@Divergent7651 Avatar @Divergent7651 Divergent Capital

Divergent Capital posts on X about $glibk, $cphto, business, $alsn the most. They currently have [-----] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [------] engagements in the last [--] hours.

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Social Influence

Social category influence stocks 35.71% finance 26.19% cryptocurrencies 8.73% countries 7.94% social networks 2.38% technology brands 2.38% exchanges 2.38% travel destinations 1.59% nhl 0.79% nba 0.79%

Social topic influence $glibk #1, $cphto 10.32%, business 9.52%, $alsn #21, $chtr #14, $hon #33, $dan 6.35%, $rcib #3, $cmcsa #100, acquisition 5.56%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @fifteencagr @ragingbullcap @cornerstone127s @heartofthesea @spacewalk0 @nike__loss @blondesnmoney @qualitycap0 @rorschachstocks @discountedtr @sowingalphaseed @batman10023 @vagabondrtw @buysideaireview @310value @muralidharanvad @alvarogomezolea @doobeedoo2 @kafka7invest @goldridge_cap

Top assets mentioned ALLISON TRANSMISSION HOLDINGS, INC. (ALSN) Charter Communications Inc (CHTR) Heroes of NFT (HON) Dana Incorporated (DAN) Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) Snap, Inc. (SNAP) HORIZON KINETICS HOLDING (HKHC) AT&T Inc. (T) Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) LandBridge Company LLC (LB) Iridium Communications Inc. (IRDM) Texas Pacific Land, Corp. (TPL) General Electric Company (GE) SOLLENSYS CORP (SOLS) Nexstar Media Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock (NXST) Trump Derangement Syndrome (TDS) SATS (Ordinals) (SATS) Miami International Holdings, Inc. (MIAX) TransDigm Group, Inc. (TDG) Raytheon Technologies Corp (RTX) Honeywell International Inc (HON) Altria Group Inc (MO) Crocs, Inc. (CROX)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Bought more $SNAP at $5. Now a 6% position including common and LEAPs. $SNAP is at a profitability inflection point due to the growth in its "other revenues". This category includes Snapchat+ Lens+ Snapchat Platinum and Memories Storage Plans. Snap does not explicitly disaggregate these products. Other revenues for FY25 were $745M up 67% YoY with Q4'25 at $232M up 22% QoQ equivalent to an annual run-rate of $928M or 18% of FY25 advertising revenues. The memories storage component of other revenues is very interesting. Memories are saved within the app rather than natively on the phone."
X Link 2026-02-12T03:53Z [----] followers, 12.8K engagements

"Bought some $SOLS at $79.32. 2.2% currently. Will take it up to 3.3% next session. Thread(1/2) 🧵 We put our SOLS long thesis above the paywall in our Atoms vs. Bits primer yesterday so Im also going to summarize for all you degenerates on X. The story is simple: the uranium trade has resulted in nearly every part of the value chain from miners to enrichers Thread(1/2) 🧵 We put our SOLS long thesis above the paywall in our Atoms vs. Bits primer yesterday so Im also going to summarize for all you degenerates on X. The story is simple: the uranium trade has resulted in nearly every part of the"
X Link 2026-02-13T05:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Indian competition regulator has approved $ALSN $DAN merger. Approvals in Austria Brazil and India to date. Poland and U.S. pending. Thesis is approvals likely due to:- 1) Low product overlap; and 2) Low geographic sales overlap. https://www.devdiscourse.com/article/business/3621022-cci-approves-allison-transmissions-acquisition-of-danas-off-highway-business https://www.devdiscourse.com/article/business/3621022-cci-approves-allison-transmissions-acquisition-of-danas-off-highway-business"
X Link 2025-09-10T23:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Thinking about how to sift through Japan it occurred to me that you could try to find the Japanese counterpart of great business models. One name that came up is Japan Exchange Group ($8697.T) the owner and operator of the Tokyo Stock Exchange among others. (1/n)"
X Link 2025-09-22T02:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Some names that look interesting to me: Japan exchange Group $8697.T - Japan tailwind Turning Point Brands $TPB - Increasing nicotine pouch exposure Baltic Classifieds Group $BCG.LN - pricing power Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure $DBI.AX - pricing power Anyone across these"
X Link 2025-10-07T10:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$GLIBK setup is a little reminiscent of $CPH.TO. 1) Downside protection from a stable cash-generative legacy business that's dominant in its niche 2) Insider ownership with a good capital allocator 3) Upside optionality from tax shield decreasing capex and acquisitions"
X Link 2025-10-27T23:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Assuming completion of Alaska Plan not delayed estimate that $GLIBK will generate $910M cumulative FCF over next [--] years factoring in capex reduction and tax shield. That's 86% of the current equity value and 43% of the EV in the hands of John Malone. (1/n)"
X Link 2025-10-31T20:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"John Malone's ownership of $GLIBA and $GLIBK has increased from 6.8% and 4.7% as at the date of the prospectus to 9.1% and 5.4% as at [--] November [----] per the rights offering S1"
X Link 2025-11-05T22:47Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"For anyone interested the legal documents relating to $CPH.TO arbitration against Sun Pharma can be accessed here: cc @ragingbullcap https://jusmundi.com/en/document/other/en-cipher-pharmaceuticals-inc-v-sun-pharmaceutical-industries-inc-sun-pharmaceutical-industries-inc-s-memorandum-of-law-in-support-of-its-petition-to-partially-vacate-arbitration-award-wednesday-8th-october-2025"
X Link 2025-11-19T22:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"What's your best idea/top position right now"
X Link 2025-11-27T06:07Z [----] followers, 19.7K engagements

"More to come hopefully. $ALSN"
X Link 2025-12-10T23:55Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Loosely thinking about a basket of stocks with abysmal sentiment high FCF yield decent share repurchase yield and/or dividend yield and potential near-term catalysts for valuation re-rating. Some ideas: 1) $ALSN 2) $CHTR 3) $CMCSA 4) $NXST 5) $MO 6) $CROX"
X Link 2025-12-12T06:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$ALSN - $DANA inc merger catalyst. Increases FCF expands On-Highway segment geography beyond NA additional EV products. $CHTR - Cox merger + completion of major capex cycle significantly increases FCFs. $CMCSA - Versant cable spinoff. May alleviate conglomerate discount"
X Link 2025-12-12T06:13Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$CHTR executive team "alignment scores" (equity ownership in dollars / annual base compensation) for FY24. Kudos to @blondesnmoney for coming up with the metric. Score of [--] is considered good. CEO's score is [--]. CFO's score is [----]. Charter's CEO Chris Winfrey and CFO Jessica Fischer also have $83.6M and $27M worth of stock and option awards respectively that vest in partial tranches on the achievement and sustainment of stock price hurdles beginning at $507. They otherwise expire worthless. Bottom line: the CEO and CFO are aligned with shareholders via significant insider ownership and are"
X Link 2026-01-05T02:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I'm now a cable cowboy. $CHTR $CMCSA $GLIBK"
X Link 2026-01-05T21:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"What are your best themes and individual stock ideas for 2026"
X Link 2026-01-06T03:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Bought some $TDS. Interested to hear thoughts on position sizing"
X Link 2026-01-07T20:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@fifteenCAGR 5% position for me. Definitely strong upside potential but leverage works both ways"
X Link 2026-01-08T23:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Bought some $LB"
X Link 2026-01-09T16:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@fifteenCAGR Horizon Kinetics letter available here: https://imonkey-files.s3-us-west-1.amazonaws.com/Q1-2023-Commentary_FINAL.pdf https://imonkey-files.s3-us-west-1.amazonaws.com/Q1-2023-Commentary_FINAL.pdf"
X Link 2026-01-12T02:19Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Horizon Kinetics owns $JPXGY in its inflation beneficiaries ETF. Interesting"
X Link 2026-01-12T23:49Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"On the issue of $CHTR's subscriber churn and competition for broadband subscribers among cable vs fixed wireless access ("FWA") vs fiber products I think the below excerpt (taken from @cornerstone127's writeup) is a key insight. 1) Cable more than satisfies the internet needs of the average household. 2) Fiber products offer superior but irrelevant and unnecessary performance. Great for a niche of professional gamers and professionals working from home but not the average household. 3) Charter's existing network upgrade is closing the performance gap between cable and fiber and remains"
X Link 2026-01-16T00:50Z [----] followers, 24.7K engagements

"Decreased my $CHTR position at a small loss from 5% to 3%. Was a little overzealous with my initial position sizing. Keeping an open mind on this one"
X Link 2026-01-16T20:37Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Missed out on [--] bagging a small amount of money I had in $ALSN [--] Feb [--] $105 calls that I bought for $0.55 that are now worth $7.20 due to impatience and doubting myself"
X Link 2026-01-21T11:11Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Some good discussion of the competitive dynamics in the broadband industry in the below article: $CMCSA $CHTR $T $VZ https://ltir.substack.com/p/charter-communications-deep-dive-9b7 https://ltir.substack.com/p/charter-communications-deep-dive-9b7"
X Link 2026-01-25T06:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Can anyone recommend an affordable API that gives you access to earnings call transcript text searches"
X Link 2026-01-29T20:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I was too busy focusing on cable and didn't think of the fact that scaling FWA has nearly 60%+ incremental EBITDA margins for providers as it uses existing infrastructure"
X Link 2026-01-30T23:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@heartof_thesea Maybe on a consolidated basis. FWA is probably a small component of total consolidated earnings. I haven't looked too closely yet. Just had a the realisation that FWA is high margin with low incremental costs. I think they're worth looking at right now. Specifically $T and $VZ"
X Link 2026-01-30T23:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@QualityCap0 @heartof_thesea I agree. Good for now. Probably not forever"
X Link 2026-01-31T00:50Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Increased $CHTR at $187 and $212. Now 5% up from 3.3%. Increased $RCI.B and Jul [--] '27 [--] calls. Now 7% cumulatively. If you like the $VOD or $VZ common & LEAPs combo you should really be looking at $RCI.B. Will post more about this soon. Bought $IRDM and IRDM Jul17'26 [--] Call. 3% cumulatively. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018424536526668278 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2018424536526668278"
X Link 2026-02-02T20:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Can anyone recommend any genetic lineage/ancestry enzyme intelligence or other tests you can take that are helpful for understanding yourself and your unique characteristics"
X Link 2026-02-02T21:14Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Sold my CMCSA1 option contracts last session and recycled the proceeds into my $RCI.B calls. I realised the CMCSA1 contracts were an inefficient use of capital in comparison to my $RCI.B calls as the latter has a lower relative premium lower IV and higher leverage factor with a very achievable breakeven. Was also going to buy more $HON calls but the price ran away from me and the run up made my current position reach a level of my port at market that I dont want to exceed. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019236964915130643 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019236964915130643"
X Link 2026-02-05T02:29Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$RCI.B - sports entertainment assets worth at least $15B CAD hidden within a legacy telco business with management actively seeking to monetize these assets worth 55% of the current market cap. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019686947745402905 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2019686947745402905"
X Link 2026-02-06T08:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@RorschachStocks What's the angle on $CCOI"
X Link 2026-02-07T06:12Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$ALSN pro forma cash flow factoring in $DAN acquisition - Form 8-K dated 07/11/'25. $987M FCF (Net income + D&A + amortisation + acquisition costs - capex + synergies). 14.5% FCF yield on current market cap. Share price = $81.73. 10x FCF =$118. 12x FCF = $142"
X Link 2025-11-15T00:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Three special situations that I have on the go right now: 1) $ALSN $DAN merger arbitrage. $ALSN gains $280M FCF from deal. All regulatory approvals now obtained. Subject to finance. Pro forma combined TTM FCF of $987M. 10x multiple = $118.58 per share vs $84.32 now. (1/3)"
X Link 2025-11-22T01:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Just posted a new write-up that's free to read in the usual place. $ALSN $DAN"
X Link 2025-11-24T02:34Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Best spectrum asset monetisation plays"
X Link 2026-01-07T04:00Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I've discussed previously how $JPXGY has a policy of directly intervening in the Japanese public securities market by nudging publicly listed companies to return capital to shareholders and improve their market values and how these initiatives directly benefit $JPXGY's revenues and earnings. An argument could probably be made that these initiatives have the potential to create an apparent or actual conflict between $JPXGY's regulatory functions and its profit interest which is probably why other exchanges don't do this. It's somewhat self-serving. Hence $JPXGY's direct intervention approach"
X Link 2026-01-11T23:37Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Latest Horizon Kinetics letter is 🤌 https://horizonkinetics.com/app/uploads/Founders-Letter-2026_Final.pdf https://horizonkinetics.com/app/uploads/Founders-Letter-2026_Final.pdf"
X Link 2026-01-12T00:04Z [----] followers, 29.8K engagements

"I'm putting this out there now for my own psychological benefit. $LB is a permanent holding. Meaning forever. Will never sell it. If I ever mention anything about selling it please strike me down. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010506445574508740 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2010506445574508740"
X Link 2026-01-12T00:17Z [----] followers, 24.3K engagements

"@fifteenCAGR Read this post and its comments and then read the Horizon Kinetics letter that's referred to in the comments. https://x.com/ragingbullcap/status/1845857110434754614s=20 $LB By far my biggest mistake this year was getting wind that Murray Stahl was heavily invested in an upcoming IPO with an abundance of similarities to $TPL watching it surge on the IPO date and deciding I'd wait for a pullback to add because I couldn't stomach buying something https://t.co/FNXULQsnsW https://x.com/ragingbullcap/status/1845857110434754614s=20 $LB By far my biggest mistake this year was getting"
X Link 2026-01-12T02:18Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Three of Murray Stahl's important insights on land: 1) Land is the only perpetual business asset; 2) Land becomes more scarce over time; 3) Land can serve different progressively higher-value functions over time. There appears to be a new higher value function that $TPL's land can now serve - data centres and power generation. I guess the difficult part is determining: (1) What's that future value worth now; and (2) Is that value already reflected in today's price. Or if that's too difficult you could just sidecar Murray Stahl who's been purchasing $TPL shares as recently as [--] Jan '26 at"
X Link 2026-01-20T03:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$RCI.B is kinda interesting. Canada's largest telco company. Trades at trough valuation like the rest of the industry but maintains modest topline growth. Market seems to be ignoring the Canadian sports franchise assets that are hidden within the business. $RCI.B owns 75% of Maple Leaf Sports and Entertainment Ltd (MLSE) which owns the Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL) Toronto Raptors (NBA) Toronto FC (MLS) the Toronto Argonauts (CFL) various minor league teams and the Scotiabank Arena. Management estimate the value of their 75% stake in MLSE at $15B CAD which is 28% of $RCI.B's $64150M CAD"
X Link 2026-01-20T21:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Sequoia Fund owns $CHTR and agrees with the view that the long-term economics of FWA are unsustainable for providers. Excerpt from their [--] Jan '25 letter. https://www.sequoiafund.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/Year-End-2024-Sequoia-Fund-Investor-Letter.pdf On the issue of $CHTR's subscriber churn and competition for broadband subscribers among cable vs fixed wireless access ("FWA") vs fiber products I think the below excerpt (taken from @cornerstone127's writeup) is a key insight. 1) Cable more than satisfies the internet needs https://t.co/6QL10IlAhf"
X Link 2026-01-25T00:53Z [----] followers, 17.4K engagements

"A new theme/playbook that I've been experimenting with recently is finding stocks that:- 1) Are perceived by the market as declining or stagnant; 2) Have a growing business segment a hidden unpriced asset or an upcoming catalyst (e.g. merger spinoff asset sales significant share repurchases turnaround efforts etc); 3) Have LEAPs available with a low implied volatility which (a) indicates that the market views a significant change in the business's value during the term of the option as unlikely despite point (2) above; and (b) means that the options are cheap. This disconnect between market"
X Link 2026-01-26T00:27Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"If you like ASTS or Starlink via $SATS why would you not also own $IRDM IRDM has the same economic characteristics as SATS and Starlink (i.e. front loaded capex near-zero marginal costs producing very high margin incremental earnings) though with different target markets (Broadband is not a focus for $IRDM) supported by its unique competitive advantages (L Band Spectrum). $IRDM has already built and launched its constellation of satellites and won't need to replace them until [----]. Replacement cost of the constellation is $3B versus $400M in annual FCF generation with management recently"
X Link 2026-02-02T01:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I like this style of thinking. Any other low IV + cheap LEAPs + unpriced catalyst plays out there Some that I own: $RCI.B $HON $VOD $CMCSA. $ASTS Verizon plans to reduce capex substantially moving forward. Plans to return 30% of market cap value back to shareholders over the next [--] years via buybacks and dividends. Although I believe Vodafone is the best MNO opportunity the Verizon LEAPs are cheap a nice sideplay https://t.co/ufUJ4lvSyn $ASTS Verizon plans to reduce capex substantially moving forward. Plans to return 30% of market cap value back to shareholders over the next [--] years via"
X Link 2026-02-03T08:20Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@DiscountedTr I have nothing against David. Dont know much about the guy. But I saw his seeking alpha write ups multiple of his longs went bankrupt or lost like 99% of their market value"
X Link 2026-02-04T07:03Z [----] followers, 27K engagements

"$T Jun17'27 $30 Calls look cheap at $1.79 per contract. I like this style of thinking. Any other low IV + cheap LEAPs + unpriced catalyst plays out there Some that I own: $RCI.B $HON $VOD $CMCSA. I like this style of thinking. Any other low IV + cheap LEAPs + unpriced catalyst plays out there Some that I own: $RCI.B $HON $VOD $CMCSA"
X Link 2026-02-09T07:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$SNAP - I see the vision. My girlfriend has 10+ years worth of memories (photos videos) saved to her snapchat but not her mobile. Would be a monumental task to individually save all of those memories. Is it worth paying $3.99 a month to keep all those memories and avoid the inconvenience of having to save them I think so. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021034793899786290 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2021034793899786290"
X Link 2026-02-10T01:33Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Bought some $SNAP common @ $5.29 and some Jan2128 $7 calls @ $1.61. 5% cumulative position"
X Link 2026-02-10T15:03Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Some other important second order effects arising from $SNAP's revenue mix shifting from advertising revenues to memory storage revenues: 1) Improved Ad Targeting: Subscription billing provides 1st-party data points such as real names addresses billing information etc which bypasses Apple's privacy hurdles; 2) Negative Working Capital: Memory storage subscription revenues are paid for upfront in cash whereas advertising revenues are paid in arrears. These upfront payments can subsidise R&D spending; 3) Hardware Funnel: Memory storage and other paid service subscribers act as a pre-qualified"
X Link 2026-02-12T04:15Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"My $IRDM calls are up 104.55% in a single day. Might be the biggest single day gain on any individual position that I've had. Small position relative to the port though. Increased $CHTR at $187 and $212. Now 5% up from 3.3%. Increased $RCI.B and Jul [--] '27 [--] calls. Now 7% cumulatively. If you like the $VOD or $VZ common & LEAPs combo you should really be looking at $RCI.B. Will post more about this soon. Bought $IRDM and IRDM Jul17'26 [--] Increased $CHTR at $187 and $212. Now 5% up from 3.3%. Increased $RCI.B and Jul [--] '27 [--] calls. Now 7% cumulatively. If you like the $VOD or $VZ common &"
X Link 2026-02-12T20:50Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Thinking of following Murray Stahl into $MIAX. Hes made some recent purchases around this price"
X Link 2026-01-11T02:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Legal research providers have taken a bit of a dive. Could be interesting. $RELX $TRI $WKL"
X Link 2026-01-11T04:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Bought some $MIAX. 5% position"
X Link 2026-01-13T00:21Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Gemini is trialling a new feature where the LLM draws on your previous conversations to customise your experience. But what its actually doing is coming up with completely irrelevant throw away references to previous conversations. I asked it about a supplement stack and at the end it threw in this gem: Since you're familiar with the Capital Cycle Im paying for this https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022247872058855614 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022247872058855614"
X Link 2026-02-13T09:53Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Some thoughts on the issue of insider selling by $SNAP's CEO Evan Spiegel: 1) In TTM Spiegel sold [--] million shares with a gross value of $32 million. 2) The TTM sales represent 2.8% of his total economic interest in the company. Spiegel retains equity exposure consisting of 129M shares with a market value of $625M. 3) Spiegel's annual compensation consists of:- a) Base salary: $1. b) Annual cash bonuses ("Non-Equity Incentive Plan Compensation"): $0. c) "All Other" compensation: $3.3M - $4.25M in personal security costs (paid directly to security firm) and limited personal use of corporate"
X Link 2026-02-15T09:24Z [----] followers, 14.2K engagements

"I sometimes think that $Haypp is a business that sounds great on paper but doesn't work in practice. It's supposed to be a brand agnostic platform whose value propositions are price assortment and convenience. But when Zyn is unavailable US customers churn off the platform. This seems to indicate that (1) customers don't value the platform they value the availability of Zyn; and (2) Haypp is unable (contrary to management's narrative) to get customers to try new products and cross-sell them. This seems to indicate that in the US market Haypp is currently just another pipeline for Zyn as"
X Link 2026-02-15T10:31Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Well you're talking about different methods for financing living expenses which I think is a matter of personal preference. For example he might prefer not to collateralize the stock given how volatile it is. And if he had done that in the past it would not have worked out well for him given the price decline whereas the sales are inconsequential relative to his remaining stake. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022984594774262172 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022984594774262172"
X Link 2026-02-15T10:41Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"I may need to implement a new rule for myself requiring that I buy any idea that I think is good enough to post about. $FCX + 46.9% since [--] Oct '25. $TPL +31.8% since [--] Jan. $T Jun17'27 $30 Calls +45.8% since [--] Feb. Didn't buy any of them of course 😅 https://x.com/Divergent7651/status/2020758200237301801s=20 https://x.com/Divergent7651/status/2013449429869830203s=20 https://x.com/Divergent7651/status/1977326172871823550s=20 https://x.com/Divergent7651/status/2020758200237301801s=20 https://x.com/Divergent7651/status/2013449429869830203s=20"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@SpaceWalk0 That's exactly my point. They don't matter"
X Link 2026-02-15T18:38Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"24) Craig's 3-5 yr vision: (1) Take permethrin U.S. market share and significantly increase revs and margins. (2) MOB-15 in Canada. (3) Revenues in hundreds of millions. (4) Market cap above [--] billion. (5) Nasdaq listing. (6) Migrate to U.S. market"
X Link 2024-08-22T03:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"There you have it. The $CPH.TO blueprint for the next 3-5 years courtesy of the man at the helm. 24) Craig's 3-5 yr vision: (1) Take permethrin U.S. market share and significantly increase revs and margins. (2) MOB-15 in Canada. (3) Revenues in hundreds of millions. (4) Market cap above [--] billion. (5) Nasdaq listing. (6) Migrate to U.S. market. 24) Craig's 3-5 yr vision: (1) Take permethrin U.S. market share and significantly increase revs and margins. (2) MOB-15 in Canada. (3) Revenues in hundreds of millions. (4) Market cap above [--] billion. (5) Nasdaq listing. (6) Migrate to U.S. market"
X Link 2024-08-22T13:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I think we now have an explanation for why $CPH.TO management estimated 5% annual growth in the legacy business's revenues and earnings in the Sep'23 SIB filing - Epuris taking share from Accutane's 40% market share in Canada. 3) Main competitor for Epuris in CA is accutane. Accutane still has 40% market share even though it's an inferior product. Management laser focused on taking market share from Accutane. 4) Current size of nail fungus treatment market in CA is $90M. (2/n) 3) Main competitor for Epuris in CA is accutane. Accutane still has 40% market share even though it's an inferior"
X Link 2024-08-24T01:40Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Seeing a lot of chatter around $CPH.TO right now. If youre curious about the business but havent delved into it yet there are plenty of write-ups and posts at the link in my bio and on my X page. Hope it helps"
X Link 2024-08-26T00:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I don't usually think about investments in these terms but I am curious. For my fellow $MOB.ST holders if the phase [--] readout in January '25 comes back with a high complete cure rate what kind of price action do you anticipate"
X Link 2024-08-26T13:19Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Re its economic characteristics $HAYPP is one of the best businesses that I have ever come across and actually had the chance to buy. To me it's reminiscent of Mastercard in the sense that it's an excellent business that has some regulatory risk that scares people off"
X Link 2024-08-26T23:23Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Started a portfolio for a family member with a very small amount of money: $MOB.ST - 30% $CPH.TO - 30% $HAYPP - 30% $CNO.V - 5% $AVCR - 5% Curious to see how it goes"
X Link 2024-08-27T05:27Z [----] followers, 67K engagements

"My free to read stack post containing my initial thoughts on $CPH.TO's Natroba acquisition is very close to reaching [----] views since being published on [--] August this year. Thank you to everyone who has read it so far and offered feedback. Much appreciated. Glad you enjoyed it"
X Link 2024-08-27T06:08Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"My notes from the $CPH.TO Small Cap Discoveries Interview (1/n). Most important points: 1) confirmed pursuing MOB-015 U.S. rights; 2) confirmed want to bring Absorica/all [--] US products in-house; 3) more hints at near-term acquisition of complementary product for sales force"
X Link 2024-08-29T00:33Z [----] followers, 13.1K engagements

"Redeploying capital from concentrated appreciated positions into new businesses with higher forward expected values is something I learned from fintwit that I think has made me a better investor. I still struggle with it at times. Hard to give up a good thing that has worked. I remember a fairly unknown Swedish investor with 60% CAGR over [--] years wrote that "you don't diversify to protect the downside but to take part in the upside." Completely changed how I view diversification once I understood what he meant. Concentration isn't always optimal I remember a fairly unknown Swedish investor"
X Link 2024-08-31T05:07Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Who are the best microcap investors that you follow on X If youd like to recommend someone privately please feel free to DM me"
X Link 2024-08-31T08:01Z [----] followers, 39.8K engagements

"For those who have started a fund how did you go about attracting LPs What advice would you give to someone wanting to start a fund"
X Link 2024-09-02T05:54Z [----] followers, 162.1K engagements

"Putting my "bear" hat on and thinking aloud on some potential risks and concerns for $HAYPP. Appreciate your thoughts/responses (1/N). 1) It seems like there are fairly low barriers to entry for new online competitors - e.g. Prilla. What prevents new competitors from entering"
X Link 2024-09-10T05:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I keep a record of everything I've bought/sold since starting. I have used up my punch card 2x or more. My hit rate since inception hasn't been good. A handful of decisions were responsible for most of my gains. I've progressed towards quality concentration and less activity"
X Link 2024-09-10T10:05Z [----] followers, 10.6K engagements

"For current PMs and fund owners when you are hiring for an analyst does the prospective analyst's personal investing track record make a difference to you If so what kind of CAGR and timeframe would intrigue you (noting that we are talking about younger people starting out)"
X Link 2024-09-11T23:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"What does it say about a person when they jump at the chance to prematurely try and dunk on someones perceived misfortune Nothing good"
X Link 2024-09-13T11:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"This is 90% of my portfolio. I am being tested. Lets check back in six months. All part of the game"
X Link 2024-09-13T23:09Z [----] followers, 143.2K engagements

"@SowingAlphaSeed No because I did the work myself and came to my own views about the businesses. Whether or not people agree with me doesnt matter. Also people forget that fintwit is really a little microcosm. Beyond here I wouldnt say these are crowded at all though I could be wrong"
X Link 2024-09-13T23:14Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Investing is great when you're making money and everyone agrees with you. But how will you fare when you're down and being berated by strangers Will you hold to your convictions and coldly assess the facts I have my answer. You will get yours eventually too"
X Link 2024-09-15T00:02Z [----] followers, 11.2K engagements

"Just finished listening to the $MOB.ST conference call following the press release. Some thoughts: 1) The number of patients within a subset of total patients who achieved clinical cure was lower than expected. (1/n)"
X Link 2024-09-16T01:15Z [----] followers, 18.3K engagements

"Need some bears to tell me everything wrong with $CPH.TO and the risks they face from this point forward"
X Link 2024-09-26T00:51Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Brief notes from $CPH.TO Planet Microcap Interview: 1) U.S. anti-parasitic market = $165M USD annually. Natroba has 60% EBITDA margin. Allows estimate of operating income from Natroba. E.g. 50% market share = $49.5M USD OI. (1/2)"
X Link 2024-09-26T23:28Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Within my portfolio I have two very extreme opposite examples of why management is so important. $CPH.TO $MOB.ST"
X Link 2024-09-30T22:45Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$CPH.TO's new Chief Business Officer is Hamed Ghanei. Hamed was previously employed at Cipher between Aug '17 - Sep '19. Cipher's stock price performance during that time was not good. (1/5)"
X Link 2024-10-09T01:42Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"When management makes the effort to report a business's results in this way for its owners it says something very positive about them IMO. Every business's annual report should include a [--] year summary with detailed unit economic metrics. Very few do. $AZO"
X Link 2024-10-09T01:53Z [----] followers, 10.4K engagements

"$CPH.TO Cipher filed copies of their ParaPRO asset purchase agreement their Credit Agreement with National Bank of Canada and a "Business Acquisition Report" on Sedar late yesterday evening"
X Link 2024-10-10T08:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"87% gross margins 46% operating margin and 15.5% YoY sales growth. $CPH.TO"
X Link 2024-10-10T08:22Z [----] followers, 14.9K engagements

"Pro Forma consolidated income statement for year end [----] including Natroba $CPH.TO"
X Link 2024-10-10T08:32Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Thread on a special situation idea: $ALSN purchase of $DAN "off-highway" ("OH") biz segment. Summary: 39% increase in $ALSN FCF from merger not currently priced in. Can profit from either (1) purchase of $ALSN stock; or (2) $ALSN Dec25 Feb26 or Dec26 call options. (1/n)"
X Link 2025-07-05T01:17Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$HON spin of its aerospace division is interesting. Whole biz trades at P/FCF of 17X. Aerospace div is most profitable division. Capital light with FCF conversion of 91% and ROA of 23%. According to management comparable biz's for aero include $GE $TDG & $RTX. (1/2)"
X Link 2025-07-11T03:41Z [----] followers, 36.2K engagements

"Peer P/FCF multiples: $TDG: 45x $RTX: 28x $GE: 38x Average: [--] If $HON aero revalued to average of peer multiples (FY24 FCF of $3916M x 37) market cap = $144.892B. That's 95% of $HON's current market cap not accounting for value of [--] other segments. (2/2)"
X Link 2025-07-11T03:41Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Interested to see how $GLIBA and $GLIBK begin trading tomorrow. Write-up in the usual place"
X Link 2025-07-15T02:01Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"One interesting aspect of the $GLIBK spinoff that I didn't discuss in detail is John Malone's desire for GCI Liberty to become the "new Liberty Media". What does that mean exactly And what if any similarities are there between Liberty Media and GCI Liberty (1/n)"
X Link 2025-07-16T02:24Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Further to this thread and in addition to John Malone's explicit comments another interesting feature of $GLIBK's prospectus which seems to indicate Malone's desire to recreate a Liberty Media like entity is the "Ventures Group common stock". (1/n)"
X Link 2025-07-17T09:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Half of the thread that I just wrote on $GLIBK didn't post and is now gone. But the other important point in the thread was that management contemplate using the venture group tracking stock as currency for acquisitions:"
X Link 2025-07-17T09:12Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"I wouldn't be surprised if Chris Hohn ends up owning Honeywell aerospace. Seems like his kind of business - mission critical software and components for aircraft with pricing power. Unless he doesn't buy competitors to his current holdings"
X Link 2025-07-23T22:56Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$HON today is $GE pre-spin off though not quite as undervalued as $GE was. Multiple high-quality peer leading businesses being spun off that are ripe for revaluation to peer P/FCF multiples. Especially aerospace. + potential IPO of Quantinuum. https://valueinvestorsclub.com/idea/GENERAL_ELECTRIC_CO/2568391241 Its honestly incredibly how much value there was in the legacy $GE portfolio. Cytiva (now $DHR) is the dominant player in upstream bioprocessing. $GEV Vernova is riding an AI energy wave. Aerospace has a [--] year backlog with incredible pricing power. $GEHC is the one"
X Link 2025-07-27T00:22Z [----] followers, 26.5K engagements

"Some things I like about $LULU: 1) Excellent margins: FY25 59% gross margin 23.6% operating margins. 2) Excellent ROIC: 48% pre-tax return on tangible assets; 60% pre-tax return on equity with no LT debt. 3) Strong balance sheet: $1.3B in cash; no LT debt. (1/n)"
X Link 2025-07-27T23:10Z [----] followers, 10.3K engagements

"Thinking about how I pitched $HAYPP to a fund as part of a job application on [--] July [----] and it's now up 66%. Didn't get an interview"
X Link 2025-07-30T05:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Some mouthwatering figures if you ask me. $NVO"
X Link 2025-07-30T06:54Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Visualising some comps for $HON aerospace division. Slowly working on getting a blog post out on the spin off"
X Link 2025-08-03T00:25Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Form [--] Registration Statement now available for $HON first spin off entity - Solstice Advanced Materials. https://investor.honeywell.com/investor-resources/about-our-spin-offs https://investor.honeywell.com/investor-resources/about-our-spin-offs"
X Link 2025-08-24T05:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Interesting that John Malone is opting for open market purchases of $GLIBK and not $CHTR. Not sure if there's any restraint on him purchasing the latter"
X Link 2025-09-07T04:06Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Very good $GLIBK write-up: https://valueinvestorsclub.com/idea/GCI_Liberty_Inc./2707915540 https://valueinvestorsclub.com/idea/GCI_Liberty_Inc./2707915540"
X Link 2025-09-09T00:44Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$ALSN $DAN merger approval obtained in China. https://www.samr.gov.cn/fldes/ajgs/wtjjz/art/2025/art_fa3524cfb027427894a177fe929466b6.html https://www.samr.gov.cn/fldes/ajgs/wtjjz/art/2025/art_fa3524cfb027427894a177fe929466b6.html"
X Link 2025-09-19T09:17Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$JPXGY operator of the TSE is economically incentivised and focused on increasing market values and trading volumes in the Japanese market. Could be a single stock play on the corporate governance reform theme in Japan. From their July '25 investor presentation slides"
X Link 2025-09-22T17:33Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"$JPXGY is focused on (1) increasing listed company market caps; and (2) increasing trading volumes to create value. One way to think about opportunity is - Can TSE take rate and trading volumes increase from corp gov reforms closer to more mature markets - e.g. NYSE/NASDAQ"
X Link 2025-09-23T23:06Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Only one analyst question at the $GLIBK Q2'25 conference call about management's plans for acquisitions. Essence of the response was "we don't know give us some time". Yet John Malone is buying the stock hand over fist. Seems to be a disconnect there"
X Link 2025-10-02T06:43Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$ALSN $DAN proposed acquisition now approved in South Africa. Slowly but surely gaining regulatory approvals. U.S. still to come. https://www.compcom.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/Statement-on-the-latest-decisions-taken-by-the-Commission-01-October-2025.pdf https://www.compcom.co.za/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/Statement-on-the-latest-decisions-taken-by-the-Commission-01-October-2025.pdf"
X Link 2025-10-15T09:54Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"John Malone wants to increase his voting power in $GLIBK above 50%. https://alaskabeacon.com/briefs/billionaire-seeks-controlling-interest-in-gci-regulatory-filings-show/ https://alaskabeacon.com/briefs/billionaire-seeks-controlling-interest-in-gci-regulatory-filings-show/"
X Link 2025-10-29T22:29Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$GLIBK investors what's your estimate of normalised FCF factoring in the benefits of the tax shield and reduced capex at 10-15% of revenues"
X Link 2025-10-30T23:31Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"I wouldn't ask what % of John Malone's net worth is in $GLIBK. Rather I'd ask why someone with all the capital he and his descendants will ever need would bother. I think there are two likely answers: (1) love of the game (he's said as much); (2) possibility of meaningful gain"
X Link 2025-10-31T00:13Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Factoring in all sources of acquisition dry powder there'll be $1.4B - $1.9B of capital to allocate. That's 70% - 90% of $GLIBK's current EV. (2/2)"
X Link 2025-10-31T20:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"John Malone seems to be up to his old tricks. Perhaps this latest rights offering is a way for him to increase his economic interest in $GLIBK while ostensibly providing the opportunity to all shareholders knowing that they're unlikely to take part. 2) In Greenblatt's words "the offering was artfully designed to create the most upside potential for those who participated while simultaneously discouraging most investors from taking advantage of the opportunity". (3/n) https://t.co/3cTOUolKIa 2) In Greenblatt's words "the offering was artfully designed to create the most upside potential for"
X Link 2025-11-05T22:45Z [----] followers, 13.8K engagements

"Interesting to note that a large portion or maybe even the majority of the capital raised in $GLIBK rights offering could come directly from Malone due to his intention to fully subscribe and oversubscribe. Makes it more likely that the capital will be well spent"
X Link 2025-11-19T22:08Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"Anyone have the transcript of the $GLIBK Q&A session from today's Liberty Media investor day"
X Link 2025-11-20T20:26Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"2) $GLIBK spinoff. Spun off from $LBRDA. Cash generative stable monopolistic biz; high insider alignment with good capital allocator John Malone; future potential upside from accretive acquisitions; impending rights offering to fund acquisitions. (2/n)"
X Link 2025-11-22T01:09Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"3) $HON spinoff. Separating into [--] entities: $SOLS automation and aerospace. Consolidated reporting hides true value of distinct businesses. Separation unlocks value via re-rating to peer valuation multiples. At median multiples $340 of value per $HON share. (3/3)"
X Link 2025-11-22T01:09Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"Ive been seeing some push back on the $GLIBK idea and Im interested in hearing your thoughts. What are the risks Why wont it work Clearly theres a risk of a bad acquisition. Somewhat mitigated my Malone using his own money"
X Link 2025-11-26T02:02Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"$VSNT is what I hoped $GLIBK would be post spin off"
X Link 2026-01-05T19:55Z [----] followers, [----] engagements

"@batman10023 Telecoms broadcasters nicotine. Some names that I own: Telecoms: $CHTR $CMCSA $GLIBK $ZEG.L $TDS Nicotine: $HAYPP $TPB And that I find interesting but dont own: $NXST $RCI.B $SSP $SATS $VEON"
X Link 2026-01-09T16:15Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

"@ragingbullcap What made you ultimately pass on $GLIBK"
X Link 2026-01-15T01:04Z [----] followers, [---] engagements

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