@AxelAdlerJr Avatar @AxelAdlerJr Axel ๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿ™Œ Adler Jr

Axel ๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿ™Œ Adler Jr posts on X about bitcoin, market, selling pressure, in the the most. They currently have [------] followers and [---] posts still getting attention that total [-----] engagements in the last [--] hours.

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Social Influence

Social category influence cryptocurrencies 30.69% finance 28.71% stocks 2.97% exchanges 1.98% countries 1.98% currencies 0.99%

Social topic influence bitcoin #5993, market 11.88%, selling pressure 6.93%, in the 6.93%, derivatives #124, jr #2127, exchanges 4.95%, level 4.95%, onchain 3.96%, strong 3.96%

Top accounts mentioned or mentioned by @darkfost_coc @intocryptoverse @ekoxbt @rene04277 @gstradingteam @stephan1424689 @cryptohaaster @meme_ytuong_me @adlerscryptoinsightsnotec213012819utmsourcenotesshareactionr46gt68 @helmutmwf @adlerscryptoinsightsnotec204801376utmsourcenotesshareactionr46gt68 @adlerscryptoinsightsnotec204801808utmsourcenotesshareactionr46gt68 @goldmansachs @federalreserve @darkfostcoc @raslenmtg @alexluxiano @kilfitt @indivfr @marsbit2022

Top assets mentioned Bitcoin (BTC) Cango Inc. American Depositary Shares (CANG)

Top Social Posts

Top posts by engagements in the last [--] hours

"Weekly Engine starts tomorrow. Stop guessing and get one clear BTC action per week: BUY / HOLD / EXIT. https://adlerinsight.com https://adlerinsight.com"
X Link 2026-02-07T20:07Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Most traders dont lose because of bad TA. They lose because they misread the regime. This Sunday: Traders Evidence 1-page companion to the Weekly Engine. On-chain + derivatives snapshot. LLM-ready (prompt included): instant interpretation of stress positioning bias and invalidation. Get access: https://a.dler.click/weekly https://a.dler.click/weekly"
X Link 2026-02-10T11:07Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Gold recovered above $5055 per ounce on Wednesday approaching a nearly two-week high. The move followed weak U.S. data as December retail sales fell short of expectations signaling a slowdown in consumer spending and heightening concerns about moderating economic growth"
X Link 2026-02-11T09:03Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Overall morning sentiment is neutral but rising VIX and MOVE are strengthening a defensive bias and increasing the likelihood of a risk-off shift"
X Link 2026-02-11T09:10Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Who actually holds the supply This lesson shows how STH/LTH Supply and HODL Waves reveal whether a rally has strong support - or is just weak hands chasing price. https://substack.com/@adlerscryptoinsights/note/c-213012819utm_source=notes-share-action&r=46gt68 https://substack.com/@adlerscryptoinsights/note/c-213012819utm_source=notes-share-action&r=46gt68"
X Link 2026-02-11T11:33Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Im checking the LTF futures charts every other day hoping for some signs of improvement but I don't see any yet"
X Link 2026-02-11T11:45Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Market Back to Risk-Off: Stablecoins Confirm BTC Weakness new โ˜•Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://axeladlerjr.com/market-back-to-risk-off-stablecoins-confirm-btc-weakness/ https://axeladlerjr.com/market-back-to-risk-off-stablecoins-confirm-btc-weakness/"
X Link 2026-02-12T07:54Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Market context explained visually Realized Price Under Threat: Market Approaching Critical Support Zone The market is falling but long-term support remains intact: LTH Cost Basis is rising ($38.2K) Realized Price is declining ($55.0K) and at current rates they will form a critical corridor of $43K-$51K https://t.co/FcgoZ9belU Realized Price Under Threat: Market Approaching Critical Support Zone The market is falling but long-term support remains intact: LTH Cost Basis is rising ($38.2K) Realized Price is declining ($55.0K) and at current rates they will form a critical corridor of $43K-$51K"
X Link 2026-02-13T08:35Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Satoshi Nakamoto is a single individual not a group. At the time of Bitcoin's creation he was likely in his 30s or older. His references to Hashcash b-money and DigiCash were not random citations they represented his actual working context. He possessed deep expertise in applied cryptography and financial systems. He was a person for whom solving the problem was more important than owning the solution. It is highly probable that he still holds the keys which makes him a potential target for criminal activity. The world does not need to know his identity as a Patoshi coin dump could trigger a"
X Link 2026-02-13T11:13Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Bitcoin Basis (%) - 7D SMA has returned to the neutral zone as the spot-futures premium collapsed. This indicates that demand for long exposure via derivatives has weakened and the market is no longer pricing in an aggressive risk-on scenario. Typically this signals a decrease in risk appetite deleveraging and a shift into wait-and-see mode. Bulls need more spot demand as derivatives are currently not pushing the market higher. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022582602696163805 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2022582602696163805"
X Link 2026-02-14T08:04Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"New Weekly Engine update + Traders Evidence is out. Deleveraging is over - or just a pause before the next wave Full report below๐Ÿ‘‡ https://open.substack.com/pub/adlerscryptoinsights/p/weekly-engine-83r=46gt68&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web https://open.substack.com/pub/adlerscryptoinsights/p/weekly-engine-83r=46gt68&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web"
X Link 2026-02-15T14:18Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Thats 100% true. Bitcoin technology is a meritocracy not an Idiocracy. Sorry. Bitcoin technology is a meritocracy not an Idiocracy. Sorry"
X Link 2026-02-15T19:48Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Market snapshot in one infographic STH SOPR crossed back above [---] for the first time in a week: short-term holders are selling at a profit again. But MVRV is still 17% below the norm - the structural overhang hasn't gone anywhere. Every bounce will be met by sellers who just want to break even. new โ˜• Adler AM๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/o9yj4g7IBA STH SOPR crossed back above [---] for the first time in a week: short-term holders are selling at a profit again. But MVRV is still 17% below the norm - the structural overhang hasn't gone anywhere. Every bounce will be met by sellers who just want to break even."
X Link 2026-02-16T07:43Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"@intocryptoverse This is an erroneous statement"
X Link 2026-01-31T10:46Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Binance SAFU has started accumulating Bitcoin - the fund purchased [----] BTC worth $100 million about an hour ago. https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/tx/b1231fa059a73d7408a0f40fdc41f603d16f520609a4890ee33763a294385490 https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/tx/b1231fa059a73d7408a0f40fdc41f603d16f520609a4890ee33763a294385490"
X Link 2026-02-02T09:25Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Unrealised Loss Hits 22%: Pressure Builds but No Capitulation Yet newโ˜•Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://axeladlerjr.com/unrealised-loss-hits-22-pressure-builds-but-no-capitulation-yet/ https://axeladlerjr.com/unrealised-loss-hits-22-pressure-builds-but-no-capitulation-yet/"
X Link 2026-02-03T09:15Z 28.6K followers, 47K engagements

"Even though the market is currently in a Deep Stress + Strong Stress phase we haven't reached full capitulation yet. Wait / keep your powder dry"
X Link 2026-02-03T09:43Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Gold is up 3% Bitcoin has risen as well. Ill reiterate yesterday's point: dont look for correlations where they dont exist"
X Link 2026-02-03T10:23Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"I like Cathie Woods ideas but Id execute them a bit later rather than right now. DCA or Buy & Hold strategies are too linear and yield low returns due to bear market drawdowns. Cathie Wood: "I would shift from gold into #bitcoin." https://t.co/HWSEGQSpGs Cathie Wood: "I would shift from gold into #bitcoin." https://t.co/HWSEGQSpGs"
X Link 2026-02-03T10:27Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"34K BTC returned to exchanges since January [--] lows. Reserves climbing while price drops 20% New โ˜• Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://axeladlerjr.com/reserves-reversing-34k-btc-returned-to-exchanges-from-lows/ https://axeladlerjr.com/reserves-reversing-34k-btc-returned-to-exchanges-from-lows/"
X Link 2026-02-04T08:23Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Visual guide to the current market 34K BTC returned to exchanges since January [--] lows. Reserves climbing while price drops 20% New โ˜• Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/D5KXULpWNC https://t.co/uV69aQrb3S 34K BTC returned to exchanges since January [--] lows. Reserves climbing while price drops 20% New โ˜• Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/D5KXULpWNC https://t.co/uV69aQrb3S"
X Link 2026-02-04T08:35Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"I dont think theres any point in guessing. Its enough to check the metrics once a week and it will become clear whether this is the bottom or not"
X Link 2026-02-04T15:07Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"STH Under Heavy Pressure Bitcoin crashed to $71K dragging short-term holders deep into loss territory. Both on-chain indicators - SOPR and MVRV - confirm the market has entered a phase of forced selling with loss realization. new โ˜• Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://axeladlerjr.com/sth-under-heavy-pressure-mvrv-signals-capitulation/ https://axeladlerjr.com/sth-under-heavy-pressure-mvrv-signals-capitulation/"
X Link 2026-02-05T08:52Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Im really worried about whats going to happen at the US market open"
X Link 2026-02-05T12:19Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"The true capitulation lies ahead. Unrealised Loss Hits 22%: Pressure Builds but No Capitulation Yet newโ˜•Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/8mV1ahzo2S https://t.co/WTWEW8OipQ Unrealised Loss Hits 22%: Pressure Builds but No Capitulation Yet newโ˜•Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/8mV1ahzo2S https://t.co/WTWEW8OipQ"
X Link 2026-02-05T13:04Z 28.6K followers, 41.3K engagements

"Silver fell 9% to $77 an ounce snapping a two-day rally as precious metals faced renewed selling pressure and heightened volatility"
X Link 2026-02-05T13:17Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Tough year for institutional players holding risk assets. Hows it going portfolio managers"
X Link 2026-02-05T19:31Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"The drop from $72K to $59K triggered the largest cascade of long liquidations since the start of the year. Short-term holders sent a record volume of losses to exchanges this year. newโ˜•Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://axeladlerjr.com/688m-long-liquidations-2026-high-amid-sth-capitulation/ https://axeladlerjr.com/688m-long-liquidations-2026-high-amid-sth-capitulation/"
X Link 2026-02-06T09:03Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"What the market looks like right now The drop from $72K to $59K triggered the largest cascade of long liquidations since the start of the year. Short-term holders sent a record volume of losses to exchanges this year. newโ˜•Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/2UVELTqJve https://t.co/ojHwq5uaX5 The drop from $72K to $59K triggered the largest cascade of long liquidations since the start of the year. Short-term holders sent a record volume of losses to exchanges this year. newโ˜•Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/2UVELTqJve https://t.co/ojHwq5uaX5"
X Link 2026-02-06T09:05Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"๐Ÿช„๐Ÿ”ฎ $64879K $64879K"
X Link 2026-02-06T09:12Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Check out this chart. Its clear and its more relevant than ever. Bitcoin is still down 50% from its all-time high. Yes deeper drawdowns (-70% to -80%) are possible compared to previous bear markets but the bigger risk now is time capitulation not price. Its not just how low it goes but how long it stays there. https://t.co/u7Mvy8E9Tb Bitcoin is still down 50% from its all-time high. Yes deeper drawdowns (-70% to -80%) are possible compared to previous bear markets but the bigger risk now is time capitulation not price. Its not just how low it goes but how long it stays there."
X Link 2026-02-06T11:05Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Welcome to the deep bear market"
X Link 2026-02-06T14:00Z 28.6K followers, 12K engagements

"Samson send me that analysts resume. We need people who can read charts not just click Buy"
X Link 2026-02-06T14:20Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Market volatility will remain elevated for some time"
X Link 2026-02-07T08:56Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Bitcoin is now down -46% from the peak. This bear market has entered a deep phase. Price is testing the 1.25x Realized Price Band - the historical line between correction and capitulation. โ˜•Adler AM #101 ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://axeladlerjr.com/drawdown-46-bear-market-enters-deep-phase-price-at-realized-price-boundary/ https://axeladlerjr.com/drawdown-46-bear-market-enters-deep-phase-price-at-realized-price-boundary/"
X Link 2026-02-09T08:39Z 28.6K followers, 12.8K engagements

"Cango sold [----] BTC for $305M - panic or deleveraging Difficulty is down 14% Puell [---] but miner exchange flows remain stable. Full breakdown in โ˜•Adler AM #102 ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://axeladlerjr.com/mining-under-pressure-cango-sold-4-451-btc-for-305m/ https://axeladlerjr.com/mining-under-pressure-cango-sold-4-451-btc-for-305m/"
X Link 2026-02-10T08:29Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Whats Really Happening in Bitcoin Mining Cango sold [----] BTC for $305M - panic or deleveraging Difficulty is down 14% Puell [---] but miner exchange flows remain stable. Full breakdown in โ˜•Adler AM #102 ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/2h5WY1B7nO https://t.co/jCfKjTIPeo Cango sold [----] BTC for $305M - panic or deleveraging Difficulty is down 14% Puell [---] but miner exchange flows remain stable. Full breakdown in โ˜•Adler AM #102 ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/2h5WY1B7nO https://t.co/jCfKjTIPeo"
X Link 2026-02-10T08:33Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"You can say all you want that BTC is fine but the data tells a different story: the model classifies the current regime for STH as Deep Stress. A detailed breakdown of the framework is here: https://open.substack.com/pub/adlerscryptoinsights/p/cohort-mvrv-frameworkutm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web https://open.substack.com/pub/adlerscryptoinsights/p/cohort-mvrv-frameworkutm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web"
X Link 2026-02-11T08:42Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"These three lessons will give you a basic understanding of one of the key pillars of on-chain analysis - unrealized profit/loss and the psychology of market cycles. Save them to your bookmarks and set aside 2-3 hours over the weekend to calmly go through them and understand how it works. https://adlerscryptoinsights.substack.com/t/education https://adlerscryptoinsights.substack.com/t/education"
X Link 2026-02-11T09:46Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"True Diamond Hands Spectrum๐Ÿ’Ž๐Ÿ™Œ"
X Link 2026-02-11T11:03Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"@Helmut_MWF If this happens itll be a total market capitulation"
X Link 2026-02-11T13:54Z 28.6K followers, [--] engagements

"Current market situation - visual breakdown Market Back to Risk-Off: Stablecoins Confirm BTC Weakness new โ˜•Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/rPL8z4gsbe https://t.co/KzklJKdPSc Market Back to Risk-Off: Stablecoins Confirm BTC Weakness new โ˜•Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/rPL8z4gsbe https://t.co/KzklJKdPSc"
X Link 2026-02-12T07:57Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) in the United States increased by 130K in January significantly beating the market consensus of around +70K and exceeding Decembers gain of +48K (the December figure was revised downward). The unemployment rate (U-3) declined to 4.3% from 4.4% in December while markets had broadly expected it to remain unchanged at 4.4%. The broader underemployment measure (U-6) which includes discouraged workers and those employed part-time for economic reasons fell to 8.0% from 8.4% the prior month (-0.4 pp). Following the report President Donald Trump called the data a sign of a"
X Link 2026-02-12T08:17Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Bitcoin Realized Loss (7DMA) hit $2.3B - a level exceeded only once: during the Luna crash in June [----]. But here's the key difference: back then it was $19K and a systemic collapse. Now it's $67K and a correction from ATH. Same scale of pain completely different context. new โ˜• Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://axeladlerjr.com/realized-losses-at-luna-crash-levels-2-3b-per-day-but-the-context-is-different/ https://axeladlerjr.com/realized-losses-at-luna-crash-levels-2-3b-per-day-but-the-context-is-different/"
X Link 2026-02-11T08:28Z 28.6K followers, 11.6K engagements

"Visual guide to the current market Bitcoin Realized Loss (7DMA) hit $2.3B - a level exceeded only once: during the Luna crash in June [----]. But here's the key difference: back then it was $19K and a systemic collapse. Now it's $67K and a correction from ATH. Same scale of pain completely different context. new https://t.co/4HBcDlEtA3 Bitcoin Realized Loss (7DMA) hit $2.3B - a level exceeded only once: during the Luna crash in June [----]. But here's the key difference: back then it was $19K and a systemic collapse. Now it's $67K and a correction from ATH. Same scale of pain completely different"
X Link 2026-02-11T08:34Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"This Sunday Im releasing a new Weekly Engine layer built specifically for traders. Traders Evidence is a 1-page weekly on-chain snapshot that shows whether the market supports longs stays neutral or signals caution. Join now - annual plan saves $60: http://adlerinsight.com Weekly Engine starts tomorrow. Stop guessing and get one clear BTC action per week: BUY / HOLD / EXIT. https://t.co/7md0J67vs6 https://t.co/QCdjgeA02B http://adlerinsight.com Weekly Engine starts tomorrow. Stop guessing and get one clear BTC action per week: BUY / HOLD / EXIT. https://t.co/7md0J67vs6 https://t.co/QCdjgeA02B"
X Link 2026-02-13T09:30Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Realized Price Under Threat: Market Approaching Critical Support Zone The market is falling but long-term support remains intact: LTH Cost Basis is rising ($38.2K) Realized Price is declining ($55.0K) and at current rates they will form a critical corridor of $43K-$51K within a quarter. โ˜• Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://axeladlerjr.com/realized-price-under-threat-market-approaching-critical-support-zone/ https://axeladlerjr.com/realized-price-under-threat-market-approaching-critical-support-zone/"
X Link 2026-02-13T08:34Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"STH SOPR crossed back above [---] for the first time in a week: short-term holders are selling at a profit again. But MVRV is still 17% below the norm - the structural overhang hasn't gone anywhere. Every bounce will be met by sellers who just want to break even. new โ˜• Adler AM๐Ÿ‘‡ https://axeladlerjr.com/short-term-holders-return-to-profit-but-mvrv-remains-17-below-the-norm/ https://axeladlerjr.com/short-term-holders-return-to-profit-but-mvrv-remains-17-below-the-norm/"
X Link 2026-02-16T07:40Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"VIX and MOVE are rising. This is a toxic combination for the markets increasing the probability of whipsaws and sharp moves"
X Link 2026-02-16T15:50Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"On the daily timeframe compression is building up again - the third instance in this bull cycle. A similar pattern of three compressions preceded the [----] rally. Very soon we'll see just how tightly the spring has been coiled this time"
X Link 2025-05-20T12:21Z 28.6K followers, 13.4K engagements

"๐Ÿ”ดRed๐ŸŸฃPurple๐Ÿ”ตBlue๐ŸŒ€Navy andโšซ Black dots are coming"
X Link 2025-05-22T04:52Z 28.6K followers, 12.8K engagements

"The current unrealized profit indicator for Short-Term Holders holding coins for [--] to [--] months is 27%. Over the past [--] years when this metric rose above 40% the cohort began selling coins - this created strong price pressure. [--]. Current NUPL (Short-Term Holders [--] m): 27% [--]. Critical threshold: 40% (historically cohorts begin taking profits here exerting downward pressure) [--]. Growth rate: [-----] percentage points/day [--]. Required increase: 40%27% = [--] percentage points [--]. Time to threshold: [--] p.p. / [-----] p.p. per day [--] days [--]. Projected date: June [--] [----] [--]. Bitcoin price forecast: 162K USD"
X Link 2025-05-26T06:04Z 28.6K followers, 14.1K engagements

"Its worth noting the pace at which the OTC balance is declining: since September [----] it has dropped from 486K to 115K BTC a 4.2-fold decrease. At the current withdrawal rate of about [---] BTC per day the remaining 115K BTC would be depleted by July 2026"
X Link 2025-05-27T07:52Z 28.5K followers, 46.9K engagements

"The current HODL level on the network is at its highest point in the past two years"
X Link 2025-06-05T07:35Z 28.5K followers, 10.3K engagements

"The average spot trading volume on CEXs has dropped to October [----] levels. Coins are not being sold on spot or moved on-chain - the market has shifted into HODL mode"
X Link 2025-06-09T04:55Z 28.5K followers, 15.3K engagements

"During each of the three major rallies long-term holders (LTH) consistently built up their positions before strong growth. The first time this happened was around $28K: the increase in LTH share relative to STH over 1-2 months set the stage for a breakout to $60K. The second time similar accumulation unfolded at $60K within the consolidation phase and provided the momentum for a rise to $100K. Today at the $100K mark we again see sustained growth in the LTH/STH ratio: this accumulation phase could last 4-8 weeks after which by analogy with previous cycles a powerful upward reversal is likely."
X Link 2025-06-26T07:09Z 28.5K followers, 36.4K engagements

"Currently we are observing a classic Bollinger Bands squeeze: the range between the upper and lower boundaries has fallen to 7.7% one of the lowest values throughout the entire bull cycle. The decrease in volatility indicates energy accumulation in the market the price is ready for a rally and in an upward trend environment the chances of an upward breakout are significantly higher. In this bull cycle there have been six notable episodes of Bollinger Bands squeeze. In four of them the squeeze was immediately followed by growth while in two cases there was first a light correction after which"
X Link 2025-07-08T07:00Z 28.5K followers, 20.7K engagements

"Long-term holders will begin dumping the market once their returns exceed 300%. Currently LTH are sitting on an average profit of 215% above their cost basis. We are now in the range between orderly profit-taking and a potential LTH dump"
X Link 2025-07-09T07:28Z 28.5K followers, 20.3K engagements

"Based on the MVRV oscillator and its data over the last [--] years when the MVRV mark of [----] is reached Bitcoin's price will be approximately $130900 USD. This will essentially be the first selling pressure point"
X Link 2025-07-10T09:21Z 28.5K followers, 10.7K engagements

"Nearly 50K BTC were dumped at a loss in the last [--] hours. Clear signs of panic selling"
X Link 2025-07-16T04:57Z 28.5K followers, 15K engagements

"The Peak Signal only appears at major market tops and it hasnt shown up this time suggesting were not at a peak yet"
X Link 2025-07-16T05:43Z 28.5K followers, 24.5K engagements

"At the $118K level LTH supply began to decline having decreased by 52K BTC at the moment. Essentially LTH started distributing accumulated supply and as the price rises this will intensify as it did in previous macro cycles. The shift in balance from accumulation to distribution exactly repeats the LTH pattern from fall [----] when the price rose from $65K to $100K"
X Link 2025-07-29T06:38Z 28.5K followers, 17.9K engagements

"Global equities are under pressure after two US banks Western Alliance Bank and Zions Bank reported they had allegedly been subjected to fraud by borrowers. Global stocks fell into the red as signs of credit stress raised concerns over loan quality in the US"
X Link 2025-10-17T07:45Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Botcoin MVRV Z-Score Bull vs Bear Market: the 30D365D spread is deeply negative and still deteriorating so a 30D vs 365D crossover does not look imminent. In this models framework that corresponds to a deep bear phase. Based on cycle analogs the most likely window for the next crossover is H2 [----]. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1999407858987798793 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1999407858987798793"
X Link 2025-12-12T09:15Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Christmas magic: $1.817 billion Powerball jackpot won in Arkansas. ๐ŸŽ…๐ŸŽ„"
X Link 2025-12-25T13:39Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Deleveraging: Sentiment Crashed from 80% to 45% After $205M Long Liquidations โ˜• Morning Brief [----] ๐Ÿ‘‡ + ๐ŸŽง audio debate on todays market setup https://axeladlerjr.com/deleveraging-sentiment-crashed-from-80-to-45-after-205m-long-liquidations/ https://axeladlerjr.com/deleveraging-sentiment-crashed-from-80-to-45-after-205m-long-liquidations/"
X Link 2026-01-19T09:26Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Sellers Attack on Two Fronts: Derivatives and Spot New โ˜•Adler AM๐Ÿ‘‡ https://axeladlerjr.com/sellers-attack-on-two-fronts-derivatives-and-spot/ https://axeladlerjr.com/sellers-attack-on-two-fronts-derivatives-and-spot/"
X Link 2026-01-20T07:56Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"The president needs to make a reasonable statement on Greenland before U.S. markets open - the VIX is already at 20"
X Link 2026-01-20T08:33Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"$90K - STH Defense Line: Hold or Capitulation Lose this zone and two cohorts go underwater at once. That is where real selling pressure usually begins. Morning Brief #88 ๐Ÿ‘‡ + ๐ŸŽง Audio Debate https://axeladlerjr.com/90k-sth-defense-line-hold-or-capitulation/ https://axeladlerjr.com/90k-sth-defense-line-hold-or-capitulation/"
X Link 2026-01-21T07:10Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Miners survived capitulation and are starting to "recover." Reversal signal ๐Ÿ“‰๐Ÿ“ˆ"
X Link 2026-01-23T13:20Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"This is the way"
X Link 2026-01-25T08:36Z 28.5K followers, [----] engagements

"Weekly ML Snapshot #004 Current Market Regime Score = [----] (๐ŸŸ  Elevated Risk) ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://substack.com/@adlerscryptoinsights/note/c-204801376utm_source=notes-share-action&r=46gt68 https://substack.com/@adlerscryptoinsights/note/c-204801376utm_source=notes-share-action&r=46gt68"
X Link 2026-01-25T12:29Z 28.5K followers, [----] engagements

"Crypto โ„winter is deepening. Bitcoin Strategy & Market Analysis W4 January [----] ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://substack.com/@adlerscryptoinsights/note/c-204801808utm_source=notes-share-action&r=46gt68 https://substack.com/@adlerscryptoinsights/note/c-204801808utm_source=notes-share-action&r=46gt68"
X Link 2026-01-25T12:32Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Net Realized P/L has dropped by 97% and returned to zero. The last time this happened was in June [----] - right before the drop from $30K to $16K. Whales are still in profit (a 25-80% buffer) so there is no panic yet. But the market is being supported not by buyers - but by the absence of sellers. โ˜• Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://axeladlerjr.com/net-realized-p-l-at-zero-june-2022-pattern-repeats/ https://axeladlerjr.com/net-realized-p-l-at-zero-june-2022-pattern-repeats/"
X Link 2026-01-26T08:39Z 28.5K followers, 21.4K engagements

"Current market dynamics in one infographic Net Realized P/L has dropped by 97% and returned to zero. The last time this happened was in June [----] - right before the drop from $30K to $16K. Whales are still in profit (a 25-80% buffer) so there is no panic yet. But the market is being supported not by buyers - but by the https://t.co/ooQsnaGTCA Net Realized P/L has dropped by 97% and returned to zero. The last time this happened was in June [----] - right before the drop from $30K to $16K. Whales are still in profit (a 25-80% buffer) so there is no panic yet. But the market is being supported not"
X Link 2026-01-26T08:52Z 28.5K followers, [----] engagements

"New Record Derivatives Pressure but Price Holds The Market Pressure Index has dropped to [----] - a new 30-day low. Price remains at $88.3K. Someone large is absorbing record selling pressure around the $86.4K support. new โ˜•Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://axeladlerjr.com/new-record-derivatives-pressure-but-price-holds/ https://axeladlerjr.com/new-record-derivatives-pressure-but-price-holds/"
X Link 2026-01-27T08:19Z 28.5K followers, [----] engagements

"Market snapshot (infographic) New Record Derivatives Pressure but Price Holds The Market Pressure Index has dropped to [----] - a new 30-day low. Price remains at $88.3K. Someone large is absorbing record selling pressure around the $86.4K support. new โ˜•Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/fusXPvtOGs https://t.co/evB0Szc59F New Record Derivatives Pressure but Price Holds The Market Pressure Index has dropped to [----] - a new 30-day low. Price remains at $88.3K. Someone large is absorbing record selling pressure around the $86.4K support. new โ˜•Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/fusXPvtOGs https://t.co/evB0Szc59F"
X Link 2026-01-27T08:34Z 28.5K followers, [----] engagements

"This MVRV dashboard shows the market as it really is: where the crowd is in pain and where the edge is forming. Full breakdown of the Cohort MVRV Framework and actionable trade insights: https://a.dler.click/mvrv https://a.dler.click/mvrv"
X Link 2026-01-27T09:23Z 28.5K followers, [----] engagements

"BTC is in a pullback price is moving lower - the market is currently in the Denial phase. At this point investors are still in profit but are starting to worry that the market could move lower. In todays SQL of the Week we explain and show how NUPL momentum and Z-score are turned into a system that tells you: where to accumulate where to wait where to reduce risk https://open.substack.com/pub/adlerscryptoinsights/p/nupl-frameworkutm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web https://open.substack.com/pub/adlerscryptoinsights/p/nupl-frameworkutm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web"
X Link 2026-01-27T11:28Z 28.5K followers, [----] engagements

"RT @GoldmanSachs: US economic growth is projected to exceed consensus expectations in [----] according to Goldman Sachs Research. Factors dr"
X Link 2026-01-27T18:03Z 28.5K followers, [--] engagements

"RT @federalreserve: Tomorrow at 2:30 p.m. ET: Chair Powell hosts live #FOMC press conference: https://www.federalreserve.gov https://www.federalreserve.gov"
X Link 2026-01-27T18:25Z 28.5K followers, [---] engagements

"Bitcoin Regime Score has risen by [--] points over the past three days from [-----] to [-----] while price gained only 1.4%. Structure is recovering faster than price. Today is FOMC. The rate decision is already priced in - markets will trade Powells rhetoric. Full details in the new โ˜•Adler AM. ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://axeladlerjr.com/bearish-momentum-weakens-fed-to-set-the-market-rhythm/ https://axeladlerjr.com/bearish-momentum-weakens-fed-to-set-the-market-rhythm/"
X Link 2026-01-28T08:14Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Market regime overview Bitcoin Regime Score has risen by [--] points over the past three days from [-----] to [-----] while price gained only 1.4%. Structure is recovering faster than price. Today is FOMC. The rate decision is already priced in - markets will trade Powells rhetoric. Full details in the https://t.co/aSkYrft3b9 Bitcoin Regime Score has risen by [--] points over the past three days from [-----] to [-----] while price gained only 1.4%. Structure is recovering faster than price. Today is FOMC. The rate decision is already priced in - markets will trade Powells rhetoric. Full details in the"
X Link 2026-01-28T08:19Z 28.5K followers, [----] engagements

"The macro backdrop has improved compared to yesterday. Markets react to the path ahead: what the Fed sees as the primary risk - inflation or the labor market - and how close the window for the next steps is. Macro & Fed Decoder for Humans How to read Fed signals and macro data without unnecessary theory. ๐Ÿ‘‰Open the guide https://open.substack.com/pub/adlerscryptoinsights/p/macro-and-fed-decoder-for-humansutm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web https://open.substack.com/pub/adlerscryptoinsights/p/macro-and-fed-decoder-for-humansutm_campaign=post-expanded-share&utm_medium=web"
X Link 2026-01-28T08:27Z 28.5K followers, [----] engagements

"Clear LTH accumulation is visible on the weekly timeframe"
X Link 2026-01-28T10:16Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"@Darkfost_Coc (a.lth_supply_btc - b.lth_supply_btc) AS lth_net_position_change_30d"
X Link 2026-01-28T10:37Z 28.5K followers, [---] engagements

"S&P500 = 7K ๐Ÿ† The macro backdrop has improved compared to yesterday. Markets react to the path ahead: what the Fed sees as the primary risk - inflation or the labor market - and how close the window for the next steps is. Macro & Fed Decoder for Humans How to read Fed signals and macro data https://t.co/AU7xztK5nG The macro backdrop has improved compared to yesterday. Markets react to the path ahead: what the Fed sees as the primary risk - inflation or the labor market - and how close the window for the next steps is. Macro & Fed Decoder for Humans How to read Fed signals and macro data"
X Link 2026-01-28T14:56Z 28.5K followers, [----] engagements

"Fed pause no dovish pivot - risk keeps bleeding out. STH Realized Cap $600B down $36B since late Dec. โ˜• Morning Brief #0094 ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://axeladlerjr.com/fed-and-on-chain-flows-why-risk-is-decreasing/ https://axeladlerjr.com/fed-and-on-chain-flows-why-risk-is-decreasing/"
X Link 2026-01-29T08:27Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Infographic on current market conditions Fed pause no dovish pivot - risk keeps bleeding out. STH Realized Cap $600B down $36B since late Dec. โ˜• Morning Brief #0094 ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/U0mG0JKyI8 https://t.co/g86iz1dLgG Fed pause no dovish pivot - risk keeps bleeding out. STH Realized Cap $600B down $36B since late Dec. โ˜• Morning Brief #0094 ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/U0mG0JKyI8 https://t.co/g86iz1dLgG"
X Link 2026-01-29T08:31Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"The derivatives market showed a cascade of forced closures: over the past [--] hours long liquidations reached extreme levels amid a sharp price drop to $82.9K. At the same time Funding Rate remains in positive territory which may indicate sustained demand for long exposure and incomplete deleveraging. โ˜• Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://axeladlerjr.com/extreme-long-liquidations-without-capitulation-funding-rate-remains-positive/ https://axeladlerjr.com/extreme-long-liquidations-without-capitulation-funding-rate-remains-positive/"
X Link 2026-01-30T07:05Z 28.6K followers, 27.8K engagements

"Over the past three years weve seen euphoria zones (red bars) while no new capitulation zones have appeared yet - waiting for the return of the blue bars"
X Link 2026-01-31T08:51Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Bitcoin Stress Index at Peak: Market Absorbs the Shock New โ˜•Adler AM ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://axeladlerjr.com/bitcoin-stress-index-at-peak-market-absorbs-the-shock/ https://axeladlerjr.com/bitcoin-stress-index-at-peak-market-absorbs-the-shock/"
X Link 2026-02-02T08:54Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Global market sentiment this morning"
X Link 2026-02-02T09:12Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"@RaslenMTG No not really. Binance simply has a lot of excess cash like Tether and that cash has to be deployed somewhere"
X Link 2026-02-02T09:28Z 28.6K followers, [--] engagements

"Bitcoin has been in a bear market since late September last year ๐Ÿ‘ป Wake up James. Seriously. By the way it being a bear market isn't a new insight. Has been my base case for several months now. There are folks who still don't believe it or are only just working this out. Accept it and the patiently accumulate accordingly. By the way it being a bear market isn't a new insight. Has been my base case for several months now. There are folks who still don't believe it or are only just working this out. Accept it and the patiently accumulate accordingly"
X Link 2026-02-02T17:16Z 28.6K followers, 18.9K engagements

"@Alex_Luxiano ๐Ÿ’ฏ"
X Link 2026-02-04T08:37Z 28.6K followers, [--] engagements

"My rules: buy Bitcoin at the bottom sell Bitcoin at the top repeat. The Rules of Bitcoin [--]. Buy Bitcoin [--]. Don't Sell the Bitcoin The Rules of Bitcoin [--]. Buy Bitcoin [--]. Don't Sell the Bitcoin"
X Link 2026-02-04T15:09Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"Panic selling by Short-Term Holders (STH). Over the past [--] hours 54.6K BTC were sent to exchanges at a loss"
X Link 2024-11-26T13:25Z 28.6K followers, 204K engagements

"At present the futures net position (OI Net Position) has plunged into deep negative territory breaching the $100 million mark (the highest level of bearish pressure since early July). Despite this BTC is holding around $115K indicating that buyers are partly absorbing the selling pressure. Such an extreme negative OI divergence could serve as a catalyst for a short squeeze on any sustained price rebound but until then the risk of further decline remains as long as open interest stays in the zone of maximum bearish pressure"
X Link 2025-07-25T06:48Z 28.6K followers, [----] engagements

"The week is coming to an end and in this bull cycle only [--] weeks have shown the same or greater selling pressure from the bears which accounts for about 7.3% of the entire cycle. Therefore this week is among the 7% most extreme in terms of selling volume yet the price has already recovered to $117K which in itself can be considered a positive signal"
X Link 2025-07-26T06:08Z 28.6K followers, 15.9K engagements

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