@DianeSwonk Diane SwonkDiane Swonk posts on X about inflation, tariffs, fed, federal reserve the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.
Social category influence finance 53.91% social networks 4.35% countries 3.48% technology brands 2.61% stocks 0.87% automotive brands 0.87%
Social topic influence inflation #766, tariffs 8.7%, fed 6.09%, federal reserve 5.22%, more than 3.48%, this is 2.61%, we are 2.61%, in the 2.61%, slack 2.61%, lucky 2.61%
Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @ft @jasonfurman @federalreserve @joebailitz @meganmesserly @harvardbiz @chadjonesecon @nyfedresearch @kpmgus @wsj @petersonfounda1 @bankofengland @loriannlarocco @marketplaceapm @jeremyhobson @bloombergradio @tomkeene @mckonomy @cnni @richardquest
Top assets mentioned Goldman Sachs (GS)
Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours
"The CPI data came in cooler than expected which is always welcome. The headline is obscuring some of the underlying inflation due to the loss in data associated with the government shutdown. The overall index posted its coolest reading since May [----] with a 2.4% increase. However a loss of data during the October government shutdown resulted in a zeroing out of many price hikes in October. We also saw an update to seasonal factors which means we did not get the usual bump in January. Still goods prices soared at the fastest pace since [----] buoyed by tariffs. Service sector prices are proving"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:26Z 56.5K followers, [----] engagements
"This is something that gets diminished too much. Thank you for pointing it out. The stagflation of the 1970s had many culprits; one was an unmooring of expectations. We tend to get the inflation we expect and we still expect more than we did before the tariff tantrum in April [----]. Normalized inflation. Now add fiscal dominance and worries deepen. Unlike in [----] households' medium-term inflation expectations spiked in [----] and have remained elevated. https://t.co/EHMEyCHtGZ Unlike in [----] households' medium-term inflation expectations spiked in [----] and have remained elevated."
X Link 2026-02-13T21:32Z 56.5K followers, [----] engagements
"Useful ๐งต on how the COVID recession hit women much harder than men. Parents hit much harder - notably Black & Hispanic Women. Has highlighted issues for women more broadly. Too many forget that women in US have lagged other develop counties in participation. We are now live-tweeting for this event We are now live-tweeting for this event"
X Link 2021-03-22T19:40Z 56.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Here is my full analysis of the personal consumption and income report with the breakdown on the Federal Reserves target for inflation the PCE index which is still simmering. My deepest apologies for typos. I have dyslexia and sleep depression makes worse. Not an excuse just my cross to bear. So very sorry for those my typos offended. https://kpmg.com/us/en/articles/2026/november-2025-pce.html https://kpmg.com/us/en/articles/2026/november-2025-pce.html"
X Link 2026-01-22T18:17Z 55.9K followers, [----] engagements
"PPI data was hot. The three month and six month moving averages hottest since [----]. The components that feed into the Federal Reserves target measure of inflation the PCE index were not as bad but underscore why the Fed needs to pause and see what shows up. It is the reason that Chair Powell was cautious on not declaring victory over inflation yet. Here is my colleague Meagans post on the PPI data. ๐ฅ"
X Link 2026-01-30T14:48Z 55.8K followers, [----] engagements
"Yep. Components that feed into PCE not as bad but there is a lot of pipeline inflation in that number in the service sector as well Much hotter-than-expected US PPI inflation: Monthly PPI inflation for December jumped to 0.5% significantly above the consensus forecast of 0.2%. Core PPI was even more startling coming in at 0.7% monthly and pushing the annual core measure to 3.3% (well above the anticipated Much hotter-than-expected US PPI inflation: Monthly PPI inflation for December jumped to 0.5% significantly above the consensus forecast of 0.2%. Core PPI was even more startling coming in"
X Link 2026-01-30T14:50Z 55.9K followers, [----] engagements
"Interesting paper gaming out AI impacts. Ultimatelythe effect of A.I. will be much larger than the internet perhaps by more than 10x the internet albeit over a half century or more. It would be prudent to spend the intervening time making preparations for the potentially large consequences for labor markets inequality and catastrophic risk. Now contrast with this @HarvardBiz survey What we found is that AI is behind at least some layoffs but that these are almost completely in anticipation of AIs impact. In other words the job losses and slowed hiring are real even though companies are still"
X Link 2026-02-07T21:31Z 56K followers, 17.5K engagements
"Deficits as far as the eye can see & now piling up faster than previously estimated due to OBBBA. Highly leverage hedge fund picking up Treasury bond purchase at the margin instead of institutional investors - central banks & pension. Hedge funds are more sensitive to prices & shocks. More likely to bolt which makes us more susceptible to spikes in bond yields and all other rates as well. We are still the reserve currency of the world but the run up in gold over last year is worrisome sign. Trust across our closest allies and trading partners is eroding. That is not good."
X Link 2026-02-11T18:37Z 56.3K followers, [----] engagements
"This was a huge factor for vehicle producers which in many cases were paying more than importer to produce in the US. The margin compression was larger & showed up in layoffs in the industry as producers were forced to eat the costs for fear of further sapping demand with price hikes. BOMBSHELL @FT scoop: Trump admin mulls cutting steel/aluminum tariffs bc these taxes 1) raise US prices; 2) are insanely complicated; 3) had other unintented consequences (incl lobbying). They're admitting in other words that gravity exists. Good. https://t.co/o4RkfMWxlF BOMBSHELL @FT scoop: Trump admin mulls"
X Link 2026-02-13T15:13Z 56.4K followers, [----] engagements
"The CPI data came in cooler than expected which is always welcome. The headline is obscuring some of the underlying inflation due to the loss in data associated with the government shutdown. The overall index posted its coolest reading since May [----] with a 2.4% increase. However a loss of data during the October government shutdown resulted in a zeroing out of many price hikes in October. We also saw an update to seasonal factors which means we did not get the usual bump in January. Still goods prices soared at the fastest pace since [----] buoyed by tariffs. Service sector prices are proving"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:14Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Typically tariffs represent a one-time bump in price levels. The challenge is that tariffs were not announced all at once. The challenge for the Fed is whether increases in prices persist or plateau. It takes a long time for wages to catch up to the level of prices even if they are outpacing inflation. Price hikes have compounded post pandemic to make the level of prices out of track to too many. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022344622966439948 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022344622966439948"
X Link 2026-02-13T16:18Z 56.4K followers, [--] engagements
"@jasonfurman The jump in goods inflation continued and was the largest since [----]. That is where tariff waivers could help alleviate some pressure down the road but not yet. Still wait and see for the Fed"
X Link 2026-02-13T15:16Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Tariffs have yet to peak but will do so at half the pace we saw in April [----] but more than four - fold the pace of January [----]. Some firms held off by cutting heads but have reached a tipping point. Goods prices - the tell on tariff inflation accelerated. Moreover are your health insurance costs falling. We are seeing largest increase in [--] years - yet dropped in Jan. Earlier declines due to subsidies. Big unknown is role that curbs immigration & fiscal stimulus will have on inflation. So much still influxfood for thought. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022417957062692873"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:09Z 56.4K followers, [--] engagements
"I have been quieter than usual on many of my platforms. The vitriol & threats scared my kids. That is ๐. With a month devoted to love I will just say I have seen a shift on my own feeds that is rooted in more healthy debate & learning. I appreciate that. My own view on life is that the older I get the less I realize I actually know. That creates a hunger to learn and grow. Thank you for the respectful dialogue. May whatever enables you to see love and joy amidst the chaos fill your heart this Valentines Day weekend. We all face challenges. I have plenty of my own whether they be my health"
X Link 2026-02-13T21:26Z 56.5K followers, 17.2K engagements
"More on the K-shaped economy. Spoiler it persists and is still harder on non college grads after adjusting for inflation. Breakdown of data from @NYFedResearch https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2026/02/a-new-dataset-for-consumer-spending-in-the-economic-heterogeneity-indicators/ https://libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2026/02/a-new-dataset-for-consumer-spending-in-the-economic-heterogeneity-indicators/"
X Link 2026-02-15T15:04Z 56.5K followers, [----] engagements
"CPI comes out tommorow. Most have focused on the rise in core durable goods prices which are the most sensitive to tariffs but benefited less from the front-running which blunted the initial blow of tariff. That doesnt mean we are not seeing tariffs show up in other places"
X Link 2025-08-11T19:33Z 50.3K followers, 11.8K engagements
"Good news. Inflation comes in as expected quit more drag from shelter costs. Rents are cooling and hotel room rates continued to plummet in July. The sticking point is the Core CPI which was up 0.3% but rounded to a 3.1% gain from a year ago"
X Link 2025-08-12T14:14Z 50.3K followers, 18.8K engagements
"Top Federal Reserve official signals uncertainty over September interest rate cut via @FT https://on.ft.com/4mktaYE https://on.ft.com/4mktaYE"
X Link 2025-08-13T23:26Z 50.3K followers, [----] engagements
"ultimately lower productivity growth. When people are not working in the best job for their skills that is suboptimal for the economy. Food for thought. Need to dig deeper to look for offsetting trends but the shift is worth watching closely"
X Link 2025-08-15T11:58Z 50.3K followers, [---] engagements
"We had a massive reset with the frenzied job and housing market emerging from the pandemic and into [----]. It helped get millennials who graduated into the Great Recession into better jobs that were a better match for their skills and paid better"
X Link 2025-08-15T11:58Z 50.3K followers, [---] engagements
"Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Powell opens door to calibration and a rate cut in September mindful that policy will remain restrictive. Watch for debate to flare over what the neutral rate is and how low to go in [----]. https://share.google/KPIiOvwnspMadqE0P https://share.google/KPIiOvwnspMadqE0P"
X Link 2025-08-22T14:57Z 50.3K followers, [----] engagements
"Labor market freezing those in their jobs in place and those without a job out. The stress measure of unemployment jumped to 8.1% along w/ranks of long-term unemployed. Those out on vacation dropped to second lowest August on record (2020 lowest) & half historic norm. Read this analysis to find out what is behind the weak August jobs report. Labor economist @dianeswonk at @KPMG_US says the labor market is falling into a deep freeze. https://t.co/XyYXP8qLMH Read this analysis to find out what is behind the weak August jobs report. Labor economist @dianeswonk at @KPMG_US says the labor market"
X Link 2025-09-05T15:17Z 50.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Birds of a feather no longer flock together My take on the debate about to unfold at the Fed about rate cuts. https://kpmg.com/us/en/articles/2025/september-2025-economic-compass.html https://kpmg.com/us/en/articles/2025/september-2025-economic-compass.html"
X Link 2025-09-11T00:56Z 50.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Coffee prices got an extra boost from 50% tariffs on Brazil. Combined with poor harvest to push prices up more that 20% from a year ago and within tenths of all time largest year-on-year increase in [----]. We will soon exceed that record"
X Link 2025-09-11T14:17Z 50.5K followers, [---] engagements
"The PPI and CPI data suggest that the PCE measure of inflation will come in hot as well. Look for 0.3% overall and with rounding we could see core rise 0.4%. That would push PCE to a 2.8% annual gain from 2.6% in July its hottest pace since March 2024"
X Link 2025-09-11T14:17Z 50.5K followers, [---] engagements
"Core PCE could jump 3.1% with rounding from a year ago in August. That is the hottest pace since November [----] That is the wrong direction for the Fed. Is it transitory or normalizing inflation. That is the puzzle for the Fed"
X Link 2025-09-11T14:17Z 50.5K followers, [---] engagements
"Fed has duel mandate. Price stability and full employment. We are missing on both BUT cant sustain full employment without price stability. That leaves the Fed at odds with itself with doves betting the boost in price is transitory and lobbying for an outsized cut &"
X Link 2025-09-11T14:17Z 50.5K followers, [----] engagements
"hawks pushing to stand pat. We could easily see dissents move in opposite directions at the September meeting. The last time we saw that was September [----] on heels of 2018-19 trade war"
X Link 2025-09-11T14:17Z 50.5K followers, [----] engagements
"Powell corralled the cats & achieved an unusual amount of unity amidst a high level of uncertainty about the outlook. The Fed cut by a quarter point but there was only one dissent by newly appt Gov Miran who wanted a more aggressive half percent cut"
X Link 2025-09-17T22:10Z 50.5K followers, [----] engagements
"Powell referred to the move down by a quarter point as a risk management cut. One silent dissent was in the what is known as the dot plot. There was one person at the meeting who did not want any cut today. Presidents do not usually vote in a vacuum"
X Link 2025-09-17T22:10Z 50.5K followers, [---] engagements
"That means cuts at the next two meetings are not a slam dunk. Powell made clear that the cut was to shore up the labor market even as inflation is edging higher. He underscored the impact of tariffs on goods prices. The Feds base case is that the inflation due to tariffs"
X Link 2025-09-17T22:10Z 50.5K followers, [---] engagements
"will be temporary but not all at once as is more typical of a tax hike on goods such as tariffs. That is because of the sequenced rollout of tariffs. It takes 6-18 months for tariffs to work their way through the economy. The mother of all front-running cycles"
X Link 2025-09-17T22:10Z 50.5K followers, [---] engagements
"inflation for more than six years. The Fed is walking a fine line. They want to shore up the labor market but avoid over stimulating. Why worry about overstimulating with such weak employment We have dealt with inflation eroding purchasing power for more than four years"
X Link 2025-09-17T22:10Z 50.5K followers, [---] engagements
"There is a significant risk that the proximity of the tariff inflation to the pandemic inflation could normalize inflation for a large swath of households & firms. The sequencing of tariffs with the step up in prices coming in waves could future normalize it"
X Link 2025-09-17T22:10Z 50.5K followers, [---] engagements
"The October cut is most likely as there is a potential cliff for federal workers which could shave 151K workers who took buyouts who roll off the federal payrolls Oct [--]. That is a lot of jobs to make up for an economy that generated less than 30K jobs per month over the last 3"
X Link 2025-09-17T22:10Z 50.5K followers, [---] engagements
"We could see some offset from the ramp up in hiring by the Department of Homeland Security. The Federal Reserve knows that math and it would make sense to cut at the next meeting at the end of October barring a major surge inflation prior to then"
X Link 2025-09-17T22:10Z 50.5K followers, [---] engagements
"That data will come out a week and a half after the Feds October meeting. How did Powell corral the cats even though more signaled dissent in favor of deeper cuts prior to the black out for this meeting. Retail sales surprised to the upside in Aug & were revised up for July"
X Link 2025-09-17T22:10Z 50.5K followers, [---] engagements
"We also got inflation data that continued to edge higher. The rise in goods prices were tariff related. More worrisome is a recent move back up in service sector inflation. The latter reflects inequality & the outsized roll that affluent consumers are having on service prices"
X Link 2025-09-17T22:10Z 50.5K followers, [---] engagements
"The retail sales data revealed that people still went out to eat and spent aggressively in Aug. BUT spending on groceries fell after adjusting for inflation. That is not good. Those out on vacation in Aug dropped to the second lowest on record for the month"
X Link 2025-09-17T22:10Z 50.5K followers, [---] engagements
"Only Aug [----] was weaker. Worse yet it was a fraction of the historic norm recreating the struggle many consumers are having with discretionary spending. Problem: air fare and hotel room rates still rose due to affluent consumer demand. That could make for stickier service"
X Link 2025-09-17T22:10Z 50.5K followers, [---] engagements
".inflation. Core service inflation is still double what it was pre-pandemic. That is not good and not consistent with price stability. The Fed targets 2% PCE inflation which is a bit arbitrary. However we dont see inflation distorting behaviors as much as it is today"
X Link 2025-09-17T22:10Z 50.5K followers, [----] engagements
"Women w/high school or less forced to accept part-time instead of full-time. Blow to earnings affect well being of children & losses can become generational. This poll by @WSJ is revealing on gender gap on views of economy. https://www.wsj.com/video/series/news-explainers/this-wsj-poll-reveals-a-huge-gender-gap-on-the-economy/105E7856-6FBB-4D23-A76A-8CC565719A7Est=j3zhq4&reflink=article_copyURL_share https://www.wsj.com/video/series/news-explainers/this-wsj-poll-reveals-a-huge-gender-gap-on-the-economy/105E7856-6FBB-4D23-A76A-8CC565719A7Est=j3zhq4&reflink=article_copyURL_share"
X Link 2025-09-24T19:22Z 50.6K followers, [----] engagements
"This chart is especially worrisome. Note the food insecurity. In August spending at restaurants jumped after adjusting for inflation; spending at the grocery store fell according to retail sales data"
X Link 2025-09-24T19:22Z 50.6K followers, [----] engagements
"The largest gain since [----] that start date of the data are among the top 0.1%. Next up are gains in the top 1% of households. Here is the link to the data: https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/dataviz/dfa/distribute/table/#range:2010.22025.2;quarter:143;series:Net%20worth;demographic:networth;population:13579;units:shares https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/z1/dataviz/dfa/distribute/table/#range:2010.22025.2;quarter:143;series:Net%20worth;demographic:networth;population:13579;units:shares"
X Link 2025-09-25T09:32Z 50.6K followers, [----] engagements
"This is a key reason that we are seeing a break between how the economy adds up on paper to look better than it feels to the overwhelming majority of households. They have no rungs on the ladder of opportunity which has left them behind & understandably frustrated. Note: The inequality has worsened despite increased stock ownership due to 401Ks"
X Link 2025-09-25T10:27Z 50.6K followers, [----] engagements
"Revisions to ADP payrolls reveal more weakness in private sector hiring although the payroll company said the granularity on the Census data required more estimates. The ADP confirms other data on the labor market that is weak. The hardest hit region is the Industrial Midwest; the most robust gains were in the Northeast. Small and midsized firms lost jobs; large firms added jobs. The premium for job hoppers diminished. Small biz had the least growth in pay while large firms had the greatest. Some of the losses could be due to labor supply and hoarding of workers in places like construction"
X Link 2025-10-01T13:06Z 50.6K followers, 14.7K engagements
"Some level of inequality is expected and aspirational in a market-based economy. Everything from skills luck and grit can create inequality. Extreme inequality is not and can dampen growth and leave large swaths of the population desperate rather than aspiring. The inequality we are enduring is not aspirational; it is destructive and dampening growth. High-income households have a lower propensity to spend than low and middle income households. Spending that is carried by them is less than when the dollars show up in lower income strata. Affluent households ca afford to take greater risks"
X Link 2025-10-01T20:11Z 50.6K followers, [----] engagements
"@jasonfurman Length of shutdown and backdrop matters. Consumer spending fell amidst long shutdown & trade war fears in December [----]. So did confidence. Fed was raising rates and financial markets were roiled by trade war with China"
X Link 2025-10-01T21:38Z 50.6K followers, [---] engagements
"The US hit a Gini coefficient of [----] in [----] the second highest year on record to [----] and inequality has pooled more since then. The post WWII era of declining income inequality ended in [----]. Since then inequality has increased with a brief pause in the 1990s boom and post pandemic. It was fleeting"
X Link 2025-10-08T13:07Z 50.6K followers, [--] engagements
"The causes of inequality span a large number of factors. Innovation is one of the largest. Globalization is another although many conflate its effects with automation. Other factors are uneven access to education and health care shifts in tax and spending policies rise of monopsonies bias in hiring & an erosion of labor protections. The Great Recession was scarring and dealt another blow to equality although the desperation and cottage industry of subprime mortgages was also a symptom of the kind of debt accumulation that occurs when inequality is high"
X Link 2025-10-08T13:07Z 50.6K followers, [---] engagements
"That doesnt mean that different generations are not making progress. This Federal Reserve research shows that each generation are still moving forward. BUT later generations are not progressing as fast as previous generations. Inequality is nuanced and needs to be seen that way. This is a great piece on that. https://www.minneapolisfed.org/article/2023/telling-the-nuanced-story-of-economic-inequality-in-the-us-layer-by-layer#::text=The%20paper%20affirms%20the%20steadyby%20a%20factor%20of%206"
X Link 2025-10-08T13:07Z 50.6K followers, [---] engagements
"We had two tariff front-running cycles on imports. The mother of all front-running cycles in March which led to the largest widening of the trade deficit on record by a significant margin. That bloated inventories and blunted the initial effects of tariffs along with a pause. Then we saw another smaller front-running cycle to avoid the August deadlines in July. The trade deficit with China surged. Some of those items will still be on store shelves but with another 100% tariffs on November [--] or sooner there is little the most importers can do. Hardest on vehicle and defense manufacturing given"
X Link 2025-10-10T22:04Z 50.6K followers, [----] engagements
"Halloween scare. Discussion of debt and deficits: AI cant save us - debt and deficits on unsustainable path & crisis risks rising. Quote of day: We might find someone who argues we are on a sustainable path but they would not be qualified to speak on this panel"
X Link 2025-10-13T14:01Z 50.6K followers, [----] engagements
"Panel @petersonfounda1 Calthleen Kock Karen Dynar Ellen Zetner Kent Smetters. The idea that the US is too big to fail is not true. Will not rule out of a Liz Trust moment. Once things go wrong it is too late. Where will we get the political courage to deal with both sides of the revenues & expenditures. Liz Truss moment is dangerous thinking in that it was a positivecounting on the @federalreserve to step in like @bankofengland not productive. Waiting for crisis is still extremely costly and means higher long term interest rates"
X Link 2025-10-13T14:01Z 50.6K followers, [----] engagements
"Bank results live: Goldman Sachs JPMorgan and Citi CEOs warn on markets reaching bubble territory via @FT Bubble bubble toil and trouble https://on.ft.com/48wylkk https://on.ft.com/48wylkk"
X Link 2025-10-14T19:42Z 50.6K followers, [----] engagements
"#Europe has shown it has political will to act but the clock is ticking. #Italy really is too big to fail; #Germany has a lot to lose too"
X Link 2012-06-06T18:59Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"#ECB head Mario #Draghi undermined commitment by failing to say how or when ECB might engage in open market operations. http://t.co/vyeGZaXt http://tinyurl.com/cknefef http://tinyurl.com/cknefef"
X Link 2012-08-02T14:44Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"@loriannlarocco Have fun"
X Link 2012-08-24T13:54Z 50.4K followers, [--] engagements
"Jackson Hole warning materializes as developing economies struggling to deal w influx of capital from monetary easing in developed economies"
X Link 2012-09-20T16:35Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Twitter adds multidimensional quality to news and enhances quality of other information; Twitter CEO Dick Costello at Chicago Economic Club"
X Link 2012-11-19T18:45Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Speaking at Economic Club of Chicago Twitter CEO says he took theater classes that were so fun he became a standup and improv"
X Link 2012-11-19T18:55Z 49.2K followers, [--] engagements
"Signs that investors & companies are hedging their bets moving income into [----] from [----]. #economy #fiscal #cliff"
X Link 2012-12-19T15:01Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Talking transitory #inflation including labor market slack which will keep #inflation from flaring @MarketplaceAPM with @jeremyhobson in 5"
X Link 2013-03-14T13:45Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Will see more meaningful rise in #inflation at some point but now we have slack in labor market thats why #fed not worried"
X Link 2013-03-14T13:56Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"NY #Fed president Bill Dudley will speak at NY Economic Club; likely to defend Fed's ability to detect bubbles #economy"
X Link 2013-03-22T15:57Z 49.2K followers, [--] engagements
"#Fed has once again stumbled on its own desire to be transparent and confused more than clarified position"
X Link 2013-05-22T19:08Z 49.2K followers, [--] engagements
"Developed economies will do better than developing economies a reversal of fortunes going forward"
X Link 2013-08-22T11:38Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"If US downgraded again #Fed would have to intervene on regulatory basis so banks could continue to hold Treasury bonds as Tier [--] capital"
X Link 2013-10-01T13:46Z 49K followers, [--] engagements
"FOMC likely to continue tapering pace. Very disappointing jobs report could slow pace to $5 billion in treasury bonds only; long shot. #Fed"
X Link 2014-02-28T15:04Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"I do expect to see more quality jobs created but still see a lot of slack in labor market. More @BloombergRadio w @tomkeene @mckonomy"
X Link 2014-06-04T12:15Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Would welcome a temporary increase in unemployment rate bc more people feel confident there are jobs to be had & look for work #NFP"
X Link 2014-08-01T13:36Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"#Yellen validates that improvement in #unemployment rate overstates improvement in #labormarket conditions; not a good summary stat now"
X Link 2014-08-22T14:22Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"#Fed largely abandoned #unemployment rate as signal for labor market health bc drop in participation & flat wages. http://t.co/6cT2SYNPJT http://tinyurl.com/nbyezsr http://tinyurl.com/nbyezsr"
X Link 2014-10-03T14:37Z 49K followers, [--] engagements
"#Federal will look past tepid 0.8% yoy increase view it as transfer to consumers from falling #gasprices. #CPI http://t.co/AvuVIOhNWJ http://tinyurl.com/nyabl6u http://tinyurl.com/nyabl6u"
X Link 2015-01-16T14:46Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Several questions about the nature of #inflation & pricing power. Quick primer: http://t.co/JmtklWDN9B http://tinyurl.com/prdcnyy http://tinyurl.com/prdcnyy"
X Link 2015-01-21T20:31Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Consumers doing more than their fair share despite some disappointment in the numbers in December. #personalincome #PCE"
X Link 2015-02-02T14:39Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Fed has to walk fine line with its primary target inflation failing to perform consistently"
X Link 2015-09-03T13:04Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Fed could raise in Oct but bet still on Dec: could use some signs inflation will reaccelerate"
X Link 2015-09-21T13:22Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"I will be on @CNNI in [--] hour talking to @richardquest about the slowdown in #China and how that may affect Federal Reserve policy. #Fed"
X Link 2015-10-16T19:05Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"She is also hedging a lot of scenarios; she has learned and has confidence of unanimous vote https://x.com/elerianm/status/677221621011193857 Following historic decision @FederalReserve Chair #Yellen is responding effectively to press conference questions and in a gracious manner https://x.com/elerianm/status/677221621011193857 Following historic decision @FederalReserve Chair #Yellen is responding effectively to press conference questions and in a gracious manner"
X Link 2015-12-16T20:28Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Retail sales were even better given the dampening effects of East Coast storm which hit on weekend. #retailsales"
X Link 2016-02-12T14:28Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Wage acceleration and tariffs could put Fed in tough posiition https://x.com/wsjcentralbanks/status/823268115765194752 Fed has met its jobs mandate. On inflation not so much https://t.co/b676hY6nyQ https://x.com/wsjcentralbanks/status/823268115765194752 Fed has met its jobs mandate. On inflation not so much https://t.co/b676hY6nyQ"
X Link 2017-01-22T22:43Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"I think we are on the verge of the most signficant rise in inflation and bond yields in almost forty years. https://x.com/traceyryniec/status/824657480387063808 New home buyers might not have locked in yet. But the 30-year average was "just" 4.2% in Dec. Imagine when it's 5% Affordability problem. https://t.co/kuuI9tB5kJ https://x.com/traceyryniec/status/824657480387063808 New home buyers might not have locked in yet. But the 30-year average was "just" 4.2% in Dec. Imagine when it's 5% Affordability problem. https://t.co/kuuI9tB5kJ"
X Link 2017-01-26T20:58Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Trade is an ecosystem something critical to understand fallout of trade barriers. https://x.com/bcappelbaum/status/832660633761898500 https://x.com/bcappelbaum/status/832660633761898500"
X Link 2017-02-17T20:15Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Bernanke pushed back on Fed's balance sheet reduction until short term rates much higher; concerns about fin stability https://x.com/brookingsecon/status/833527101395439616 How much and how quickly should the Fed shrink its balance sheet @benbernanke with more https://t.co/JdLudftCYd https://t.co/6eTXJ62Ejh https://x.com/brookingsecon/status/833527101395439616 How much and how quickly should the Fed shrink its balance sheet @benbernanke with more https://t.co/JdLudftCYd https://t.co/6eTXJ62Ejh"
X Link 2017-02-20T13:06Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Yellen's exit may prompt the Fed to pare its balance sheet sooner rather than later Goldman says http://www.cnbc.com/id/104350859 http://www.cnbc.com/id/104350859"
X Link 2017-03-20T01:26Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Fed minutes likely to reveal balance sheet debate heated; a political liability for Fed w no clear consensus on how to reduce. https://x.com/nhendersonwsj/status/845266049150922753 Feds Bullard thinks short-term interest rates should stay low https://t.co/XQZbC62VET https://x.com/nhendersonwsj/status/845266049150922753 Feds Bullard thinks short-term interest rates should stay low https://t.co/XQZbC62VET"
X Link 2017-03-24T14:02Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"MBS is the critical aspect of the Fed balance sheet in terms of unknowns when they stop reinvestment. https://x.com/stlouisfed/status/845269000145850368 Bullard: Now may be a good time to consider allowing the balance sheet to normalize by ending reinvestment https://t.co/J0ooHKcDzq https://t.co/IQOjMZ3GZv https://x.com/stlouisfed/status/845269000145850368 Bullard: Now may be a good time to consider allowing the balance sheet to normalize by ending reinvestment https://t.co/J0ooHKcDzq https://t.co/IQOjMZ3GZv"
X Link 2017-03-24T14:19Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"And the beat goes on.Fed singing in near unison on rate hikes. Less so on timing/structure of balance sheet reduction. https://x.com/barronsonline/status/846800695772811264 Fed's Fischer Sees Two More Rate Hikes this Year https://t.co/hrU6UglYNp https://t.co/B66vu15Box https://x.com/barronsonline/status/846800695772811264 Fed's Fischer Sees Two More Rate Hikes this Year https://t.co/hrU6UglYNp https://t.co/B66vu15Box"
X Link 2017-03-28T19:07Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"It is critical that the Federal Reserve is staffed. Understaffing compromises the ability of the Fed to act and make changes to policy or not. Indecision is as much as a decision and anything else. https://x.com/gregdaco/status/932955760878899200 With #Yellen announcing that she will leave the #Fed Board once Governor Powell is sworn in as Chair there will be [--] vacancies to fill in early [----]. https://t.co/psMKiJPWGs https://x.com/gregdaco/status/932955760878899200 With #Yellen announcing that she will leave the #Fed Board once Governor Powell is sworn in as Chair there will be [--] vacancies to"
X Link 2017-11-21T13:27Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Core stable at 1.4% year over year for two months up only slightly from recent trough. Lodging which was boosted by FEMA payments to people displaced by disasters adding to core service inflation. https://x.com/uscensusbureau/status/936226022143479808 Oct [--] PCE price index up 1.6%. Core PCE price index up 1.4% https://t.co/J6gh8eVAEh @BEA_News @ESAstats https://x.com/uscensusbureau/status/936226022143479808 Oct [--] PCE price index up 1.6%. Core PCE price index up 1.4% https://t.co/J6gh8eVAEh @BEA_News @ESAstats"
X Link 2017-11-30T13:47Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Notes the role of slowing health care services inflation which is being held down by policy changes not cyclical shifts in economy. Implicit conclusion: Hawks will dominate and raise rates next year even inflation measures "appear" subdued. https://x.com/richmondfed/status/936677579813281793 https://t.co/Kh2hEZCLf7 https://x.com/richmondfed/status/936677579813281793 https://t.co/Kh2hEZCLf7"
X Link 2017-12-01T19:40Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"The decision to have children is not the issue. The larger issue being lost is that well structured child credits for low income hh pay dividends for decades into the furure. They can alter educational attainment and narrow gap on inequality. https://x.com/jimzarroli/status/936965691437146113 @BCAppelbaum @brianbeutler Seriosu question: How many people really decide to have more children because they get a tax credit https://x.com/jimzarroli/status/936965691437146113 @BCAppelbaum @brianbeutler Seriosu question: How many people really decide to have more children because they get a tax credit"
X Link 2017-12-02T14:35Z 50.4K followers, [--] engagements
"Inflation up retail sales down. Harsh winter weather in the South which shut down some tourist cites contributed to bad numbers. Spending in February may not rebound as hoped because of a delay in tax refunds into March. Rocky road for markets"
X Link 2018-02-14T14:23Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"Retail sales were boosted by higher prices at the pump. Vehicle sales also held up better than expected. There are few signs however that tax cuts are helping much. The little that low and middle income hh gained were wiped out by higher gas prices"
X Link 2018-05-15T14:24Z 49.3K followers, [--] engagements
"James Swonk my father passed early this am. He lived by the mantra never give up strived to make the world a better place and taught me that learning is a life-long endevour. He fought to the end. He wanted to change the world - he did. Love you dad"
X Link 2018-08-25T23:24Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"This is the hardest day I have ever been an economist - to bear witness and give a voice to the millions upon millions who have lost their jobs. So much lost. I admire and respect with every ounce of my being those who are on the front lines of this crisis every day"
X Link 2020-05-08T10:48Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Singing off for now. 31/2 mos [--] minor surgeries battery of tests and tomorrow less minor surgery in COVID era. Quarantined. No COVID. Must go alone no phone please bring power of attorney - protocol these days. Hope to be back soon. Be safe be well wear a mask"
X Link 2020-06-15T00:21Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"NO CANCER Feel like I have been hit by a truck but know that pain has an end date. More tests - big hurdle cleared"
X Link 2020-06-16T14:37Z 56.4K followers, [----] engagements
"Congress is debating UI benefits as if this is a traditional recession. There is nothing traditional about it and frankly we are have lost a lot by how stingy we have been for workers who lost their jobs in previous recessions. I will repeat: THIS TIME is DIFFERENT"
X Link 2020-07-29T12:13Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"The CDC said the novel coronavirus.has taken a disproportionate toll on Latinos and Blacks.the CDC also found.that it has struck 25- to 44-year-olds very hard: Their excess death rate is up 26.5% over previous years the largest change for any age group. CDC Report: Covid has left about [------] more people dead in U.S. than would be expected in a typical year; 2/3 from Covid the rest from other causes. For 25- to 44-year-olds excess death rate is up 26.5% the largest change for any age group @washpost https://t.co/DVLWtfnoj1 CDC Report: Covid has left about [------] more people dead in U.S. than"
X Link 2020-10-21T00:41Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Controlling the spread of COVID is economic policy - full stop"
X Link 2020-10-25T14:19Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Personal note: Oncologist called. They got the cancer and my margins are clean. Getting a bit tired of surgeries (understatement) but I heal well and know how very lucky I am. Emotional strain harder than physical pain. Running a mental marathon - and still in the race"
X Link 2021-01-21T13:18Z 56.4K followers, [----] engagements
"@vtg2 You must be too young for the Whip Inflation Now (WIN) campaign of the Ford adminsitration or the sweaters and push to slow down speed limits - to preserve oil - of the Carter administration. I was a kid but remember them well. Only child - watched a lot of news"
X Link 2021-03-22T20:17Z 56.4K followers, [--] engagements
"Personal note. The amazing staff knows my name now. Please if you can get those checkups & screenings delayed during pandemic. My heart weeps for those without insurance. I a very lucky. Losing body parts but not the essence of who I am. I heal well. Be preemptive if you can"
X Link 2021-05-11T18:21Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"I hit a pandemic high amidst a Delta low. Needed the boost. Thank you @ratemyskyperoom Love the composition. Perfect lamp work. Art. Floral arrangement. 10/10 @DianeSwonk https://t.co/KyE1WR49VB Love the composition. Perfect lamp work. Art. Floral arrangement. 10/10 @DianeSwonk https://t.co/KyE1WR49VB"
X Link 2021-09-03T20:17Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
"Two years ago today I had third cancer diagnosis- breast cancer - and had my first appointment with breast cancer surgeon. They got me in same day because it was aggressive. Feeling lucky but sad given all the souls lost in the interim. Embrace those you love while you can. โค"
X Link 2022-12-23T15:15Z 56.4K followers, 36.8K engagements
"#NewProfilePic"
X Link 2023-03-22T22:26Z 56.4K followers, 21.6K engagements
"Over two weeks to get results but the best news for the moment for a cancer survivor - biopsies benign. Feel like playing whack a mole but looks like you are stuck with me a bit longer. Exhale"
X Link 2023-05-02T21:56Z 56.4K followers, 31.1K engagements
"My Lake Michigan. Peace"
X Link 2023-08-13T01:49Z 56.4K followers, 16.2K engagements
"Have two straight weeks of meetings with economist and policy experts across countries. Taking a breather after my first week of meetings. Here is some issues that bubbled to the top. 1) Is the US economy really as good as it appears - what can and cant be trusted in our economic models Households debt: consumers demised has been greatly exaggerated. Be careful with extrapolating household debt & delinquency data. Record delinquencies every month for subprime vehicle borrowers last year did not equate to defaults or a vicious cycle for lenders and borrowers. Why Most who went delinquent kept"
X Link 2024-02-10T15:42Z 56.4K followers, 101.5K engagements
"The Fed is likely feeling remorse over its decision to wait on rate cuts given they clearly discussed them at the July meeting. They will be forced to cut more aggressively in September before the window on a softish landing closes entirely. The composition on the rising ranks of the unemployed is particularly worrisome as those with a high school degree or lower were hit hardest by temporary layoffs. The ranks of those forced to accept part-time for economic reasons jumped to the highest level since June [----] when we were still emerging from a recession"
X Link 2024-08-02T13:18Z 56.4K followers, 42.1K engagements
"The world is awash in uncertainty; it now exceeds the onset of the pandemic in 2020"
X Link 2025-02-16T13:34Z 56.4K followers, 52.9K engagements
"Powell lays out new monetary policy framework. The shift has been underway for some time via Fed Listens events & conferences. The old framework was dead on arrival as it was based on pre-pandemic norms that were blown out of the water post pandemic. It is one reason"
X Link 2025-08-22T15:19Z 56.4K followers, 26K engagements
"Critical issue. Disappointed that the role of a plummet in male fertility is not also discussed. It underscored why we need diversity in what we do. We only get partial answers when we look at only parts of a large societal problem. https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-births-hit-lowest-number-since-1987-1526529661 https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-births-hit-lowest-number-since-1987-1526529661"
X Link 2018-05-17T11:18Z 56.4K followers, [---] engagements
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