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@BrokenMoats Avatar @BrokenMoats Broken Moats

Broken Moats posts on X about $sfm, $tost, $par, $chrw the most. They currently have XXXXX followers and XXX posts still getting attention that total XXXXX engagements in the last XX hours.

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Social category influence stocks finance cryptocurrencies countries

Social topic influence $sfm #19, $tost #31, $par #13, $chrw #3, stocks, sfm #69, $xyz #46, $fi #64, cuts #1100, china

Top assets mentioned SafeMoon (SFM) Toast, Inc. (TOST) Parachute (PAR) CH Robinson Worldwide Inc (CHRW) Block, Inc. (XYZ) Fiserv, Inc. (FI) Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Common Stock (TEM) Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. (LYV) 4 (FOUR) Etsy Inc (ETSY) Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) RXO, Inc. (RXO) Landstar System Inc (LSTR) Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) Oklo Inc. (OKLO) Symbotic Inc. Class A Common Stock (SYM) Rockwell Automation (ROK) Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) Wormhole (W) aelf (ELF) McDonald's Corp (MCD) Credit Acceptance Corp (CACC) CarMax, Inc (KMX) Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW)

Top Social Posts #

Top posts by engagements in the last XX hours

"$CHRW buyers are you paying attention yet Also look at the pmi today (inventories have ballooned front-running is done (see port commentary and flows -- it's going to get worse not better) i.e"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-09-23T18:49Z 2417 followers, 1264 engagements

"$SFM consumer stocks dying but this is peaking my interest. Roughly 10x emotes here for consistent double digit grower with solid ROIC. Working capital metrics continue to improve steadily but are not fully optimized and I think they can still turn inventory over faster and work on the cash conversion cycle to improve results further plus a brand w/ white space to continue to add store count also a positive factor. My hangup is on the mgmt nothing remarkable stands out and surprising given the run here of quality. Curious if anyone has a better view on mgmt But while grocery is low margin the"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-09-25T16:22Z 2418 followers, 1390 engagements

"$LYV - Bloomberg article on potential liability of billions of dollars for etc violations for secondary market violations -- might be legitimate threat Consumers should be mad this directly inflates ticket prices FTC went after a broker that purchased over 57m tickets and resold a portion of them for 64m in recent years -"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-09-15T22:54Z 2413 followers, 2351 engagements

"$$ cuts on $tost software fees circulating - curious if that's more a reflection of weakness in restaurant sales or more pressure from competition $XYZ $FI getting more focused on the restaurant space after getting taken to the woodshed by $TOST over the past few years. Not clear if cheaper fees ultimately will work by themselves to dislodge Toast but likely to increase selling/marketing costs and pressure take rates/fees as companies have that ability to leverage switching more seriously upon renewal Anyone has info on how aggressive entrants are being currently at targeting $TOST w/ pricing"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-09-22T15:48Z 2418 followers, 1096 engagements

"Now at XX straight days red $SFM -- potentially a dangerous show of force of where algos/momo can take this market when it breaks"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-10-01T16:44Z 2418 followers, 2601 engagements

"$FI acquisition of cardfree something to watch (always wanted them to merge with olo pre tomo). More and more consolidation across the restaurant space -I think we are going to find out how sticky these software+ pos systems are as I think price wars are going to ramp up especially in the mid their QSR space and below $OLO $PAR $FOUR $TOST $XYZ"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-09-04T22:08Z 2417 followers, 1048 engagements

"Repeat the stupidity of the $ETSY move this week (especially the zombie move back after the sell side warned the move made no sense after the open nonsense). make what you will of China's offer to invest in the US - but more china is not Etsy's friend"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-10-03T15:38Z 2418 followers, XXX engagements

"streak now at XX down days in a row for $SFM (stocks like $BROS $TOST not far behind). Im not smart enough to know what that means.but it means something"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-09-30T14:31Z 2418 followers, 1378 engagements

"$LRCX rollover is going to be spectacular - I watch this versus some of the small caps or consumer oriented names that have gone parabolic in both directions. 18/22 days up for Lam and some small caps working on XX straight down days (many down 30-50% since august) v. 50%+ up on lurch in one month.Id be cautious here feels like a blow off we are experiencing"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-10-02T15:12Z 2418 followers, XXX engagements

"I know restaurants names have slid but did anyone actually listen to the $DPZ call this morning They talked about the pressure getting worse in Q4 on restaurant sales (they outperformed as pizza has the best value proposition in weak environments) and everyone is pushing the promotions hard. Very perplexed by the rebounds today across QSR and software names. Will watch for now but keep moving seem like easy fades for earnings. $TOST has a big promotion going on (after refuting the last one) - hits my inbox everyday. Premium QSR like $SHAK likely most vulnerable on weak traffic and high beef"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-10-14T15:09Z 2418 followers, XXX engagements

"I don't disagree there is something lurking starting in auto and sub prime more broadly. But whats the scale relative to creating a systemic risk K economy so top heavy and credit spreads still don't budge The circularity of the stock market the biggest support or drag to the economy (wealth effect on steroids) that has support both from the admin and the fed. which tail wags - the market down finally causing the disruption or a credit event both likely needs an exogenous shock right"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-10-13T03:04Z 2418 followers, XXX engagements

"$sfm XX days in a row now with an XX rsi Never seen anything like this. and its 10x ebitda (remember this when it blows up for the trash flying that have zero revenue where the bottom is). Some sort of weird dispersion playing both sides here is my guess the band almost couldn't possibly be more stretched --- would expect a sharp reversion to the means here coming very soon"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-10-03T15:04Z 2418 followers, 1441 engagements

"Age of the ouroboros - $TEM takes circular financing to a new level. honestly one of the biggest false narrative pipe dreams in the market. Id rather be grifted by evtol or quantum than this. This is the classic diagnostic market spin going around for years (cathie wood owns a portfolio full of them). There is nothing special about their cancer testing or the data sets they are spinning from those sets they are pumping through their JV as proprietary to build some sort of special LLM for cancer diagnostics or drug study recruitment. It's a total croc and circular financing to prop up both"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-10-09T03:53Z 2417 followers, XXX engagements

"Potential big squeeze on broker margins at play - no bueno $CHRW $RXO $LSTR (on top of what is still incredibly weak volumes - entirely from ice/English cdl enforcement)"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-10-07T18:59Z 2417 followers, 1239 engagements

"Flip side of $SFM is that $LRCX is up 17/20 days for a XX% gain in a month.market structure is being destroyed for one way momentum trains"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-10-01T19:52Z 2418 followers, XXX engagements

"$RCL is now a $125B EV - 4x+ the pre covid assigned value to the business. Maybe consumers value vacations more perhaps there are more retirees w/ a penchant for cruises. But I am certain this is an incredibly fixed cost and high capital business and the deincremental margins on this business are spectacular. That will be imparted on the market when the consumer does have to take a break from spending. At these levels and versus consensus this is one of the best cyclical shorts in the market. No idea where insanity will take it short run and metrics largely holding up for now but when the"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-08-28T17:44Z 2415 followers, 2220 engagements

"It's one thing when the market was recklessly moving higher everyday but who was still buying $OKLO at 160$ well after the added risk around china and tariffs today That is beyond reckless"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-10-10T16:59Z 2418 followers, XXX engagements

"@Kelvin_Sbh5 Those are fair points on the quality and balance sheet improvement v. 2020. Still not sure how I feel about Savneet but couldn't help myself bought some $PAR the risk reward valuation setup here finally felt compelling to start a position"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-09-25T16:41Z 2416 followers, XXX engagements

"$ROK does almost 10x the gross profit dollars of $SYM and has a lower market cap now. Thats even giving any benefit of the doubt to $SYM not discussing their opaque circular relationship with Softbank or any of the issues. Swisslog which is the exact system (and the better version) that Symbotic copies in their deployments was acquired by Kuka for 300M $SYM now over 40B in market cap"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-10-14T14:58Z 2418 followers, XXX engagements

"$PAR technicals really breaking down - not a big subscriber but will pay attention as this market/algo subscribes to them in the short term. Broke all the long term support this week and after earnings it rallied back up to the falling XX day and now giving way below.last time this happened was on the rate hike selloff early 22' on its way down into the $20s before finding the bottom -- could see a repeat here. Challenge w/ a market skeptical on software skeptical on QSR spend and a management team that has at least kicked the can on delivering this year throw in tax loss pressure - this"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-09-16T22:31Z 2418 followers, 1979 engagements

"And $CHRW still at an ATH - the only transport that can claim that. Suspicious to say the least"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-09-22T19:16Z 2417 followers, XXX engagements

"Whoever buying the move up in $TTD is going to regret whatever chart walked them into the trade - the fundamentals (and pricing) are collapsing rapidly - this stock can still easily be cut in half from hereon compressed spreads and what that will do to their FCF/earnings - don't be fooled by the fact the "stock is down a bunch" full disclosure I bought puts on close and will continue to scale if it moves higher. Ad age article this afternoon adds weight to the risks TTD is facing"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-10-02T20:15Z 2418 followers, 2606 engagements

"Signals emerging that this economy is breaking down from a consumer level that we did not see in the prior years. Market might be right in pricing cuts but I do not believe they will be bullish - look at the restaurant stocks ex $MCD look at a $TOST or $PAR that can't get a bid. Odd the travel names are so strong in contrast but my bet is they will catch down soon. $W $ELF other outliers that have some of the highest tariff exposure that are running into a tapped consumer to make the pricing offsets mgmt highlighted they would push on recent calls"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-09-04T15:14Z 2416 followers, 1291 engagements

"$CACC after tricolor $KMX $CRMT others have warned - I imagine we will see continued weakness from others in the space. No idea how this co has zombies back after last quarter but thats the nature of this market for poor quality companies. Put this at the top of the list of actionable shorts going into earnings seasons - real pain in subprime auto and CACC is at the heart of it. Opened a short position today and will scale into earnings"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-10-08T16:15Z 2418 followers, XXX engagements

"Good write up on the management history at $TEM. Lefkofsky is a perennial backer of companies that end up living far short of extreme promises upfront to allow him and his friends to cash out and exit while shareholders are left holding the bag then rise and repeat.just ask $GRPN"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-10-08T20:21Z 2417 followers, XXX engagements

"$SHW suspending 401k match this month due to weak sales (stock still near ATH btw) - A microcosm of what is wrong more broadly: Perhaps before undergoing such a measure the company should of considered pausing its $500m a month (seemingly on auto) repurchase program - that is not fully funded by cash flows and adds to their $10.5B in net debt -- But XX% of executive comp is tied to EPS and if sales are down why not squeeze employee pay and buy back shares (near ATH w/ no consideration of fundamentals/price) to keep pushing on EPS) Or the company could consider the over XX% raise they awarded"
X Link @BrokenMoats 2025-09-14T14:23Z 2418 followers, 2557 engagements