but because I wanted more control over what I owned and why I owned it. Since then the focus has been simple: high-quality businesses with real moats strong ROIC and the ability to reinvest capital for many years. Heading into [----] the goal is still the same: outperform the index over the long term"
X Link 2025-12-28T16:50Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"My largest positions didnt end up there by accident: $AMZN: scale everywhere you look. Logistics ads AWS. Operating leverage is still playing out. $MSFT: products people already depend on now getting smarter with Copilot layered on top. $GOOGL: unmatched distribution data and a cash flow engine that funds whatever comes next. Different businesses same idea: moats that get stronger with time"
X Link 2025-12-28T16:50Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"$V and $MA are a good example of what I like to own. No hype. No drama. Just a steady shift away from cash more transactions more cross-border activity and very high margins. When you own the network growth doesnt need to be exciting to be powerful"
X Link 2025-12-28T16:50Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"And in semis my thinking is pretty straightforward: $TSM wins through execution and scale at the leading edge. $ASML wins by controlling the bottleneck that makes that edge possible. As complexity keeps rising (3nm 2nm advanced packaging) their advantages dont get weaker. They compound"
X Link 2025-12-28T16:50Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@Ashton_1nvests $ASML Not because of AI hype but because it controls the bottleneck of advanced manufacturing. As nodes move to 3nm 2nm and beyond complexity rises and demand for its tools compounds. The surprise wont be growth itll be how durable and capital-efficient that growth is"
X Link 2025-12-29T02:17Z [--] followers, [----] engagements

"@0x_penalretard @Ashton_1nvests Monopolies often look overvalued because durability gets priced in. That doesnt mean returns stop compounding. What risk do you think the market is mispricing here"
X Link 2025-12-29T18:07Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"$AXP isnt just a payments company. And its not like most financial stocks. It controls one of the highest-quality customer bases in consumer finance. That translates into pricing power lower credit risk and a virtuous cycle thats hard to replicate. In downturns that matters more than growth. Thats why its in my portfolio. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2005705286909300861 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2005705286909300861"
X Link 2025-12-29T18:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"$GOOGL Im very optimistic about Googles long-term future. Its a high-quality business with durable advantages and strong cash generation. At 30x earnings I think the business deserves these multiples. But at these levels Im not adding more. There are better risk-reward opportunities right now. That said I wouldnt think its crazy if someone bought Google here. Great business. Just a matter of price and capital allocation. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006041464766156916 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006041464766156916"
X Link 2025-12-30T16:35Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@bdinvestingg Strong businesses no doubt. For me the key in volatile years isnt just owning winners but owning businesses where cash flows are durable and balance sheets give you room to be wrong. Thats where long-term outcomes really diverge"
X Link 2025-12-30T17:30Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"$AMZN isnt just exposed to these themes. It compounds through them. AWS funds compute and AI. Retail + ads generate data and cash. Logistics and automation reinforce scale and efficiency. The edge is owning a business that allocates capital across all of them year after year. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006411453020938479 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006411453020938479"
X Link 2025-12-31T17:05Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"This is the key point many miss. The moat isnt just the machine its the decades of accumulated know-how suppliers iteration cycles and failure behind it. Competitors will eventually make progress. What matters is whether $ASML keeps pushing the frontier faster than others can catch up. Physics is universal but learning curves arent. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006790020414452153 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2006790020414452153"
X Link 2026-01-01T18:09Z [--] followers, 13.7K engagements

"One of the reasons I own $ASML and $TSM isnt a single headline. When semiconductors become critical infrastructure controlling the most complex and essential inputs matters. Owning near-monopolistic businesses with moats that are extremely hard to replicate is how you position a portfolio for the long term. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2007120308491137145 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2007120308491137145"
X Link 2026-01-02T16:02Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@CapexAndChill Great breakdown. At this scale owning IP and production assets creates operating leverage while ads monetize that leverage more efficiently. Lower marginal content costs on one side higher monetization per user on the other. Thats how platform economics compound"
X Link 2026-01-02T18:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@TacticzH Thanks My largest positions are $AMZN $MSFT $ASML and $GOOGL. I keep the full portfolio pinned on my profile if you want to see the complete picture"
X Link 2026-01-02T22:24Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Makes sense. For me the real upside in $META (and $GOOGL) isnt the AI narrative itself but what it actually does to the ad engine. Better models mean better targeting and conversion which directly improves ROI for advertisers and monetization at scale. Network effects just amplify that over time. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2007582000979554790 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2007582000979554790"
X Link 2026-01-03T22:37Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"At what point does a great business stop justifying aggressive capital allocation I dont have a perfect answer but to me this is where many long-term investment mistakes are made. What I keep an eye on is whether ROIC holds up over time and if FCF per share and EPS continue to grow on a long-term basis. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2007859388476748098 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2007859388476748098"
X Link 2026-01-04T16:59Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@Ashton_1nvests Agreed. Businesses that can operate through imperfect conditions usually compound more consistently. Time does a lot of the heavy lifting especially with companies like $AMZN where investments take years to fully play out"
X Link 2026-01-04T20:04Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"One of the biggest mistakes investors make is underestimating time. Great businesses can still deliver poor returns if capital allocation is aggressive or if expectations get ahead of reality. Thats why I spend more time watching ROIC trends and FCF per share than short-term narratives. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008603520480473429 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2008603520480473429"
X Link 2026-01-06T18:16Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@joecarlsonshow Exactly. Robots wont just improve efficiency they should steadily lift e-commerce operating margins at $AMZN. And at this scale even small margin gains translate into billions in net income EPS and FCF"
X Link 2026-01-06T21:07Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@QualityCapital1 Solid analysis. $MAs strength is that the core business keeps compounding quietly and everything else just builds on top of it. That kind of business is very hard to replace over time"
X Link 2026-01-07T17:52Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@QualityCapital1 Exactly. When volumes grow structurally businesses like $MA and $V dont need to be aggressive to keep compounding. Thats an underrated advantage"
X Link 2026-01-07T18:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"I own $TSM. Its clearly the #1 in the industry with a scale moat Intel is unlikely to replicate anytime soon. That said the $INTC thesis isnt crazy either. The US is actively backing Intel to reduce strategic dependence on Taiwan in a geopolitical scenario. At the same time TSM is hedging that risk by building capacity outside Taiwan including in the US. Different roles in the same long-term story. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009058896506151194 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009058896506151194"
X Link 2026-01-08T00:25Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@ManuInvests In many markets WhatsApp is already where businesses sell support and close transactions. Meta isnt creating new behavior here its monetizing what already exists. Thats why this feels structurally powerful for $META"
X Link 2026-01-08T00:52Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Added to existing positions today: $NFLX: +55% previously my smallest position. The strongest streaming business with expanding margins and monetization levers still early $META: +20% AI-driven improvements in ad efficiency and early WhatsApp monetization $SPGI: +25% a duopoly positioned to benefit as debt issuance picks up with rate cycles turning $TSM: +25% a critical node in global semiconductor manufacturing with long-term pricing power Just allocating incremental capital into businesses with durable moats and long runways. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009307198384480445"
X Link 2026-01-08T16:52Z [--] followers, [----] engagements

"@CapexAndChill Thanks. I tend to add gradually as conviction evolves rather than making large reallocations. Curious how you approach sizing"
X Link 2026-01-08T17:18Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@DividendDynasty Thanks Focusing on position sizing and long-term business quality"
X Link 2026-01-08T18:22Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Thanks Bram Mainly position sizing. $NFLX was still my smallest position so the add looks larger in % terms. Beyond that Netflix still has a long runway internationally is the most efficient streaming platform and captures only a small share of global entertainment spend. The announced Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition adds upside through stronger IP better content economics and potential margin expansion. Just letting sizing catch up with conviction. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009375924844732680 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009375924844732680"
X Link 2026-01-08T21:25Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Id consider it a mistake to sell monopolies or businesses with strong moats purely based on valuation unless theres a clearly superior long-term opportunity. With $ASML the next few years could still surprise to the upside: 2nm nodes High-NA EUV and new U.S. foundries all point to strong structural demand. Theyre well positioned to keep compounding. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009402901882454093 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009402901882454093"
X Link 2026-01-08T23:12Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@fiscorainvest Exactly Terminal growth ends up doing most of the work over long horizons"
X Link 2026-01-08T23:48Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"$AMZN is a great business. What stands out to me is how each segment reinforces the ecosystem: e-commerce AWS ads and logistics all compound together. Its not without challenges (heavy capex and volatile FCF) but margin discipline has been improving consistently. Thats why it remains my largest position. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009486082195263716 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2009486082195263716"
X Link 2026-01-09T04:43Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@TacticzH $RACEs moat is unquestionable driven by exclusivity and brand power. The open question for me is whether this move reflects multiple compression or temporary fear"
X Link 2026-01-09T19:48Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"I dont think the impact would be the same across the networks. $V has a much larger debit mix which should help. $MA is more credit-heavy but it also has the services segment as a buffer. This would also be a U.S. specific issue for two global businesses. To me the real unknown is how much credit would actually be pulled and for how large a portion of U.S. consumers. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010022622071796195 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010022622071796195"
X Link 2026-01-10T16:15Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@BourbonCap Share buybacks become incredibly powerful when paired with a business like $MA. A highly predictable model strong pricing power and steady FCF generation allow consistent cannibalism to actually compound value over time"
X Link 2026-01-12T18:52Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@TacticzH Beyond AI industries like autos smartphones gaming and more keep pushing for smaller more powerful chips. If you believe in ongoing technological progress and rising compute intensity $ASML is the critical infrastructure enabling that evolution"
X Link 2026-01-12T20:22Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"The 10% credit-card rate cap headline is hitting banks hard but I think the market is mixing up issuers with networks. Visa and Mastercard dont make money on interest rates. They make money on transaction volume. This doesnt mean theyre immune. Any impact to $V / $MA would be indirect: if banks pull back credit and spending slows volume can decline. That said an 8% move still feels more like an emotional reaction than a proportional one. Curious how others are thinking about the second-order effects here. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2011113492095381672"
X Link 2026-01-13T16:29Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@Ashton_1nvests Agreed Size doesnt eliminate opportunity. In names like $AMZN or $META upside doesnt come from TAM expansion alone but from margin normalization operating leverage better capital allocation and optionality from new businesses. Thats often underestimated"
X Link 2026-01-13T19:34Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"$MSFT is one of those cases where price action and business performance have temporarily disconnected. Revenues can still compound 15% for several years margins remain best-in-class and capital allocation keeps improving. At 27x earnings its not cheap but for this level of durability and optionality waiting for a perfect price often means missing the investment. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012216777531343216 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2012216777531343216"
X Link 2026-01-16T17:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Markets can react tomorrow to headlines about new tariffs on Denmark and other countries tied to the Greenland negotiations. This matters in the short term but its worth zooming out. Last year during Liberation Day we saw a similar macro shock. Markets panicked and in the end very little actually changed. Macro news often feels urgent but it rarely alters the long-term trajectory of great businesses. Moments like this are a reminder: focus on fundamentals think long term and dont let headlines dictate your investment horizon. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2013281909997015125"
X Link 2026-01-19T16:06Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"$NFLX fell 5% after earnings. The call said the opposite of what the market feared. Netflix isnt saturated: 10% of total TV time in key markets 7% of global consumer + ad spend Hundreds of millions of households still outside Thats not maturity. Thats runway. Ads are where the upside is: Ad-tier ARPU still below ad-free and the gap is closing This isnt about adding users its about monetizing attention better Premium CPMs their own data new ad formats One line from the call really mattered: Not all hours are equal. Less volume better engagement improves retention and pricing power. Warner/HBO"
X Link 2026-01-21T01:30Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@CapexAndChill Agreed. What stood out to me is how clearly they framed quality of engagement over raw hours. Better retention + better monetization per hour is where the real operating leverage comes from"
X Link 2026-01-21T01:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Even for a monopoly that deserves a structural premium valuation is starting to look stretched. Recent comments from $TSM helped confirm multi-year demand but ASMLs own results and guidance will be key to understand where we really are in the capex cycle and what to expect over the next few years. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014375777668665564 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2014375777668665564"
X Link 2026-01-22T16:33Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"I stress-tested $SPGI by modeling a true worst case: Market Intelligence = [--]. No recovery. No optimism. I valued only Ratings Indices Energy and Mobility using conservative growth margin contraction and a 24x EPS multiple. Result: intrinsic value $330/share vs $400 today. Even in a fatal scenario downside is 17%. MI is upside optionality. The core business carries the weight. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021328410996326466 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021328410996326466"
X Link 2026-02-10T21:00Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@TacticzH Good point. Even if results are strong and beat expectations guidance and management commentary will be what ultimately drive the stocks reaction and determine whether the company deserves to trade at premium multiples"
X Link 2026-01-27T16:12Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"I think $MSFT offers a great opportunity for long-term investors here. The market doesnt like the massive capex spend but this is high-ROIC investment aimed at expanding future capacity. With double-digit revenue and EPS growth a business like this trading around 24x earnings looks attractive. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016913535448863095 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016913535448863095"
X Link 2026-01-29T16:37Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Working on a new template for my deep dives. 🛠📈 I want to make valuations easy to digest at a glance. Please ignore the numbers of $MA for now but let me know: Is it too crowded or just right Does the chart add real value Would you follow for more content in this format Appreciate the feedback 🙏 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016939751882850413 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016939751882850413"
X Link 2026-01-29T18:21Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"$MSFT delivered very strong results. For a $3T company to grow revenues and EPS at double-digit rates says a lot about the strength of the business and its moat. The market is clearly uncomfortable with the level of capex but to me thats a short-term concern tied to long-term capacity and growth. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016963284541284747 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2016963284541284747"
X Link 2026-01-29T19:54Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@Mindset4Money_X Many people are worried about the high CapEx spending and about the commercial agreements with OpenAI and the percentage of revenue they represent. I still believe that in the long term $MSFT will generate alpha and continue strengthening its business and moat"
X Link 2026-01-30T21:06Z [--] followers, [----] engagements

"I agree with your take on $MSFT but I think theres another factor behind the sell-off. Microsoft has historically been a highly diversified global business where no single customer meaningfully threatened revenue stability. Thats starting to change. A large portion of this quarters growth roughly half is tied to commercial agreements with OpenAI a company Microsoft itself sponsors. OpenAI doesnt yet generate the cash flows needed to independently support those commitments which introduces a new kind of counterparty risk. For a company long viewed as the safest business in the market that"
X Link 2026-02-01T18:19Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Ive been watching the drop in $SPGI and $MCO today and it seems like a lot of people are worried about AI shaking up the financial world. But honestly I think their business is safer than it looks. AI can crunch numbers but it cant replace the official trust and legal stamps these companies provide. If anything they can use these new tools to work faster and cheaper while staying at the top of the game. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018774429430342091 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018774429430342091"
X Link 2026-02-03T19:51Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Today I decided to close my position in $MONC (Moncler). While the luxury sector is cyclical Remo Ruffinis exit from the CEO role and sales growth stalling at 0% have weakened my original thesis. In investing admitting a mistake is a victory; holding onto a broken thesis is the real failure. I like the company and I think they have a lot of future but at this moment I believe I can use that cash to invest in better opportunities. Tomorrow I'll be adding that cash to existing positions where the market is mispricing quality. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019451830196175304"
X Link 2026-02-05T16:43Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"People saying 12% YoY revenue growth for $AMZN is slow are simply wrong. Its not high double-digit growth like others but context matters. $AMZN is growing 12% on a $700B+ revenue base. Thats 74% more revenue than $GOOGL 248% more than $MSFT and 348% more than $META. Thats massive in absolute dollars. Scale matters. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019549769505599698 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019549769505599698"
X Link 2026-02-05T23:12Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@DividendGrowth Charlie Munger talking about the 200-week moving average is like saying Buffett and him built their fortune day trading with MACD"
X Link 2026-02-09T23:27Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"I read the full $SPGI earnings call today. Heres what they actually said about AI and Market Intelligence: 85% of MI revenue is subscription. Subscription grew 7% in Q4. ACV was 6.57% again. They admitted volume-driven revenue was softer and can move with market activity. Thats why [----] MI guidance is a cautious 5.57%. On AI: their workflow tools are enterprise-grade systems of record. They distribute their data through AI platforms and LLMs cant train on S&P data. Managements view: AI is a net tailwind. The risk is volatility. Not extinction."
X Link 2026-02-12T23:15Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"@fiscorainvest Nice move. Netflix is one company where scale and improving unit economics still give you a long runway. I owned Pro Medicus a while ago. Amazing business but the valuation was always the tough part"
X Link 2025-12-10T03:44Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"I read the full $SPGI call. This doesnt look like a broken business to me. Subscription growth is still there. ACV is still around 6.57%. They can distribute their data through AI platforms. The market is reacting to fear around AI and short-term volatility. Im increasing my position. Execution over the next few quarters will tell us whos right. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022102215310098627 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022102215310098627"
X Link 2026-02-13T00:15Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"@BramVGenechten I modeled $SPGI by parts stress-tested MI and compressed multiples. I dont get much more downside from fundamentals. My floor is around $385. Im buying the business"
X Link 2026-02-13T00:19Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"Mag-7 are getting punished for high capex. But the real question is simple: Is that capital earning high incremental ROIC If yes short-term FCF pressure is just reinvestment at attractive returns. The market sees FCF compression. Long-term investors see capital allocation. Meanwhile tech just recorded the biggest fund inflow in [--] weeks. Headlines call it spending. I see reinvestment. Execution will decide. But high ROIC + scale + reinvestment is a powerful mix"
X Link 2026-02-16T18:45Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"The S&P [---] is flat YTD. But beneath the surface many quality companies are down double digits. These are the moments that separate indexing from active conviction. If you truly understand the business volatility is an opportunity to buy strong moats below intrinsic value. If you dont its a good time to reassess your portfolio and position sizing. Comfort matters. Conviction matters more"
X Link 2026-02-12T17:42Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Analyzing a company is a journey. You study the past to understand the present. Then you imagine the future. And finally you come back to today to decide what that future is worth. Thats investing"
X Link 2026-02-12T01:00Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"This is big. If Kuiper works $AMZN isnt just launching broadband. Its expanding the Prime ecosystem globally. Connectivity Commerce Content Cloud. The more services bundled inside Prime the stronger the switching costs. Thats how the moat compounds over time and operating leverage improves. $AMZN just got FCC approval to launch up to [----] low-Earth orbit internet satellites. This clears the regulatory path for Amazon to scale Kuiper into a real broadband competitor in space https://t.co/fuI4q4IKOW $AMZN just got FCC approval to launch up to [----] low-Earth orbit internet satellites. This"
X Link 2026-02-11T01:40Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"$AMZN just got FCC approval to launch up to [----] low-Earth orbit internet satellites. This clears the regulatory path for Amazon to scale Kuiper into a real broadband competitor in space"
X Link 2026-02-11T00:16Z 348.8K followers, 197.3K engagements

"I just updated my valuation framework for some companies I own or track. This is where they stand today vs. my [----] targets and implied CAGR. Not predictions. Just base-case assumptions with discipline and margin of safety. If youre interested DM me and Ill send you a screenshot of the valuation summary so you can see how I think about long-term returns and start building your own framework"
X Link 2026-02-09T23:10Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Valuing $META is getting tricky. The massive CAPEX and D&A make EBITDA and FCF multiples look a bit distorted right now. My model averages out to a 13.5% 5-year CAGR but if we value it solely on P/E that potential return jumps to 16.25%. It feels like the market is pricing in the spending but maybe underestimating the bottom-line growth. How are you balancing Metas long-term growth vs this investment cycle"
X Link 2026-01-30T20:31Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"Results were very solid and theyre projecting [----] revenue could reach up to $39B (+19%) driven by strong demand in semis and the optimism theyre seeing in the market. Hard to believe that less than a year ago this monopoly was trading at half of todays price. Itll be interesting to see how many High-NA EUV systems $ASML manages to sell in [----]. $ASML"
X Link 2026-01-28T08:12Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"$MSFT building Maia [---] is about cost control not replacing $NVDA. Inference gets optimized but training stays with NVIDIA. Same pattern weve seen from every hyperscaler"
X Link 2026-01-27T14:51Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

"$MSFT has one of the strongest moats in the world. At these levels its worth paying attention. Revenue can keep compounding margins remain best-in-class and capital allocation keeps improving. Is it an obvious bargain Probably not. But at these levels it looks like a reasonable long-term opportunity"
X Link 2026-01-21T19:06Z [--] followers, [---] engagements

"$TSM just reported strong results but for me the most important part wasnt the numbers. It was what the CEO said about the future. AI demand isnt slowing down its spreading across consumers enterprises and governments Customers are already asking for more capacity TSM is preparing to raise capex and expand production In [----] 5nm and 3nm already made up 60% of revenue and 2nm starts this year. Below 5nm theres only one real bottleneck: $ASML. This doesnt look like a short-term AI cycle to me. It looks like a multi-year infrastructure build. Thats why both $TSM and $ASML are core positions in"
X Link 2026-01-15T16:47Z [--] followers, [--] engagements

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